| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
| Trend | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 47.54 | 48.5954199672463 | 0.841889930571707 | 45.642690102182 | 1.05541996724627 |
| 2 | 45.31 | 44.6477451014591 | -0.489841371899846 | 46.4620962704408 | -0.66225489854093 |
| 3 | 46.9 | 47.0108061846925 | -0.545463067024347 | 47.3346568823318 | 0.110806184692528 |
| 4 | 47.16 | 46.0919354796006 | -0.0190361209269894 | 48.2471006413264 | -1.06806452039938 |
| 5 | 48.24 | 47.0310637574854 | 0.212451724536138 | 49.2364845179784 | -1.20893624251458 |
| 6 | 52.7 | 54.2239496904917 | 0.841889930571707 | 50.3341603789366 | 1.52394969049165 |
| 7 | 51.72 | 52.5790665767733 | -0.489841371899846 | 51.3507747951265 | 0.859066576773337 |
| 8 | 51.5 | 51.6550969755593 | -0.545463067024347 | 51.8903660914651 | 0.155096975559260 |
| 9 | 52.45 | 53.473355951565 | -0.0190361209269894 | 51.445680169362 | 1.02335595156497 |
| 10 | 53 | 55.364556764622 | 0.212451724536138 | 50.4229915108418 | 2.36455676462206 |
| 11 | 48.36 | 46.6870937905023 | 0.841889930571707 | 49.191016278926 | -1.67290620949768 |
| 12 | 46.63 | 46.0826488177616 | -0.489841371899846 | 47.6671925541382 | -0.547351182238394 |
| 13 | 45.92 | 46.3619263553652 | -0.545463067024347 | 46.0235367116592 | 0.44192635536519 |
| 14 | 45.53 | 46.155363226299 | -0.0190361209269894 | 44.923672894628 | 0.625363226299015 |
| 15 | 42.17 | 39.5788065787986 | 0.212451724536138 | 44.5487416966653 | -2.59119342120144 |
| 16 | 43.66 | 41.721999854509 | 0.841889930571707 | 44.7561102149193 | -1.93800014549100 |
| 17 | 45.32 | 45.6285583294586 | -0.489841371899846 | 45.5012830424412 | 0.308558329458613 |
| 18 | 47.43 | 48.6463889367983 | -0.545463067024347 | 46.7590741302260 | 1.21638893679831 |
| 19 | 47.76 | 47.498841397682 | -0.0190361209269894 | 48.040194723245 | -0.261158602318048 |
| 20 | 49.49 | 49.7258113617924 | 0.212451724536138 | 49.0417369136715 | 0.235811361792351 |
| 21 | 50.69 | 50.5135656648393 | 0.841889930571707 | 50.024544404589 | -0.176434335160707 |
| 22 | 49.8 | 48.6931656998555 | -0.489841371899846 | 51.3966756720443 | -1.10683430014449 |
| 23 | 52.13 | 51.534139004978 | -0.545463067024347 | 53.2713240620464 | -0.595860995022001 |
| 24 | 53.94 | 52.7460349371657 | -0.0190361209269894 | 55.1530011837613 | -1.19396506283432 |
| 25 | 60.75 | 64.5101176555173 | 0.212451724536138 | 56.7774306199465 | 3.76011765551735 |
| 26 | 59.19 | 59.2041096159955 | 0.841889930571707 | 58.3340004534327 | 0.0141096159955438 |
| 27 | 57.58 | 55.6685030319902 | -0.489841371899846 | 59.9813383399096 | -1.9114969680098 |
| 28 | 59.16 | 56.9636350905304 | -0.545463067024347 | 61.901827976494 | -2.19636490946961 |
| 29 | 64.74 | 64.5428958556559 | -0.0190361209269894 | 64.9561402652711 | -0.197104144344109 |
| 30 | 67.04 | 64.9197462391131 | 0.212451724536138 | 68.9478020363508 | -2.12025376088692 |
| 31 | 75.53 | 77.8145965031334 | 0.841889930571707 | 72.4035135662949 | 2.2845965031334 |
| 32 | 78.91 | 84.2816685069265 | -0.489841371899846 | 74.0281728649733 | 5.37166850692654 |
| 33 | 78.4 | 83.8193080350264 | -0.545463067024347 | 73.526155031998 | 5.41930803502635 |
| 34 | 70.07 | 69.5807338267056 | -0.0190361209269894 | 70.5783022942214 | -0.489266173294411 |
| 35 | 66.8 | 68.0479717986122 | 0.212451724536138 | 65.3395764768517 | 1.24797179861216 |
| 36 | 61.02 | 62.3329457863015 | 0.841889930571707 | 58.8651642831268 | 1.31294578630153 |
| 37 | 52.38 | 52.7018766629827 | -0.489841371899846 | 52.5479647089172 | 0.321876662982675 |
| 38 | 42.37 | 38.3646534788144 | -0.545463067024347 | 46.92080958821 | -4.00534652118564 |
| 39 | 39.83 | 37.2146667650579 | -0.0190361209269894 | 42.4643693558691 | -2.61533323494209 |
| 40 | 38.79 | 37.4864589701286 | 0.212451724536138 | 39.8810893053352 | -1.30354102987138 |
| 41 | 37.33 | 34.6564510159156 | 0.841889930571707 | 39.1616590535127 | -2.67354898408436 |
| 42 | 39.4 | 39.6899168061706 | -0.489841371899846 | 39.5999245657292 | 0.289916806170595 |
| 43 | 39.45 | 38.8649402368858 | -0.545463067024347 | 40.5805228301385 | -0.585059763114167 |
| 44 | 43.24 | 44.6859014775645 | -0.0190361209269894 | 41.8131346433625 | 1.44590147756448 |
| 45 | 42.33 | 41.6135353548004 | 0.212451724536138 | 42.8340129206635 | -0.7164646451996 |
| 46 | 45.5 | 46.5626763354888 | 0.841889930571707 | 43.5954337339395 | 1.06267633548878 |
| 47 | 43.44 | 43.1916297828686 | -0.489841371899846 | 44.1782115890313 | -0.248370217131445 |
| 48 | 43.88 | 43.6315869329212 | -0.545463067024347 | 44.6738761341032 | -0.248413067078829 |
| 49 | 45.61 | 46.0556801685494 | -0.0190361209269894 | 45.1833559523776 | 0.445680168549394 |
| 50 | 45.12 | 44.0504706352686 | 0.212451724536138 | 45.9770776401952 | -1.06952936473137 |
| 51 | 47.56 | 46.9761925136235 | 0.841889930571707 | 47.3019175558048 | -0.5838074863765 |
| 52 | 47.04 | 45.4641991397398 | -0.489841371899846 | 49.10564223216 | -1.57580086026018 |
| 53 | 51.07 | 51.6213713270782 | -0.545463067024347 | 51.0640917399461 | 0.551371327078229 |
| 54 | 54.72 | 56.7277336498371 | -0.0190361209269894 | 52.7313024710899 | 2.00773364983706 |
| 55 | 55.37 | 56.6716293283382 | 0.212451724536138 | 53.8559189471257 | 1.30162932833816 |
| 56 | 55.39 | 55.5900755976891 | 0.841889930571707 | 54.3480344717392 | 0.200075597689121 |
| 57 | 53.13 | 52.3771931685601 | -0.489841371899846 | 54.3726482033398 | -0.752806831439912 |
| 58 | 53.71 | 53.6040935293887 | -0.545463067024347 | 54.3613695376356 | -0.105906470611281 |
| 59 | 54.59 | 54.8537728929012 | -0.0190361209269894 | 54.3452632280258 | 0.263772892901208 |
| 60 | 54.61 | 54.6662175285416 | 0.212451724536138 | 54.3413307469223 | 0.0562175285415805 |
