Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = -0.0931214533089994 + 0.114501138766228FindingFriends[t] + 0.209268449968476KnowingPeople[t] + 0.358378633517791Liked[t] + 0.6165874587436Celebrity[t] + 0.213464699493470Sum_friends[t] + 0.104200617441747Day[t] -0.00667926178074984t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -0.0931214533089994 | 1.454348 | -0.064 | 0.949033 | 0.474516 |
FindingFriends | 0.114501138766228 | 0.097256 | 1.1773 | 0.240957 | 0.120479 |
KnowingPeople | 0.209268449968476 | 0.064112 | 3.2641 | 0.001364 | 0.000682 |
Liked | 0.358378633517791 | 0.097379 | 3.6803 | 0.000326 | 0.000163 |
Celebrity | 0.6165874587436 | 0.157441 | 3.9163 | 0.000137 | 6.8e-05 |
Sum_friends | 0.213464699493470 | 0.120726 | 1.7682 | 0.079093 | 0.039547 |
Day | 0.104200617441747 | 0.195341 | 0.5334 | 0.594537 | 0.297269 |
t | -0.00667926178074984 | 0.011864 | -0.563 | 0.5743 | 0.28715 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.714498470884513 |
R-squared | 0.510508064896307 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.487356419317078 |
F-TEST (value) | 22.050616797379 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 7 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 148 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.10259968841939 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 654.296966561714 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.3582870168206 | 1.64171298317940 |
2 | 12 | 11.0012061344565 | 0.998793865543455 |
3 | 15 | 13.0808570548207 | 1.91914294517927 |
4 | 12 | 11.1202139688406 | 0.879786031159374 |
5 | 10 | 10.8808751034701 | -0.880875103470149 |
6 | 12 | 9.17366708636009 | 2.82633291363991 |
7 | 15 | 16.8250435068735 | -1.82504350687353 |
8 | 9 | 10.2555911878983 | -1.25559118789830 |
9 | 12 | 12.5922472750568 | -0.592247275056757 |
10 | 11 | 7.578661615368 | 3.421338384632 |
11 | 11 | 13.2156278980623 | -2.21562789806234 |
12 | 11 | 12.0338923912738 | -1.03389239127376 |
13 | 15 | 12.4110175472947 | 2.58898245270529 |
14 | 7 | 11.4390943772195 | -4.43909437721946 |
15 | 11 | 11.5506970176144 | -0.550697017614382 |
16 | 11 | 10.6206939935892 | 0.37930600641075 |
17 | 10 | 12.00049608237 | -2.00049608237001 |
18 | 14 | 14.3633687152616 | -0.363368715261566 |
19 | 10 | 8.61798772007608 | 1.38201227992392 |
20 | 6 | 9.28859807020295 | -3.28859807020295 |
21 | 11 | 8.78943123505956 | 2.21056876494044 |
22 | 15 | 14.4897926608376 | 0.510207339162353 |
23 | 11 | 11.8807784634427 | -0.880778463442691 |
24 | 12 | 9.62931451646761 | 2.37068548353239 |
25 | 14 | 13.0332503394640 | 0.96674966053602 |
26 | 15 | 14.6192074389008 | 0.380792561099205 |
27 | 9 | 14.4522001024089 | -5.4522001024089 |
28 | 13 | 12.7281248223429 | 0.271875177657057 |
29 | 13 | 13.0256047590851 | -0.0256047590850806 |
30 | 16 | 11.0871079957984 | 4.91289200420157 |
31 | 13 | 8.70115465537848 | 4.29884534462152 |
32 | 12 | 13.5917416372283 | -1.59174163722834 |
33 | 14 | 14.7442866195091 | -0.744286619509097 |
34 | 11 | 10.134743678041 | 0.865256321958994 |
35 | 9 | 10.4971170541950 | -1.49711705419502 |
36 | 16 | 14.5158977540357 | 1.48410224596428 |
37 | 12 | 13.1546442317169 | -1.15464423171687 |
38 | 10 | 9.60352781581116 | 0.396472184188844 |
39 | 13 | 12.933636402734 | 0.0663635972660046 |
40 | 16 | 15.6776114986676 | 0.322388501332421 |
41 | 14 | 13.0389752674637 | 0.961024732536281 |
42 | 15 | 8.02119594738316 | 6.97880405261684 |
43 | 5 | 9.687707501623 | -4.6877075016230 |
44 | 8 | 10.2581480434579 | -2.25814804345788 |
45 | 11 | 11.2795714987209 | -0.279571498720851 |
46 | 16 | 13.8660439120551 | 2.13395608794487 |
47 | 17 | 14.3255148296850 | 2.67448517031504 |
48 | 9 | 8.20538251796126 | 0.794617482038739 |
49 | 9 | 11.404790027259 | -2.40479002725901 |
50 | 13 | 14.4683384624023 | -1.4683384624023 |
51 | 10 | 11.0845703504149 | -1.08457035041494 |
52 | 6 | 12.4279802219199 | -6.4279802219199 |
53 | 12 | 12.1686180693552 | -0.168618069355242 |
54 | 8 | 10.5633636149327 | -2.56336361493267 |
55 | 14 | 11.9071858015172 | 2.09281419848281 |
56 | 12 | 12.9480962096398 | -0.948096209639807 |
57 | 11 | 10.6785175796478 | 0.321482420352153 |
58 | 16 | 14.6025309682863 | 1.39746903171370 |
59 | 8 | 10.5310501162415 | -2.53105011624149 |
60 | 15 | 14.6298437582843 | 0.370156241715689 |
61 | 7 | 9.11471329121909 | -2.11471329121909 |
62 | 16 | 14.2025600704264 | 1.79743992957359 |
63 | 14 | 13.1230313767364 | 0.876968623263592 |
64 | 16 | 13.3741480431991 | 2.62585195680089 |
65 | 9 | 10.4129896433215 | -1.41298964332153 |
66 | 14 | 12.1461421821496 | 1.85385781785035 |
67 | 11 | 13.2431380445186 | -2.2431380445186 |
68 | 13 | 10.3053296257660 | 2.69467037423397 |
69 | 15 | 13.2738218719797 | 1.72617812802031 |
70 | 5 | 5.85242053591145 | -0.852420535911449 |
71 | 15 | 12.9521079003703 | 2.04789209962970 |
72 | 13 | 12.6371966278938 | 0.362803372106162 |
73 | 11 | 12.4558579609277 | -1.45585796092770 |
74 | 11 | 14.1962017145182 | -3.19620171451821 |
75 | 12 | 12.7954755737943 | -0.795475573794256 |
76 | 12 | 13.4321392399579 | -1.43213923995792 |
77 | 12 | 12.3557265747135 | -0.355726574713532 |
78 | 12 | 11.9256518026510 | 0.0743481973490444 |
79 | 14 | 10.8589613213735 | 3.14103867862654 |
80 | 6 | 7.91196964212172 | -1.91196964212172 |
81 | 7 | 9.70611238131443 | -2.70611238131443 |
82 | 14 | 12.3550707022083 | 1.64492929779175 |
83 | 14 | 14.1409469688363 | -0.140946968836333 |
84 | 10 | 11.1241982765507 | -1.1241982765507 |
85 | 13 | 9.07120037449782 | 3.92879962550218 |
86 | 12 | 12.2801990780000 | -0.280199077999961 |
87 | 9 | 9.36171217173182 | -0.361712171731819 |
88 | 12 | 11.9333143311241 | 0.0666856688758652 |
89 | 16 | 14.8622073505445 | 1.13779264945548 |
90 | 10 | 10.4811648028871 | -0.481164802887096 |
91 | 14 | 13.1369787431397 | 0.863021256860287 |
92 | 10 | 13.6131908972401 | -3.61319089724007 |
93 | 16 | 15.5372489158858 | 0.462751084114163 |
94 | 15 | 13.3963793177822 | 1.60362068221781 |
95 | 12 | 11.4828928526639 | 0.517107147336102 |
96 | 10 | 9.34754918900215 | 0.652450810997852 |
97 | 8 | 10.0946873175326 | -2.09468731753260 |
98 | 8 | 8.69138666096395 | -0.691386660963952 |
99 | 11 | 12.6021489402075 | -1.60214894020754 |
100 | 13 | 12.5389637747878 | 0.461036225212233 |
101 | 16 | 15.5785821328421 | 0.421417867157914 |
102 | 16 | 14.9094884763728 | 1.09051152362718 |
103 | 14 | 15.3685027353908 | -1.36850273539084 |
104 | 11 | 8.96440667459719 | 2.03559332540281 |
105 | 4 | 7.05673560355099 | -3.05673560355099 |
106 | 14 | 14.7124317109416 | -0.712431710941592 |
107 | 9 | 10.517644906001 | -1.51764490600101 |
108 | 14 | 15.2622351436140 | -1.26223514361397 |
109 | 8 | 10.2264671670019 | -2.22646716700188 |
110 | 8 | 10.6419821312154 | -2.64198213121536 |
111 | 11 | 11.8648204608645 | -0.864820460864535 |
112 | 12 | 13.1317405554262 | -1.13174055542617 |
113 | 11 | 11.0788660907255 | -0.078866090725452 |
114 | 14 | 13.2580194952846 | 0.741980504715392 |
115 | 15 | 14.4439672747837 | 0.556032725216287 |
116 | 16 | 13.4079790483945 | 2.59202095160549 |
117 | 16 | 12.8754068268996 | 3.12459317310043 |
118 | 11 | 12.7568035313305 | -1.75680353133049 |
119 | 14 | 14.1386402507739 | -0.138640250773902 |
120 | 14 | 10.7993282173183 | 3.20067178268169 |
121 | 12 | 11.4789934273150 | 0.521006572684956 |
122 | 14 | 12.4530956518678 | 1.54690434813222 |
123 | 8 | 10.7918791805510 | -2.79187918055104 |
124 | 13 | 14.0062803811429 | -1.00628038114291 |
125 | 16 | 13.8850999805959 | 2.11490001940407 |
126 | 12 | 10.5245584123814 | 1.47544158761858 |
127 | 16 | 15.3989404920953 | 0.601059507904733 |
128 | 12 | 12.652824763762 | -0.652824763762011 |
129 | 11 | 11.3105192708351 | -0.310519270835101 |
130 | 4 | 5.839463016272 | -1.83946301627200 |
131 | 16 | 16.0126175434527 | -0.0126175434526787 |
132 | 15 | 12.5241953264478 | 2.47580467355223 |
133 | 10 | 11.2099749876386 | -1.20997498763857 |
134 | 13 | 13.8877219959662 | -0.88772199596624 |
135 | 15 | 12.9728410638645 | 2.02715893613546 |
136 | 12 | 10.3240697517114 | 1.67593024828857 |
137 | 14 | 13.4769830009672 | 0.523016999032764 |
138 | 7 | 10.2770195532042 | -3.27701955320419 |
139 | 19 | 13.8272401676380 | 5.17275983236197 |
140 | 12 | 12.8342534850819 | -0.8342534850819 |
141 | 12 | 11.7452520712625 | 0.254747928737472 |
142 | 13 | 13.2395552988095 | -0.239555298809516 |
143 | 15 | 12.2895289875902 | 2.71047101240979 |
144 | 8 | 8.70031081069254 | -0.700310810692544 |
145 | 12 | 10.7908901625884 | 1.20910983741163 |
146 | 10 | 10.6628115577567 | -0.662811557756726 |
147 | 8 | 11.1204961318578 | -3.12049613185784 |
148 | 10 | 14.5375596268969 | -4.53755962689691 |
149 | 15 | 13.7103009270085 | 1.28969907299154 |
150 | 16 | 14.0364090740864 | 1.96359092591364 |
151 | 13 | 13.3264786636824 | -0.326478663682361 |
152 | 16 | 15.1372417911266 | 0.862758208873362 |
153 | 9 | 10.2535821517534 | -1.25358215175342 |
154 | 14 | 13.4954473181394 | 0.504552681860618 |
155 | 14 | 13.5870642929889 | 0.412935707011149 |
156 | 12 | 10.5625930148834 | 1.43740698511655 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
11 | 0.231958474729755 | 0.463916949459511 | 0.768041525270245 |
12 | 0.144926878499410 | 0.289853756998819 | 0.85507312150059 |
13 | 0.676847826321099 | 0.646304347357802 | 0.323152173678901 |
14 | 0.807318199336137 | 0.385363601327726 | 0.192681800663863 |
15 | 0.742782021802478 | 0.514435956395044 | 0.257217978197522 |
16 | 0.656414369221807 | 0.687171261556385 | 0.343585630778193 |
17 | 0.569129259577527 | 0.861741480844947 | 0.430870740422473 |
18 | 0.543539522704408 | 0.912920954591184 | 0.456460477295592 |
19 | 0.45360871693986 | 0.90721743387972 | 0.54639128306014 |
20 | 0.591434890093033 | 0.817130219813935 | 0.408565109906967 |
21 | 0.610337566660822 | 0.779324866678355 | 0.389662433339178 |
22 | 0.636347047142489 | 0.727305905715023 | 0.363652952857511 |
23 | 0.564409575479091 | 0.871180849041818 | 0.435590424520909 |
24 | 0.567444251354572 | 0.865111497290856 | 0.432555748645428 |
25 | 0.521891571512487 | 0.956216856975026 | 0.478108428487513 |
26 | 0.456473442728911 | 0.912946885457823 | 0.543526557271089 |
27 | 0.693893229748837 | 0.612213540502326 | 0.306106770251163 |
28 | 0.650496333610283 | 0.699007332779433 | 0.349503666389717 |
29 | 0.596651717343825 | 0.80669656531235 | 0.403348282656175 |
30 | 0.758772132731623 | 0.482455734536755 | 0.241227867268377 |
31 | 0.836673446029359 | 0.326653107941282 | 0.163326553970641 |
32 | 0.803113508539584 | 0.393772982920832 | 0.196886491460416 |
33 | 0.759039376895389 | 0.481921246209222 | 0.240960623104611 |
34 | 0.728691071849608 | 0.542617856300783 | 0.271308928150392 |
35 | 0.721376945152427 | 0.557246109695146 | 0.278623054847573 |
36 | 0.719832316494101 | 0.560335367011798 | 0.280167683505899 |
37 | 0.693547896178377 | 0.612904207643246 | 0.306452103821623 |
38 | 0.645252439732475 | 0.70949512053505 | 0.354747560267525 |
39 | 0.596896456871879 | 0.806207086256243 | 0.403103543128121 |
40 | 0.553662719314778 | 0.892674561370444 | 0.446337280685222 |
41 | 0.513807182353511 | 0.972385635292978 | 0.486192817646489 |
42 | 0.790809631040228 | 0.418380737919543 | 0.209190368959772 |
43 | 0.957548178963805 | 0.0849036420723907 | 0.0424518210361953 |
44 | 0.961005488888202 | 0.0779890222235958 | 0.0389945111117979 |
45 | 0.94878108874027 | 0.102437822519459 | 0.0512189112597295 |
46 | 0.95566065786787 | 0.0886786842642597 | 0.0443393421321299 |
47 | 0.955224515339178 | 0.089550969321645 | 0.0447754846608225 |
48 | 0.945251632253793 | 0.109496735492414 | 0.0547483677462069 |
49 | 0.942739739691695 | 0.11452052061661 | 0.057260260308305 |
50 | 0.931630423448571 | 0.136739153102858 | 0.068369576551429 |
51 | 0.923581468992257 | 0.152837062015486 | 0.0764185310077431 |
52 | 0.988159847541786 | 0.0236803049164282 | 0.0118401524582141 |
53 | 0.984622234452902 | 0.0307555310941970 | 0.0153777655470985 |
54 | 0.987601730319476 | 0.0247965393610485 | 0.0123982696805243 |
55 | 0.992189652957987 | 0.0156206940840269 | 0.00781034704201347 |
56 | 0.989634898741058 | 0.0207302025178849 | 0.0103651012589424 |
57 | 0.985936141052105 | 0.0281277178957903 | 0.0140638589478951 |
58 | 0.984213422086923 | 0.0315731558261548 | 0.0157865779130774 |
59 | 0.989284773359341 | 0.0214304532813174 | 0.0107152266406587 |
60 | 0.988459649300983 | 0.0230807013980337 | 0.0115403506990168 |
61 | 0.988319144616754 | 0.0233617107664928 | 0.0116808553832464 |
62 | 0.988743927487976 | 0.0225121450240484 | 0.0112560725120242 |
63 | 0.987352491700388 | 0.0252950165992242 | 0.0126475082996121 |
64 | 0.98982289512479 | 0.0203542097504195 | 0.0101771048752097 |
65 | 0.988649527176445 | 0.0227009456471096 | 0.0113504728235548 |
66 | 0.987951804514628 | 0.0240963909707438 | 0.0120481954853719 |
67 | 0.988347892798583 | 0.0233042144028344 | 0.0116521072014172 |
68 | 0.99057491158924 | 0.0188501768215192 | 0.00942508841075962 |
69 | 0.990078949331199 | 0.0198421013376025 | 0.00992105066880124 |
70 | 0.986974553168644 | 0.0260508936627125 | 0.0130254468313562 |
71 | 0.987378870473506 | 0.0252422590529882 | 0.0126211295264941 |
72 | 0.983188289778963 | 0.0336234204420748 | 0.0168117102210374 |
73 | 0.9800777006504 | 0.0398445986991986 | 0.0199222993495993 |
74 | 0.986015334175165 | 0.0279693316496707 | 0.0139846658248354 |
75 | 0.981551648187315 | 0.0368967036253707 | 0.0184483518126854 |
76 | 0.978470707782516 | 0.0430585844349683 | 0.0215292922174841 |
77 | 0.971995017317036 | 0.0560099653659275 | 0.0280049826829638 |
78 | 0.963342174596101 | 0.0733156508077985 | 0.0366578254038992 |
79 | 0.976169347397683 | 0.0476613052046332 | 0.0238306526023166 |
80 | 0.974358599175678 | 0.0512828016486433 | 0.0256414008243217 |
81 | 0.977408000923024 | 0.0451839981539525 | 0.0225919990769763 |
82 | 0.977164289683699 | 0.045671420632603 | 0.0228357103163015 |
83 | 0.969734284664883 | 0.0605314306702333 | 0.0302657153351166 |
84 | 0.962622815080528 | 0.0747543698389448 | 0.0373771849194724 |
85 | 0.987965025446746 | 0.0240699491065081 | 0.0120349745532540 |
86 | 0.98378604879181 | 0.03242790241638 | 0.01621395120819 |
87 | 0.978264053560481 | 0.0434718928790378 | 0.0217359464395189 |
88 | 0.971950099547073 | 0.0560998009058536 | 0.0280499004529268 |
89 | 0.966947842813883 | 0.0661043143722335 | 0.0330521571861167 |
90 | 0.957445963570876 | 0.0851080728582472 | 0.0425540364291236 |
91 | 0.950347657270578 | 0.0993046854588444 | 0.0496523427294222 |
92 | 0.969220584161441 | 0.0615588316771171 | 0.0307794158385585 |
93 | 0.960649466407138 | 0.0787010671857232 | 0.0393505335928616 |
94 | 0.956677639974289 | 0.0866447200514228 | 0.0433223600257114 |
95 | 0.946568848012775 | 0.106862303974451 | 0.0534311519872253 |
96 | 0.935230355488208 | 0.129539289023585 | 0.0647696445117925 |
97 | 0.927949909159394 | 0.144100181681213 | 0.0720500908406064 |
98 | 0.910508466598297 | 0.178983066803407 | 0.0894915334017033 |
99 | 0.900359997607406 | 0.199280004785187 | 0.0996400023925936 |
100 | 0.880811326737012 | 0.238377346525977 | 0.119188673262988 |
101 | 0.854998882791285 | 0.290002234417429 | 0.145001117208715 |
102 | 0.834783564599055 | 0.33043287080189 | 0.165216435400945 |
103 | 0.836579419165006 | 0.326841161669987 | 0.163420580834994 |
104 | 0.888987667832238 | 0.222024664335523 | 0.111012332167762 |
105 | 0.88619232030717 | 0.227615359385658 | 0.113807679692829 |
106 | 0.859533103605805 | 0.280933792788390 | 0.140466896394195 |
107 | 0.832501423297284 | 0.334997153405431 | 0.167498576702715 |
108 | 0.82471888241522 | 0.350562235169562 | 0.175281117584781 |
109 | 0.816983430357943 | 0.366033139284113 | 0.183016569642057 |
110 | 0.837056268206856 | 0.325887463586287 | 0.162943731793144 |
111 | 0.82614132745682 | 0.347717345086359 | 0.173858672543179 |
112 | 0.883412890202103 | 0.233174219595794 | 0.116587109797897 |
113 | 0.854588541673337 | 0.290822916653326 | 0.145411458326663 |
114 | 0.831082758470782 | 0.337834483058436 | 0.168917241529218 |
115 | 0.79693925368071 | 0.40612149263858 | 0.20306074631929 |
116 | 0.785426192137445 | 0.429147615725109 | 0.214573807862555 |
117 | 0.786821097777057 | 0.426357804445885 | 0.213178902222943 |
118 | 0.789854032337384 | 0.420291935325232 | 0.210145967662616 |
119 | 0.748581867277772 | 0.502836265444455 | 0.251418132722228 |
120 | 0.793943506863747 | 0.412112986272507 | 0.206056493136253 |
121 | 0.75433919195016 | 0.491321616099681 | 0.245660808049840 |
122 | 0.7197070026217 | 0.560585994756598 | 0.280292997378299 |
123 | 0.717372545258142 | 0.565254909483716 | 0.282627454741858 |
124 | 0.677315790509525 | 0.645368418980951 | 0.322684209490475 |
125 | 0.660111497850825 | 0.679777004298351 | 0.339888502149175 |
126 | 0.641479430541531 | 0.717041138916937 | 0.358520569458469 |
127 | 0.577534188305695 | 0.84493162338861 | 0.422465811694305 |
128 | 0.546398743138503 | 0.907202513722994 | 0.453601256861497 |
129 | 0.548882644834061 | 0.902234710331877 | 0.451117355165939 |
130 | 0.563778420032804 | 0.872443159934393 | 0.436221579967196 |
131 | 0.505231785948185 | 0.98953642810363 | 0.494768214051815 |
132 | 0.460419743735638 | 0.920839487471276 | 0.539580256264362 |
133 | 0.444859617438533 | 0.889719234877066 | 0.555140382561467 |
134 | 0.372399455088229 | 0.744798910176459 | 0.62760054491177 |
135 | 0.319623803936112 | 0.639247607872224 | 0.680376196063888 |
136 | 0.301683126782112 | 0.603366253564223 | 0.698316873217888 |
137 | 0.234538290034389 | 0.469076580068778 | 0.765461709965611 |
138 | 0.321884958067844 | 0.643769916135687 | 0.678115041932156 |
139 | 0.705327897048977 | 0.589344205902047 | 0.294672102951023 |
140 | 0.661692581754983 | 0.676614836490035 | 0.338307418245017 |
141 | 0.594686867285913 | 0.810626265428175 | 0.405313132714087 |
142 | 0.493156672302713 | 0.986313344605427 | 0.506843327697287 |
143 | 0.42306968322476 | 0.84613936644952 | 0.57693031677524 |
144 | 0.297113493667415 | 0.59422698733483 | 0.702886506332585 |
145 | 0.527634846431587 | 0.944730307136827 | 0.472365153568413 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 31 | 0.229629629629630 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 47 | 0.348148148148148 | NOK |