Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Popularity[t] = -0.0931214533089994 + 0.114501138766228FindingFriends[t] + 0.209268449968476KnowingPeople[t] + 0.358378633517791Liked[t] + 0.6165874587436Celebrity[t] + 0.213464699493470Sum_friends[t] + 0.104200617441747Day[t] -0.00667926178074984t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)-0.09312145330899941.454348-0.0640.9490330.474516
FindingFriends0.1145011387662280.0972561.17730.2409570.120479
KnowingPeople0.2092684499684760.0641123.26410.0013640.000682
Liked0.3583786335177910.0973793.68030.0003260.000163
Celebrity0.61658745874360.1574413.91630.0001376.8e-05
Sum_friends0.2134646994934700.1207261.76820.0790930.039547
Day0.1042006174417470.1953410.53340.5945370.297269
t-0.006679261780749840.011864-0.5630.57430.28715


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.714498470884513
R-squared0.510508064896307
Adjusted R-squared0.487356419317078
F-TEST (value)22.050616797379
F-TEST (DF numerator)7
F-TEST (DF denominator)148
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation2.10259968841939
Sum Squared Residuals654.296966561714


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
11311.35828701682061.64171298317940
21211.00120613445650.998793865543455
31513.08085705482071.91914294517927
41211.12021396884060.879786031159374
51010.8808751034701-0.880875103470149
6129.173667086360092.82633291363991
71516.8250435068735-1.82504350687353
8910.2555911878983-1.25559118789830
91212.5922472750568-0.592247275056757
10117.5786616153683.421338384632
111113.2156278980623-2.21562789806234
121112.0338923912738-1.03389239127376
131512.41101754729472.58898245270529
14711.4390943772195-4.43909437721946
151111.5506970176144-0.550697017614382
161110.62069399358920.37930600641075
171012.00049608237-2.00049608237001
181414.3633687152616-0.363368715261566
19108.617987720076081.38201227992392
2069.28859807020295-3.28859807020295
21118.789431235059562.21056876494044
221514.48979266083760.510207339162353
231111.8807784634427-0.880778463442691
24129.629314516467612.37068548353239
251413.03325033946400.96674966053602
261514.61920743890080.380792561099205
27914.4522001024089-5.4522001024089
281312.72812482234290.271875177657057
291313.0256047590851-0.0256047590850806
301611.08710799579844.91289200420157
31138.701154655378484.29884534462152
321213.5917416372283-1.59174163722834
331414.7442866195091-0.744286619509097
341110.1347436780410.865256321958994
35910.4971170541950-1.49711705419502
361614.51589775403571.48410224596428
371213.1546442317169-1.15464423171687
38109.603527815811160.396472184188844
391312.9336364027340.0663635972660046
401615.67761149866760.322388501332421
411413.03897526746370.961024732536281
42158.021195947383166.97880405261684
4359.687707501623-4.6877075016230
44810.2581480434579-2.25814804345788
451111.2795714987209-0.279571498720851
461613.86604391205512.13395608794487
471714.32551482968502.67448517031504
4898.205382517961260.794617482038739
49911.404790027259-2.40479002725901
501314.4683384624023-1.4683384624023
511011.0845703504149-1.08457035041494
52612.4279802219199-6.4279802219199
531212.1686180693552-0.168618069355242
54810.5633636149327-2.56336361493267
551411.90718580151722.09281419848281
561212.9480962096398-0.948096209639807
571110.67851757964780.321482420352153
581614.60253096828631.39746903171370
59810.5310501162415-2.53105011624149
601514.62984375828430.370156241715689
6179.11471329121909-2.11471329121909
621614.20256007042641.79743992957359
631413.12303137673640.876968623263592
641613.37414804319912.62585195680089
65910.4129896433215-1.41298964332153
661412.14614218214961.85385781785035
671113.2431380445186-2.2431380445186
681310.30532962576602.69467037423397
691513.27382187197971.72617812802031
7055.85242053591145-0.852420535911449
711512.95210790037032.04789209962970
721312.63719662789380.362803372106162
731112.4558579609277-1.45585796092770
741114.1962017145182-3.19620171451821
751212.7954755737943-0.795475573794256
761213.4321392399579-1.43213923995792
771212.3557265747135-0.355726574713532
781211.92565180265100.0743481973490444
791410.85896132137353.14103867862654
8067.91196964212172-1.91196964212172
8179.70611238131443-2.70611238131443
821412.35507070220831.64492929779175
831414.1409469688363-0.140946968836333
841011.1241982765507-1.1241982765507
85139.071200374497823.92879962550218
861212.2801990780000-0.280199077999961
8799.36171217173182-0.361712171731819
881211.93331433112410.0666856688758652
891614.86220735054451.13779264945548
901010.4811648028871-0.481164802887096
911413.13697874313970.863021256860287
921013.6131908972401-3.61319089724007
931615.53724891588580.462751084114163
941513.39637931778221.60362068221781
951211.48289285266390.517107147336102
96109.347549189002150.652450810997852
97810.0946873175326-2.09468731753260
9888.69138666096395-0.691386660963952
991112.6021489402075-1.60214894020754
1001312.53896377478780.461036225212233
1011615.57858213284210.421417867157914
1021614.90948847637281.09051152362718
1031415.3685027353908-1.36850273539084
104118.964406674597192.03559332540281
10547.05673560355099-3.05673560355099
1061414.7124317109416-0.712431710941592
107910.517644906001-1.51764490600101
1081415.2622351436140-1.26223514361397
109810.2264671670019-2.22646716700188
110810.6419821312154-2.64198213121536
1111111.8648204608645-0.864820460864535
1121213.1317405554262-1.13174055542617
1131111.0788660907255-0.078866090725452
1141413.25801949528460.741980504715392
1151514.44396727478370.556032725216287
1161613.40797904839452.59202095160549
1171612.87540682689963.12459317310043
1181112.7568035313305-1.75680353133049
1191414.1386402507739-0.138640250773902
1201410.79932821731833.20067178268169
1211211.47899342731500.521006572684956
1221412.45309565186781.54690434813222
123810.7918791805510-2.79187918055104
1241314.0062803811429-1.00628038114291
1251613.88509998059592.11490001940407
1261210.52455841238141.47544158761858
1271615.39894049209530.601059507904733
1281212.652824763762-0.652824763762011
1291111.3105192708351-0.310519270835101
13045.839463016272-1.83946301627200
1311616.0126175434527-0.0126175434526787
1321512.52419532644782.47580467355223
1331011.2099749876386-1.20997498763857
1341313.8877219959662-0.88772199596624
1351512.97284106386452.02715893613546
1361210.32406975171141.67593024828857
1371413.47698300096720.523016999032764
138710.2770195532042-3.27701955320419
1391913.82724016763805.17275983236197
1401212.8342534850819-0.8342534850819
1411211.74525207126250.254747928737472
1421313.2395552988095-0.239555298809516
1431512.28952898759022.71047101240979
14488.70031081069254-0.700310810692544
1451210.79089016258841.20910983741163
1461010.6628115577567-0.662811557756726
147811.1204961318578-3.12049613185784
1481014.5375596268969-4.53755962689691
1491513.71030092700851.28969907299154
1501614.03640907408641.96359092591364
1511313.3264786636824-0.326478663682361
1521615.13724179112660.862758208873362
153910.2535821517534-1.25358215175342
1541413.49544731813940.504552681860618
1551413.58706429298890.412935707011149
1561210.56259301488341.43740698511655


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
110.2319584747297550.4639169494595110.768041525270245
120.1449268784994100.2898537569988190.85507312150059
130.6768478263210990.6463043473578020.323152173678901
140.8073181993361370.3853636013277260.192681800663863
150.7427820218024780.5144359563950440.257217978197522
160.6564143692218070.6871712615563850.343585630778193
170.5691292595775270.8617414808449470.430870740422473
180.5435395227044080.9129209545911840.456460477295592
190.453608716939860.907217433879720.54639128306014
200.5914348900930330.8171302198139350.408565109906967
210.6103375666608220.7793248666783550.389662433339178
220.6363470471424890.7273059057150230.363652952857511
230.5644095754790910.8711808490418180.435590424520909
240.5674442513545720.8651114972908560.432555748645428
250.5218915715124870.9562168569750260.478108428487513
260.4564734427289110.9129468854578230.543526557271089
270.6938932297488370.6122135405023260.306106770251163
280.6504963336102830.6990073327794330.349503666389717
290.5966517173438250.806696565312350.403348282656175
300.7587721327316230.4824557345367550.241227867268377
310.8366734460293590.3266531079412820.163326553970641
320.8031135085395840.3937729829208320.196886491460416
330.7590393768953890.4819212462092220.240960623104611
340.7286910718496080.5426178563007830.271308928150392
350.7213769451524270.5572461096951460.278623054847573
360.7198323164941010.5603353670117980.280167683505899
370.6935478961783770.6129042076432460.306452103821623
380.6452524397324750.709495120535050.354747560267525
390.5968964568718790.8062070862562430.403103543128121
400.5536627193147780.8926745613704440.446337280685222
410.5138071823535110.9723856352929780.486192817646489
420.7908096310402280.4183807379195430.209190368959772
430.9575481789638050.08490364207239070.0424518210361953
440.9610054888882020.07798902222359580.0389945111117979
450.948781088740270.1024378225194590.0512189112597295
460.955660657867870.08867868426425970.0443393421321299
470.9552245153391780.0895509693216450.0447754846608225
480.9452516322537930.1094967354924140.0547483677462069
490.9427397396916950.114520520616610.057260260308305
500.9316304234485710.1367391531028580.068369576551429
510.9235814689922570.1528370620154860.0764185310077431
520.9881598475417860.02368030491642820.0118401524582141
530.9846222344529020.03075553109419700.0153777655470985
540.9876017303194760.02479653936104850.0123982696805243
550.9921896529579870.01562069408402690.00781034704201347
560.9896348987410580.02073020251788490.0103651012589424
570.9859361410521050.02812771789579030.0140638589478951
580.9842134220869230.03157315582615480.0157865779130774
590.9892847733593410.02143045328131740.0107152266406587
600.9884596493009830.02308070139803370.0115403506990168
610.9883191446167540.02336171076649280.0116808553832464
620.9887439274879760.02251214502404840.0112560725120242
630.9873524917003880.02529501659922420.0126475082996121
640.989822895124790.02035420975041950.0101771048752097
650.9886495271764450.02270094564710960.0113504728235548
660.9879518045146280.02409639097074380.0120481954853719
670.9883478927985830.02330421440283440.0116521072014172
680.990574911589240.01885017682151920.00942508841075962
690.9900789493311990.01984210133760250.00992105066880124
700.9869745531686440.02605089366271250.0130254468313562
710.9873788704735060.02524225905298820.0126211295264941
720.9831882897789630.03362342044207480.0168117102210374
730.98007770065040.03984459869919860.0199222993495993
740.9860153341751650.02796933164967070.0139846658248354
750.9815516481873150.03689670362537070.0184483518126854
760.9784707077825160.04305858443496830.0215292922174841
770.9719950173170360.05600996536592750.0280049826829638
780.9633421745961010.07331565080779850.0366578254038992
790.9761693473976830.04766130520463320.0238306526023166
800.9743585991756780.05128280164864330.0256414008243217
810.9774080009230240.04518399815395250.0225919990769763
820.9771642896836990.0456714206326030.0228357103163015
830.9697342846648830.06053143067023330.0302657153351166
840.9626228150805280.07475436983894480.0373771849194724
850.9879650254467460.02406994910650810.0120349745532540
860.983786048791810.032427902416380.01621395120819
870.9782640535604810.04347189287903780.0217359464395189
880.9719500995470730.05609980090585360.0280499004529268
890.9669478428138830.06610431437223350.0330521571861167
900.9574459635708760.08510807285824720.0425540364291236
910.9503476572705780.09930468545884440.0496523427294222
920.9692205841614410.06155883167711710.0307794158385585
930.9606494664071380.07870106718572320.0393505335928616
940.9566776399742890.08664472005142280.0433223600257114
950.9465688480127750.1068623039744510.0534311519872253
960.9352303554882080.1295392890235850.0647696445117925
970.9279499091593940.1441001816812130.0720500908406064
980.9105084665982970.1789830668034070.0894915334017033
990.9003599976074060.1992800047851870.0996400023925936
1000.8808113267370120.2383773465259770.119188673262988
1010.8549988827912850.2900022344174290.145001117208715
1020.8347835645990550.330432870801890.165216435400945
1030.8365794191650060.3268411616699870.163420580834994
1040.8889876678322380.2220246643355230.111012332167762
1050.886192320307170.2276153593856580.113807679692829
1060.8595331036058050.2809337927883900.140466896394195
1070.8325014232972840.3349971534054310.167498576702715
1080.824718882415220.3505622351695620.175281117584781
1090.8169834303579430.3660331392841130.183016569642057
1100.8370562682068560.3258874635862870.162943731793144
1110.826141327456820.3477173450863590.173858672543179
1120.8834128902021030.2331742195957940.116587109797897
1130.8545885416733370.2908229166533260.145411458326663
1140.8310827584707820.3378344830584360.168917241529218
1150.796939253680710.406121492638580.20306074631929
1160.7854261921374450.4291476157251090.214573807862555
1170.7868210977770570.4263578044458850.213178902222943
1180.7898540323373840.4202919353252320.210145967662616
1190.7485818672777720.5028362654444550.251418132722228
1200.7939435068637470.4121129862725070.206056493136253
1210.754339191950160.4913216160996810.245660808049840
1220.71970700262170.5605859947565980.280292997378299
1230.7173725452581420.5652549094837160.282627454741858
1240.6773157905095250.6453684189809510.322684209490475
1250.6601114978508250.6797770042983510.339888502149175
1260.6414794305415310.7170411389169370.358520569458469
1270.5775341883056950.844931623388610.422465811694305
1280.5463987431385030.9072025137229940.453601256861497
1290.5488826448340610.9022347103318770.451117355165939
1300.5637784200328040.8724431599343930.436221579967196
1310.5052317859481850.989536428103630.494768214051815
1320.4604197437356380.9208394874712760.539580256264362
1330.4448596174385330.8897192348770660.555140382561467
1340.3723994550882290.7447989101764590.62760054491177
1350.3196238039361120.6392476078722240.680376196063888
1360.3016831267821120.6033662535642230.698316873217888
1370.2345382900343890.4690765800687780.765461709965611
1380.3218849580678440.6437699161356870.678115041932156
1390.7053278970489770.5893442059020470.294672102951023
1400.6616925817549830.6766148364900350.338307418245017
1410.5946868672859130.8106262654281750.405313132714087
1420.4931566723027130.9863133446054270.506843327697287
1430.423069683224760.846139366449520.57693031677524
1440.2971134936674150.594226987334830.702886506332585
1450.5276348464315870.9447303071368270.472365153568413


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level310.229629629629630NOK
10% type I error level470.348148148148148NOK