Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1401 | 0 | 141 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 4581945 | 4837146.15314125 | 20883.9551077183 | 4305859.89175103 | 255201.153141248 |
2 | 3874038 | 3393526.27910879 | 42876.1529425327 | 4311673.56794867 | -480511.720891207 |
3 | 4086290 | 3850437.04088258 | 4655.71497110745 | 4317487.24414631 | -235852.959117422 |
4 | 4364364 | 4452002.42153991 | -37834.4367273938 | 4314560.01518748 | 87638.4215399139 |
5 | 3793586 | 3335138.47220561 | -59599.2584342569 | 4311632.78622865 | -458447.527794389 |
6 | 4533914 | 4731520.48746849 | 36467.9880862859 | 4299839.52444523 | 197606.487468488 |
7 | 4823043 | 5391018.06067963 | -32978.3233414372 | 4288046.26266181 | 567975.060679631 |
8 | 3981535 | 3754760.6711151 | -65718.977478434 | 4274028.30636333 | -226774.328884899 |
9 | 4746356 | 5289762.37687418 | -57060.7269390402 | 4260010.35006486 | 543406.37687418 |
10 | 5284534 | 6307421.36009328 | 34412.6582277734 | 4227233.98167894 | 1022887.36009328 |
11 | 4264830 | 4280529.47034775 | 54672.9163592201 | 4194457.61329303 | 15699.4703477537 |
12 | 3924674 | 3670619.93007951 | 59222.3406053959 | 4119505.72931509 | -254054.069920486 |
13 | 3734753 | 3404068.19955513 | 20883.9551077183 | 4044553.84533715 | -330684.800444873 |
14 | 3762290 | 3532978.44603109 | 42876.1529425327 | 3948725.40102637 | -229311.553968907 |
15 | 3609739 | 3361925.3283133 | 4655.71497110745 | 3852896.9567156 | -247813.671686703 |
16 | 3877594 | 4025932.43176828 | -37834.4367273938 | 3767090.00495911 | 148338.431768285 |
17 | 3636415 | 3651146.20523163 | -59599.2584342569 | 3681283.05320262 | 14731.2052316344 |
18 | 3578195 | 3490589.78178197 | 36467.9880862859 | 3629332.23013174 | -87605.2182180253 |
19 | 3604342 | 3664280.91628058 | -32978.3233414372 | 3577381.40706086 | 59938.9162805812 |
20 | 3459513 | 3442818.99956298 | -65718.977478434 | 3541925.97791545 | -16694.0004370152 |
21 | 3366571 | 3283732.178169 | -57060.7269390402 | 3506470.54877004 | -82838.8218310014 |
22 | 3371277 | 3228622.86419922 | 34412.6582277734 | 3479518.47757301 | -142654.13580078 |
23 | 3724848 | 3942456.67726481 | 54672.9163592201 | 3452566.40637597 | 217608.677264808 |
24 | 3350830 | 3211785.34737002 | 59222.3406053959 | 3430652.31202458 | -139044.652629981 |
25 | 3305159 | 3180695.82721908 | 20883.9551077183 | 3408738.2176732 | -124463.172780917 |
26 | 3390736 | 3357464.16563455 | 42876.1529425327 | 3381131.68142292 | -33271.8343654489 |
27 | 3349758 | 3341335.13985626 | 4655.71497110745 | 3353525.14517263 | -8422.86014374159 |
28 | 3253655 | 3219761.36102157 | -37834.4367273938 | 3325383.07570583 | -33893.6389784324 |
29 | 3734250 | 4230858.25219524 | -59599.2584342569 | 3297241.00623902 | 496608.252195238 |
30 | 3455433 | 3595347.17962418 | 36467.9880862859 | 3279050.83228953 | 139914.179624182 |
31 | 2966726 | 2705569.66500139 | -32978.3233414372 | 3260860.65834004 | -261156.334998607 |
32 | 2993716 | 2803600.98590106 | -65718.977478434 | 3249549.99157737 | -190115.014098939 |
33 | 3009320 | 2837461.40212434 | -57060.7269390402 | 3238239.3248147 | -171858.59787566 |
34 | 3169713 | 3074582.91965491 | 34412.6582277734 | 3230430.42211732 | -95130.0803450886 |
35 | 3170061 | 3062827.56422085 | 54672.9163592201 | 3222621.51941993 | -107233.43577915 |
36 | 3368934 | 3445053.10534007 | 59222.3406053959 | 3233592.55405454 | 76119.1053400682 |
37 | 3292638 | 3319828.45620314 | 20883.9551077183 | 3244563.58868914 | 27190.4562031389 |
38 | 3337344 | 3347873.5856345 | 42876.1529425327 | 3283938.26142297 | 10529.5856344975 |
39 | 3208306 | 3088643.3508721 | 4655.71497110745 | 3323312.9341568 | -119662.649127904 |
40 | 3359130 | 3389307.57675944 | -37834.4367273938 | 3366786.85996795 | 30177.5767594445 |
41 | 3223078 | 3095494.47265516 | -59599.2584342569 | 3410260.7857791 | -127583.527344845 |
42 | 3437159 | 3383057.94921914 | 36467.9880862859 | 3454792.06269458 | -54101.050780864 |
43 | 3400156 | 3333966.98373138 | -32978.3233414372 | 3499323.33961005 | -66189.016268617 |
44 | 3657576 | 3830795.70955653 | -65718.977478434 | 3550075.26792191 | 173219.709556526 |
45 | 3765613 | 3987459.53070528 | -57060.7269390402 | 3600827.19623376 | 221846.530705279 |
46 | 3481921 | 3272686.66735298 | 34412.6582277734 | 3656742.67441925 | -209234.332647021 |
47 | 3604800 | 3442268.93103605 | 54672.9163592201 | 3712658.15260473 | -162531.068963955 |
48 | 3981340 | 4139851.60320628 | 59222.3406053959 | 3763606.05618832 | 158511.603206284 |
49 | 3734078 | 3632718.08512038 | 20883.9551077183 | 3814553.95977191 | -101359.914879624 |
50 | 4018173 | 4135829.2752133 | 42876.1529425327 | 3857640.57184417 | 117656.2752133 |
51 | 3887417 | 3869451.10111246 | 4655.71497110745 | 3900727.18391643 | -17965.8988875351 |
52 | 3919880 | 3938842.77897881 | -37834.4367273938 | 3938751.65774859 | 18962.7789788083 |
53 | 4014466 | 4111755.12685351 | -59599.2584342569 | 3976776.13158074 | 97289.1268535131 |
54 | 4197758 | 4333073.13924225 | 36467.9880862859 | 4025974.87267146 | 135315.13924225 |
55 | 3896531 | 3750866.70957925 | -32978.3233414372 | 4075173.61376218 | -145664.290420745 |
56 | 3964742 | 3861927.49189311 | -65718.977478434 | 4133275.48558533 | -102814.508106893 |
57 | 4201847 | 4269377.36953057 | -57060.7269390402 | 4191377.35740847 | 67530.3695305693 |
58 | 4050512 | 3838378.03687153 | 34412.6582277734 | 4228233.3049007 | -212133.963128475 |
59 | 3997402 | 3675041.83124785 | 54672.9163592201 | 4265089.25239293 | -322360.168752152 |
60 | 4314479 | 4293608.33644369 | 59222.3406053959 | 4276127.32295091 | -20870.6635563076 |
61 | 4925744 | 5543438.65138339 | 20883.9551077183 | 4287165.39350889 | 617694.65138339 |
62 | 5130631 | 5943703.65516073 | 42876.1529425327 | 4274682.19189673 | 813072.655160733 |
63 | 4444855 | 4622855.29474432 | 4655.71497110745 | 4262198.99028458 | 178000.294744316 |
64 | 3967319 | 3757188.27993711 | -37834.4367273938 | 4215284.15679029 | -210130.720062893 |
65 | 3931250 | 3753729.93513826 | -59599.2584342569 | 4168369.323296 | -177520.064861741 |
66 | 4235952 | 4349451.73441915 | 36467.9880862859 | 4085984.27749456 | 113499.734419153 |
67 | 4169219 | 4367817.09164831 | -32978.3233414372 | 4003599.23169312 | 198598.091648313 |
68 | 3779064 | 3707451.34995377 | -65718.977478434 | 3916395.62752467 | -71612.6500462326 |
69 | 3558810 | 3345488.70358283 | -57060.7269390402 | 3829192.02335621 | -213321.296417167 |
70 | 3699466 | 3600249.05392119 | 34412.6582277734 | 3764270.28785103 | -99216.9460788071 |
71 | 3650693 | 3547364.53129492 | 54672.9163592201 | 3699348.55234586 | -103328.46870508 |
72 | 3525633 | 3346973.35370048 | 59222.3406053959 | 3645070.30569412 | -178659.646299516 |
73 | 3470276 | 3328875.9858499 | 20883.9551077183 | 3590792.05904238 | -141400.014150098 |
74 | 3859094 | 4121206.83163131 | 42876.1529425327 | 3554105.01542616 | 262112.831631305 |
75 | 3661155 | 3800236.31321895 | 4655.71497110745 | 3517417.97180994 | 139081.313218948 |
76 | 3356365 | 3249597.42827665 | -37834.4367273938 | 3500967.00845074 | -106767.571723345 |
77 | 3344440 | 3263963.21334272 | -59599.2584342569 | 3484516.04509153 | -80476.7866572761 |
78 | 3338684 | 3180754.19947032 | 36467.9880862859 | 3460145.81244339 | -157929.80052968 |
79 | 3404294 | 3405790.74354618 | -32978.3233414372 | 3435775.57979525 | 1496.74354618276 |
80 | 3289319 | 3239447.96441746 | -65718.977478434 | 3404909.01306097 | -49871.0355825359 |
81 | 3469252 | 3621522.28061236 | -57060.7269390402 | 3374042.44632669 | 152270.280612355 |
82 | 3571850 | 3751170.09233621 | 34412.6582277734 | 3358117.24943602 | 179320.09233621 |
83 | 3639914 | 3882963.03109543 | 54672.9163592201 | 3342192.05254535 | 243049.031095433 |
84 | 3091730 | 2787755.3962029 | 59222.3406053959 | 3336482.2631917 | -303974.603797097 |
85 | 3078149 | 2804641.57105423 | 20883.9551077183 | 3330772.47383805 | -273507.428945773 |
86 | 3188115 | 3007885.70041485 | 42876.1529425327 | 3325468.14664262 | -180229.299585151 |
87 | 3246082 | 3167344.46558171 | 4655.71497110745 | 3320163.81944718 | -78737.5344182905 |
88 | 3486992 | 3681518.54748976 | -37834.4367273938 | 3330299.88923763 | 194526.54748976 |
89 | 3378187 | 3475537.29940617 | -59599.2584342569 | 3340435.95902808 | 97350.2994061732 |
90 | 3282306 | 3152174.43079204 | 36467.9880862859 | 3375969.58112168 | -130131.569207964 |
91 | 3288345 | 3198165.12012616 | -32978.3233414372 | 3411503.20321527 | -90179.8798738355 |
92 | 3325749 | 3261642.88736367 | -65718.977478434 | 3455574.09011477 | -64106.1126363319 |
93 | 3352262 | 3261939.74992478 | -57060.7269390402 | 3499644.97701426 | -90322.2500752183 |
94 | 3531954 | 3479248.1412939 | 34412.6582277734 | 3550247.20047833 | -52705.8587061032 |
95 | 3722622 | 3789721.65969838 | 54672.9163592201 | 3600849.4239424 | 67099.6596983788 |
96 | 3809365 | 3894389.93445693 | 59222.3406053959 | 3665117.72493768 | 85024.9344569268 |
97 | 3750617 | 3750964.01895933 | 20883.9551077183 | 3729386.02593295 | 347.018959327601 |
98 | 3615286 | 3389057.22796628 | 42876.1529425327 | 3798638.61909119 | -226228.77203372 |
99 | 3696556 | 3520565.07277947 | 4655.71497110745 | 3867891.21224942 | -175990.927220529 |
100 | 4123959 | 4349933.83155223 | -37834.4367273938 | 3935818.60517516 | 225974.831552233 |
101 | 4136163 | 4328179.26033336 | -59599.2584342569 | 4003745.9981009 | 192016.260333356 |
102 | 3933392 | 3748564.41653614 | 36467.9880862859 | 4081751.59537757 | -184827.583463856 |
103 | 4035576 | 3944373.1306872 | -32978.3233414372 | 4159757.19265424 | -91202.8693128028 |
104 | 4551202 | 4937738.68269777 | -65718.977478434 | 4230384.29478067 | 386536.682697767 |
105 | 4032195 | 3820439.33003195 | -57060.7269390402 | 4301011.39690709 | -211755.669968054 |
106 | 3970893 | 3563898.58645431 | 34412.6582277734 | 4343474.75531792 | -406994.413545691 |
107 | 4489016 | 4537420.96991204 | 54672.9163592201 | 4385938.11372874 | 48404.9699120382 |
108 | 5426127 | 6392518.93332346 | 59222.3406053959 | 4400512.72607114 | 966391.933323462 |
109 | 4578224 | 4720476.70647874 | 20883.9551077183 | 4415087.33841354 | 142252.706478739 |
110 | 4126390 | 3801836.84254924 | 42876.1529425327 | 4408067.00450822 | -324553.157450757 |
111 | 4892100 | 5378497.61442599 | 4655.71497110745 | 4401046.67060291 | 486397.614425986 |
112 | 4128697 | 3920167.5899488 | -37834.4367273938 | 4375060.8467786 | -208529.410051204 |
113 | 4408721 | 4527966.23547997 | -59599.2584342569 | 4349075.02295429 | 119245.235479967 |
114 | 4199465 | 4066194.24436882 | 36467.9880862859 | 4296267.76754489 | -133270.755631177 |
115 | 4074767 | 3939051.81120595 | -32978.3233414372 | 4243460.51213549 | -135715.188794055 |
116 | 4161758 | 4205375.86730738 | -65718.977478434 | 4183859.11017105 | 43617.8673073836 |
117 | 3891319 | 3715441.01873243 | -57060.7269390402 | 4124257.70820661 | -175877.98126757 |
118 | 4470302 | 4835788.10346306 | 34412.6582277734 | 4070403.23830916 | 365486.103463064 |
119 | 4283111 | 4495000.31522907 | 54672.9163592201 | 4016548.76841171 | 211889.315229066 |
120 | 3845962 | 3659759.3222848 | 59222.3406053959 | 3972942.3371098 | -186202.677715195 |
121 | 3911471 | 3872722.1390844 | 20883.9551077183 | 3929335.90580788 | -38748.8609156031 |
122 | 3798478 | 3672042.08192795 | 42876.1529425327 | 3882037.76512951 | -126435.918072048 |
123 | 3644313 | 3449230.66057775 | 4655.71497110745 | 3834739.62445115 | -195082.339422252 |
124 | 3784029 | 3827779.57934887 | -37834.4367273938 | 3778112.85737853 | 43750.5793488682 |
125 | 3647134 | 3632381.16812835 | -59599.2584342569 | 3721486.09030591 | -14752.8318716497 |
126 | 3994662 | 4276536.72368685 | 36467.9880862859 | 3676319.28822686 | 281874.723686851 |
127 | 3607836 | 3617497.83719362 | -32978.3233414372 | 3631152.48614782 | 9661.8371936176 |
128 | 3566008 | 3590179.14747008 | -65718.977478434 | 3607555.83000836 | 24171.147470077 |
129 | 3511412 | 3495925.55307015 | -57060.7269390402 | 3583959.17386889 | -15486.4469298539 |
130 | 3258665 | 2924375.89845114 | 34412.6582277734 | 3558541.44332109 | -334289.101548864 |
131 | 3486573 | 3385349.37086749 | 54672.9163592201 | 3533123.71277329 | -101223.629132507 |
132 | 3369443 | 3168743.99487671 | 59222.3406053959 | 3510919.66451789 | -200699.005123286 |
133 | 3465544 | 3421488.42862979 | 20883.9551077183 | 3488715.61626249 | -44055.571370211 |
134 | 3905224 | 4295064.69593246 | 42876.1529425327 | 3472507.15112501 | 389840.695932456 |
135 | 3733881 | 4006807.59904136 | 4655.71497110745 | 3456298.68598753 | 272926.599041364 |
136 | 3220642 | 3036326.96001815 | -37834.4367273938 | 3442791.47670924 | -184315.039981848 |
137 | 3225812 | 3081938.9910033 | -59599.2584342569 | 3429284.26743095 | -143873.008996698 |
138 | 3354461 | 3256311.68493521 | 36467.9880862859 | 3416142.32697851 | -98149.3150647935 |
139 | 3352261 | 3334499.93681538 | -32978.3233414372 | 3403000.38652606 | -17761.0631846231 |
140 | 3450652 | 3577049.49963322 | -65718.977478434 | 3389973.47784521 | 126397.499633222 |