Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 47.54 | NA | NA | 0.766981818181818 | NA |
2 | 45.31 | NA | NA | -0.420836363636364 | NA |
3 | 46.9 | 46.4633454545455 | 47.03 | -0.566654545454544 | 0.436654545454537 |
4 | 47.16 | 48.0851636363636 | 48.062 | 0.0231636363636357 | -0.92516363636365 |
5 | 48.24 | 49.5413454545455 | 49.344 | 0.197345454545454 | -1.30134545454546 |
6 | 52.7 | 51.0309818181818 | 50.264 | 0.766981818181818 | 1.66901818181817 |
7 | 51.72 | 50.9011636363636 | 51.322 | -0.420836363636364 | 0.81883636363635 |
8 | 51.5 | 51.7073454545455 | 52.274 | -0.566654545454544 | -0.207345454545461 |
9 | 52.45 | 51.4291636363636 | 51.406 | 0.0231636363636357 | 1.02083636363636 |
10 | 53 | 50.5853454545455 | 50.388 | 0.197345454545454 | 2.41465454545454 |
11 | 48.36 | 50.0389818181818 | 49.272 | 0.766981818181818 | -1.67898181818182 |
12 | 46.63 | 47.4671636363636 | 47.888 | -0.420836363636364 | -0.837163636363634 |
13 | 45.92 | 45.1553454545454 | 45.722 | -0.566654545454544 | 0.764654545454555 |
14 | 45.53 | 44.8051636363636 | 44.782 | 0.0231636363636357 | 0.724836363636364 |
15 | 42.17 | 44.7173454545455 | 44.52 | 0.197345454545454 | -2.54734545454545 |
16 | 43.66 | 45.5889818181818 | 44.822 | 0.766981818181818 | -1.92898181818182 |
17 | 45.32 | 44.8471636363636 | 45.268 | -0.420836363636364 | 0.472836363636361 |
18 | 47.43 | 46.1653454545455 | 46.732 | -0.566654545454544 | 1.26465454545455 |
19 | 47.76 | 48.1611636363636 | 48.138 | 0.0231636363636357 | -0.401163636363634 |
20 | 49.49 | 49.2313454545455 | 49.034 | 0.197345454545454 | 0.25865454545454 |
21 | 50.69 | 50.7409818181818 | 49.974 | 0.766981818181818 | -0.0509818181818247 |
22 | 49.8 | 50.7891636363636 | 51.21 | -0.420836363636364 | -0.98916363636365 |
23 | 52.13 | 52.8953454545455 | 53.462 | -0.566654545454544 | -0.765345454545454 |
24 | 53.94 | 55.1851636363636 | 55.162 | 0.0231636363636357 | -1.24516363636364 |
25 | 60.75 | 56.9153454545455 | 56.718 | 0.197345454545454 | 3.83465454545454 |
26 | 59.19 | 58.8909818181818 | 58.124 | 0.766981818181818 | 0.299018181818184 |
27 | 57.58 | 59.8631636363636 | 60.284 | -0.420836363636364 | -2.28316363636364 |
28 | 59.16 | 60.9753454545455 | 61.542 | -0.566654545454544 | -1.81534545454546 |
29 | 64.74 | 64.8331636363636 | 64.81 | 0.0231636363636357 | -0.0931636363636414 |
30 | 67.04 | 69.2733454545455 | 69.076 | 0.197345454545454 | -2.23334545454546 |
31 | 75.53 | 73.6909818181818 | 72.924 | 0.766981818181818 | 1.83901818181818 |
32 | 78.91 | 73.5691636363636 | 73.99 | -0.420836363636364 | 5.34083636363636 |
33 | 78.4 | 73.3753454545455 | 73.942 | -0.566654545454544 | 5.02465454545454 |
34 | 70.07 | 71.0631636363636 | 71.04 | 0.0231636363636357 | -0.993163636363647 |
35 | 66.8 | 65.9313454545455 | 65.734 | 0.197345454545454 | 0.868654545454532 |
36 | 61.02 | 59.2949818181818 | 58.528 | 0.766981818181818 | 1.72501818181818 |
37 | 52.38 | 52.0591636363636 | 52.48 | -0.420836363636364 | 0.32083636363636 |
38 | 42.37 | 46.3113454545455 | 46.878 | -0.566654545454544 | -3.94134545454546 |
39 | 39.83 | 42.1631636363636 | 42.14 | 0.0231636363636357 | -2.33316363636364 |
40 | 38.79 | 39.7413454545455 | 39.544 | 0.197345454545454 | -0.951345454545454 |
41 | 37.33 | 39.7269818181818 | 38.96 | 0.766981818181818 | -2.39698181818182 |
42 | 39.4 | 39.2211636363636 | 39.642 | -0.420836363636364 | 0.178836363636357 |
43 | 39.45 | 39.7833454545455 | 40.35 | -0.566654545454544 | -0.333345454545452 |
44 | 43.24 | 42.0071636363636 | 41.984 | 0.0231636363636357 | 1.23283636363637 |
45 | 42.33 | 42.9893454545455 | 42.792 | 0.197345454545454 | -0.659345454545459 |
46 | 45.5 | 44.4449818181818 | 43.678 | 0.766981818181818 | 1.05501818181818 |
47 | 43.44 | 43.7311636363636 | 44.152 | -0.420836363636364 | -0.291163636363649 |
48 | 43.88 | 44.1433454545455 | 44.71 | -0.566654545454544 | -0.263345454545458 |
49 | 45.61 | 45.1451636363636 | 45.122 | 0.0231636363636357 | 0.464836363636358 |
50 | 45.12 | 46.0393454545455 | 45.842 | 0.197345454545454 | -0.919345454545464 |
51 | 47.56 | 48.0469818181818 | 47.28 | 0.766981818181818 | -0.486981818181818 |
52 | 47.04 | 48.6811636363636 | 49.102 | -0.420836363636364 | -1.64116363636364 |
53 | 51.07 | 50.5853454545455 | 51.152 | -0.566654545454544 | 0.484654545454546 |
54 | 54.72 | 52.7411636363636 | 52.718 | 0.0231636363636357 | 1.97883636363636 |
55 | 55.37 | 54.1333454545455 | 53.936 | 0.197345454545454 | 1.23665454545454 |
56 | 55.39 | 55.2309818181818 | 54.464 | 0.766981818181818 | 0.159018181818176 |
57 | 53.13 | 54.0171636363636 | 54.438 | -0.420836363636364 | -0.887163636363638 |
58 | 53.71 | 53.7193454545455 | 54.286 | -0.566654545454544 | -0.00934545454546765 |
59 | 54.59 | NA | NA | 0.0231636363636357 | NA |
60 | 54.61 | NA | NA | 0.197345454545454 | NA |