Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
59	9886	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10943	10303.2227	9453.369	11153.0764	0.07	0.5797	0.5797	0.5797
62	9867	10125.0873	9263.0661	10987.1086	0.2787	0.0315	0.0315	0.4181
63	10203	10387.7214	9477.0654	11298.3774	0.3455	0.8688	0.8688	0.6442
64	10837	10227.916	9271.977	11183.855	0.1059	0.5204	0.5204	0.5097
65	10573	10313.8228	9355.612	11272.0335	0.298	0.1423	0.1423	0.5793
66	10647	10313.897	9321.8835	11305.9104	0.2552	0.3043	0.3043	0.5767
67	11502	10277.2179	9279.855	11274.5808	0.008	0.2337	0.2337	0.5479
68	10656	10325.5188	9314.8284	11336.2092	0.2608	0.0113	0.0113	0.5841
69	10866	10289.3652	9265.8005	11312.9298	0.1348	0.2413	0.2413	0.5559
70	10835	10307.9462	9276.5879	11339.3046	0.1583	0.1445	0.1445	0.5694
71	9945	10305.4152	9260.5947	11350.2357	0.2495	0.1602	0.1602	0.5666
72	10331	10298.7743	9245.1191	11352.4294	0.4761	0.7448	0.7448	0.5612

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0421	0.0621	0	409315.0465	0	0
62	0.0434	-0.0255	0.0438	66609.0733	237962.0599	487.8136
63	0.0447	-0.0178	0.0351	34121.9974	170015.3724	412.3292
64	0.0477	0.0596	0.0412	370983.3171	220257.3586	469.3158
65	0.0474	0.0251	0.038	67172.8371	189640.4543	435.4773
66	0.0491	0.0323	0.0371	110957.63	176526.6502	420.1507
67	0.0495	0.1192	0.0488	1500091.23	365607.3045	604.6547
68	0.0499	0.032	0.0467	109217.8561	333558.6234	577.5453
69	0.0508	0.056	0.0477	332507.7237	333441.8568	577.4442
70	0.051	0.0511	0.0481	277785.6712	327876.2382	572.6048
71	0.0517	-0.035	0.0469	129899.0895	309878.3156	556.6671
72	0.0522	0.0031	0.0432	1038.4962	284141.664	533.0494