Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 681 | 0 | 69 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 94.6 | 95.7196452563907 | -5.01795612935602 | 98.4983108729653 | 1.11964525639068 |
2 | 95.9 | 95.922353197718 | -3.10377270183268 | 98.9814195041147 | 0.0223531977179476 |
3 | 104.7 | 102.525064345157 | 7.41040751957922 | 99.4645281352642 | -2.17493565484338 |
4 | 102.8 | 105.416584330781 | 0.224179392069346 | 99.9592362771494 | 2.61658433078127 |
5 | 98.1 | 96.4247711393204 | -0.678715558355041 | 100.453944419035 | -1.6752288606796 |
6 | 113.9 | 117.514164817833 | 9.32622876514923 | 100.959606417017 | 3.61416481783343 |
7 | 80.9 | 76.4535497217298 | -16.1188181367298 | 101.465268415 | -4.44645027827023 |
8 | 95.7 | 95.446792202734 | -6.01812676901854 | 101.971334566285 | -0.253207797266057 |
9 | 113.2 | 115.264488297278 | 8.65811098515259 | 102.477400717569 | 2.06448829727823 |
10 | 105.9 | 99.4165593472809 | 9.41562234245817 | 102.967818310261 | -6.48344065271912 |
11 | 108.8 | 111.948635590061 | 2.19312850698615 | 103.458235902953 | 3.1486355900611 |
12 | 102.3 | 107.02067678298 | -6.2902874220305 | 103.869610639051 | 4.72067678297954 |
13 | 99 | 98.7369707542069 | -5.01795612935602 | 104.280985375149 | -0.26302924579312 |
14 | 100.7 | 99.8686562745178 | -3.10377270183268 | 104.635116427315 | -0.831343725482242 |
15 | 115.5 | 118.60034500094 | 7.41040751957922 | 104.989247479481 | 3.10034500094008 |
16 | 100.7 | 95.8680462257486 | 0.224179392069346 | 105.307774382182 | -4.83195377425143 |
17 | 109.9 | 114.852414273472 | -0.678715558355041 | 105.626301284883 | 4.95241427347158 |
18 | 114.6 | 113.912567815633 | 9.32622876514923 | 105.961203419218 | -0.687432184366912 |
19 | 85.4 | 80.622712583178 | -16.1188181367298 | 106.296105553552 | -4.77728741682206 |
20 | 100.5 | 100.333479362707 | -6.01812676901854 | 106.684647406312 | -0.16652063729299 |
21 | 114.8 | 113.868699755776 | 8.65811098515259 | 107.073189259071 | -0.931300244223792 |
22 | 116.5 | 116.16256317088 | 9.41562234245817 | 107.421814486661 | -0.337436829119582 |
23 | 112.9 | 115.836431778762 | 2.19312850698615 | 107.770439714252 | 2.93643177876223 |
24 | 102 | 102.217369742014 | -6.2902874220305 | 108.072917680016 | 0.217369742014114 |
25 | 106 | 108.642560483575 | -5.01795612935602 | 108.375395645781 | 2.64256048357491 |
26 | 105.3 | 105.119696334622 | -3.10377270183268 | 108.58407636721 | -0.180303665377735 |
27 | 118.8 | 121.396835391781 | 7.41040751957922 | 108.79275708864 | 2.59683539178106 |
28 | 106.1 | 103.105022350576 | 0.224179392069346 | 108.870798257355 | -2.9949776494241 |
29 | 109.3 | 110.329876132285 | -0.678715558355041 | 108.94883942607 | 1.02987613228527 |
30 | 117.2 | 116.012820557749 | 9.32622876514923 | 109.060950677102 | -1.18717944225074 |
31 | 92.5 | 91.9457562085965 | -16.1188181367298 | 109.173061928133 | -0.554243791403479 |
32 | 104.2 | 105.044866947619 | -6.01812676901854 | 109.3732598214 | 0.844866947618613 |
33 | 112.5 | 106.768431300181 | 8.65811098515259 | 109.573457714667 | -5.73156869981919 |
34 | 122.4 | 125.583136392051 | 9.41562234245817 | 109.801241265491 | 3.18313639205132 |
35 | 113.3 | 114.377846676699 | 2.19312850698615 | 110.029024816314 | 1.07784667669941 |
36 | 100 | 96.1222193090731 | -6.2902874220305 | 110.168068112957 | -3.87778069092688 |
37 | 110.7 | 116.110844719756 | -5.01795612935602 | 110.3071114096 | 5.41084471975572 |
38 | 112.8 | 118.437760880382 | -3.10377270183268 | 110.266011821451 | 5.63776088038215 |
39 | 109.8 | 101.96468024712 | 7.41040751957922 | 110.224912233301 | -7.83531975287998 |
40 | 117.3 | 124.609631059052 | 0.224179392069346 | 109.766189548879 | 7.30963105905205 |
41 | 109.1 | 109.571248693899 | -0.678715558355041 | 109.307466864456 | 0.471248693898602 |
42 | 115.9 | 114.152895039911 | 9.32622876514923 | 108.32087619494 | -1.74710496008926 |
43 | 96 | 100.784532611306 | -16.1188181367298 | 107.334285525424 | 4.78453261130618 |
44 | 99.8 | 99.6166988675608 | -6.01812676901854 | 106.001427901458 | -0.183301132439155 |
45 | 116.8 | 120.273318737356 | 8.65811098515259 | 104.668570277492 | 3.47331873735564 |
46 | 115.7 | 118.760859112566 | 9.41562234245817 | 103.223518544976 | 3.06085911256577 |
47 | 99.4 | 94.8284046805535 | 2.19312850698615 | 101.77846681246 | -4.57159531944652 |
48 | 94.3 | 94.4627470024499 | -6.2902874220305 | 100.427540419581 | 0.16274700244989 |
49 | 91 | 87.9413421026552 | -5.01795612935602 | 99.0766140267008 | -3.0586578973448 |
50 | 93.2 | 91.461420101592 | -3.10377270183268 | 98.0423526002407 | -1.73857989840806 |
51 | 103.1 | 101.78150130664 | 7.41040751957922 | 97.0080911737807 | -1.3184986933599 |
52 | 94.1 | 91.6252710902236 | 0.224179392069346 | 96.350549517707 | -2.47472890977636 |
53 | 91.8 | 88.5857076967217 | -0.678715558355041 | 95.6930078616333 | -3.2142923032783 |
54 | 102.7 | 100.724613421198 | 9.32622876514923 | 95.3491578136528 | -1.97538657880199 |
55 | 82.6 | 86.3135103710576 | -16.1188181367298 | 95.0053077656722 | 3.71351037105761 |
56 | 89.1 | 89.1805898900068 | -6.01812676901854 | 95.0375368790118 | 0.0805898900067632 |
57 | 104.5 | 105.272123022496 | 8.65811098515259 | 95.0697659923514 | 0.772123022496046 |
58 | 105.1 | 105.338448585249 | 9.41562234245817 | 95.4459290722928 | 0.238448585249046 |
59 | 95.1 | 92.1847793407796 | 2.19312850698615 | 95.8220921522342 | -2.91522065922035 |
60 | 88.7 | 87.2136738915749 | -6.2902874220305 | 96.4766135304556 | -1.4863261084251 |
61 | 86.3 | 80.486821220679 | -5.01795612935602 | 97.131134908677 | -5.81317877932096 |
62 | 91.8 | 88.9386565017545 | -3.10377270183268 | 97.7651162000781 | -2.86134349824546 |
63 | 111.5 | 117.190494988941 | 7.41040751957922 | 98.3990974914793 | 5.69049498894148 |
64 | 99.7 | 100.100137503503 | 0.224179392069346 | 99.0756831044275 | 0.40013750350316 |
65 | 97.5 | 95.9264468409793 | -0.678715558355041 | 99.7522687173757 | -1.57355315902066 |
66 | 111.7 | 113.597601844838 | 9.32622876514923 | 100.476169390013 | 1.89760184483805 |
67 | 86.2 | 87.31874807408 | -16.1188181367298 | 101.20007006265 | 1.11874807408007 |
68 | 95.4 | 94.8648436888571 | -6.01812676901854 | 101.953283080161 | -0.535156311142927 |