Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
PS[t] = + 16.7814871438007 + 0.361040957079362CM[t] -0.331410467693096D[t] + 0.152692331465191PE[t] -0.0951446605742276PC[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 16.7814871438007 | 1.649635 | 10.1728 | 0 | 0 |
CM | 0.361040957079362 | 0.060414 | 5.9761 | 0 | 0 |
D | -0.331410467693096 | 0.11701 | -2.8323 | 0.005239 | 0.00262 |
PE | 0.152692331465191 | 0.110431 | 1.3827 | 0.168762 | 0.084381 |
PC | -0.0951446605742276 | 0.138765 | -0.6857 | 0.493964 | 0.246982 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.487604702873295 |
R-squared | 0.237758346264154 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.217959861751535 |
F-TEST (value) | 12.0089164457315 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 4 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 154 |
p-value | 1.61012581045838e-08 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 3.72918444517006 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 2141.64976041915 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 24 | 21.3446032852283 | 2.65539671477173 |
2 | 25 | 22.4696849618232 | 2.5303150381768 |
3 | 30 | 22.7653329583057 | 7.23466704169429 |
4 | 19 | 20.0690647889702 | -1.06906478897016 |
5 | 22 | 21.6049466620987 | 0.395053337901304 |
6 | 22 | 20.4103331337022 | 1.58966686629777 |
7 | 25 | 21.9872386122772 | 3.01276138772283 |
8 | 23 | 19.5456516922470 | 3.45434830775297 |
9 | 17 | 19.1439522417024 | -2.14395224170238 |
10 | 21 | 20.5926559545537 | 0.407344045446312 |
11 | 19 | 21.7730497902377 | -2.77304979023772 |
12 | 19 | 25.1274209415652 | -6.12742094156519 |
13 | 15 | 23.1623144554561 | -8.16231445545609 |
14 | 16 | 20.0690647889702 | -4.06906478897015 |
15 | 23 | 19.4700447168904 | 3.52995528310965 |
16 | 27 | 21.6981430876616 | 5.30185691233838 |
17 | 22 | 21.8985820712481 | 0.101417928751890 |
18 | 14 | 20.4642761199696 | -6.46427611996964 |
19 | 22 | 23.2807795547318 | -1.28077955473183 |
20 | 23 | 24.8831886341493 | -1.88318863414932 |
21 | 23 | 22.3817496704961 | 0.618250329503914 |
22 | 21 | 25.4561829014664 | -4.45618290146640 |
23 | 19 | 22.2814650862772 | -3.28146508627715 |
24 | 18 | 24.0997762956157 | -6.09977629561567 |
25 | 20 | 20.9142085452078 | -0.914208545207802 |
26 | 23 | 21.3409417423355 | 1.65905825766446 |
27 | 25 | 22.7391290846826 | 2.26087091531742 |
28 | 19 | 22.5093513971089 | -3.50935139710887 |
29 | 24 | 23.3284693485838 | 0.671530651416192 |
30 | 22 | 21.3506215505141 | 0.649378449485892 |
31 | 25 | 22.9357284565158 | 2.06427154348422 |
32 | 26 | 21.731090984881 | 4.26890901511899 |
33 | 29 | 24.7957755467424 | 4.20422445325765 |
34 | 32 | 24.3225226828027 | 7.67747731719732 |
35 | 25 | 21.6759568946522 | 3.32404310534781 |
36 | 29 | 23.8355933069921 | 5.1644066930079 |
37 | 28 | 25.8536866025369 | 2.14631339746306 |
38 | 17 | 17.5290367774540 | -0.529036777454021 |
39 | 28 | 25.9645981975058 | 2.03540180249416 |
40 | 29 | 22.9968808120303 | 6.0031191879697 |
41 | 26 | 24.408943712030 | 1.59105628796999 |
42 | 25 | 23.0230846856534 | 1.97691531434657 |
43 | 14 | 21.4953473816823 | -7.4953473816823 |
44 | 25 | 21.9038432054839 | 3.09615679451609 |
45 | 26 | 21.4539676385151 | 4.54603236148493 |
46 | 20 | 19.1386342491973 | 0.861365750802742 |
47 | 18 | 20.548805772455 | -2.54880577245499 |
48 | 32 | 24.8594551994577 | 7.14054480054234 |
49 | 25 | 25.0087209151597 | -0.00872091515971016 |
50 | 25 | 22.3754396198113 | 2.62456038018867 |
51 | 23 | 21.2488675598036 | 1.75113244019638 |
52 | 21 | 21.3686808549798 | -0.368680854979824 |
53 | 20 | 21.7593523014455 | -1.75935230144545 |
54 | 15 | 19.3000502120093 | -4.30005021200934 |
55 | 30 | 26.0010729441581 | 3.9989270558419 |
56 | 24 | 22.9313666408423 | 1.06863335915767 |
57 | 26 | 22.4814342156042 | 3.51856578439582 |
58 | 24 | 21.8347243496724 | 2.16527565032760 |
59 | 22 | 19.4823730328608 | 2.5176269671392 |
60 | 14 | 18.088746551969 | -4.08874655196899 |
61 | 24 | 20.9124952373262 | 3.08750476267377 |
62 | 24 | 22.4633749111385 | 1.53662508886154 |
63 | 24 | 21.1360197324845 | 2.86398026751549 |
64 | 24 | 19.3371249977724 | 4.66287500222755 |
65 | 19 | 18.2816843809093 | 0.718315619090677 |
66 | 31 | 24.5046674347937 | 6.49533256520628 |
67 | 22 | 26.2409314332394 | -4.24093143323944 |
68 | 27 | 21.8824141435244 | 5.11758585647562 |
69 | 19 | 16.6785750287113 | 2.32142497128875 |
70 | 25 | 21.2752495022872 | 3.72475049771284 |
71 | 20 | 25.4056455540408 | -5.40564555404077 |
72 | 21 | 21.3667894782378 | -0.366789478237841 |
73 | 27 | 26.0641046737535 | 0.935895326246486 |
74 | 23 | 23.9823885837627 | -0.98238858376269 |
75 | 25 | 24.9053748271587 | 0.094625172841252 |
76 | 20 | 22.8424751726835 | -2.84247517268354 |
77 | 21 | 18.2494053837312 | 2.75059461626882 |
78 | 22 | 21.6678123254948 | 0.332187674505225 |
79 | 23 | 20.4301057460495 | 2.56989425395049 |
80 | 25 | 24.6592511430009 | 0.340748856999103 |
81 | 25 | 21.4792363122279 | 3.52076368777211 |
82 | 17 | 22.2102199265939 | -5.21021992659392 |
83 | 19 | 21.6102646546038 | -2.61026465460381 |
84 | 25 | 22.8426532415440 | 2.15734675845605 |
85 | 19 | 21.1914979577731 | -2.19149795777307 |
86 | 20 | 22.4948967772667 | -2.49489677726671 |
87 | 26 | 22.2531349087823 | 3.74686509121769 |
88 | 23 | 18.1704286508807 | 4.82957134911932 |
89 | 27 | 24.0247603851096 | 2.97523961489045 |
90 | 17 | 21.4934560049403 | -4.49345600494032 |
91 | 17 | 22.9053408360796 | -5.90534083607962 |
92 | 19 | 19.385515064405 | -0.385515064405005 |
93 | 17 | 19.811134992762 | -2.81113499276202 |
94 | 22 | 23.1298005311482 | -1.12980053114820 |
95 | 21 | 21.3867401594455 | -0.38674015944554 |
96 | 32 | 26.7244551702082 | 5.27554482979176 |
97 | 21 | 23.952580025516 | -2.95258002551601 |
98 | 21 | 24.5500648585747 | -3.55006485857466 |
99 | 18 | 21.8248664726334 | -3.82486647263341 |
100 | 18 | 22.6341265470694 | -4.63412654706937 |
101 | 23 | 23.1102628459307 | -0.110262845930655 |
102 | 19 | 21.1386682402764 | -2.13866824027639 |
103 | 20 | 22.9693197682464 | -2.96931976824643 |
104 | 21 | 21.9678789959200 | -0.967878995920038 |
105 | 20 | 21.1738516492975 | -1.17385164929751 |
106 | 17 | 22.3716568663274 | -5.37165686632737 |
107 | 18 | 22.5729741915549 | -4.57297419155485 |
108 | 19 | 23.4973296077727 | -4.49732960777273 |
109 | 22 | 22.4115582287428 | -0.411558228742766 |
110 | 15 | 19.5408768805834 | -4.54087688058343 |
111 | 14 | 19.9900311978503 | -5.99003119785034 |
112 | 18 | 25.5406915770304 | -7.5406915770304 |
113 | 24 | 22.0397032177928 | 1.96029678220725 |
114 | 35 | 25.18950849699 | 9.81049150300998 |
115 | 29 | 18.2173403367614 | 10.7826596632386 |
116 | 21 | 21.4161357217021 | -0.41613572170207 |
117 | 25 | 23.4874148724644 | 1.51258512753557 |
118 | 20 | 20.0770312892672 | -0.0770312892671516 |
119 | 22 | 22.6018475498912 | -0.601847549891221 |
120 | 13 | 21.1977511501885 | -8.1977511501885 |
121 | 26 | 24.2944274324376 | 1.70557256756243 |
122 | 17 | 19.3568407518504 | -2.35684075185041 |
123 | 25 | 21.1757430260395 | 3.82425697396051 |
124 | 20 | 19.8911037837921 | 0.108896216207855 |
125 | 19 | 17.5685820021486 | 1.43141799785141 |
126 | 21 | 22.1914034910783 | -1.19140349107831 |
127 | 22 | 20.6921624308014 | 1.30783756919864 |
128 | 24 | 21.2752495022872 | 2.72475049771284 |
129 | 21 | 21.2475103896429 | -0.247510389642882 |
130 | 26 | 24.9745505412396 | 1.02544945876042 |
131 | 24 | 22.0172820976536 | 1.98271790234641 |
132 | 16 | 20.6465989408211 | -4.6465989408211 |
133 | 23 | 21.1403815481580 | 1.85961845184205 |
134 | 18 | 20.9005110564155 | -2.90051105641553 |
135 | 16 | 22.1203932585248 | -6.12039325852481 |
136 | 26 | 23.9626159714154 | 2.03738402858459 |
137 | 19 | 20.2333283053559 | -1.23332830535589 |
138 | 21 | 20.4319971227915 | 0.568002877208502 |
139 | 21 | 21.2439057050193 | -0.243905705019331 |
140 | 22 | 21.0114795096537 | 0.988520490346251 |
141 | 23 | 23.4908983464969 | -0.490898346496886 |
142 | 29 | 24.9747286101 | 4.0252713899 |
143 | 21 | 22.5684463096821 | -1.56844630968207 |
144 | 21 | 19.9853132444561 | 1.01468675554394 |
145 | 23 | 21.6041895310488 | 1.39581046895120 |
146 | 27 | 23.0578550986844 | 3.94214490131560 |
147 | 25 | 26.7305302937633 | -1.73053029376326 |
148 | 21 | 22.0332150982476 | -1.03321509824759 |
149 | 10 | 20.5514542802469 | -10.5514542802469 |
150 | 20 | 23.2593504927723 | -3.25935049277230 |
151 | 26 | 22.5057467124853 | 3.49425328751468 |
152 | 24 | 23.2699864777825 | 0.730013522217467 |
153 | 29 | 29.3960547049418 | -0.396054704941817 |
154 | 19 | 23.3085186673761 | -4.30851866737611 |
155 | 24 | 22.1737571826027 | 1.82624281739725 |
156 | 19 | 21.3506215505141 | -2.35062155051411 |
157 | 24 | 23.1693457558428 | 0.830654244157229 |
158 | 22 | 21.754990485772 | 0.245009514227996 |
159 | 17 | 24.0500290588224 | -7.05002905882237 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
8 | 0.275441261197073 | 0.550882522394146 | 0.724558738802927 |
9 | 0.167885047016958 | 0.335770094033915 | 0.832114952983042 |
10 | 0.0917864556637122 | 0.183572911327424 | 0.908213544336288 |
11 | 0.198715480347544 | 0.397430960695088 | 0.801284519652456 |
12 | 0.262816787288933 | 0.525633574577865 | 0.737183212711067 |
13 | 0.778217356105258 | 0.443565287789485 | 0.221782643894742 |
14 | 0.803783803894903 | 0.392432392210194 | 0.196216196105097 |
15 | 0.747840013773307 | 0.504319972453385 | 0.252159986226693 |
16 | 0.687242253481719 | 0.625515493036563 | 0.312757746518281 |
17 | 0.606076313835612 | 0.787847372328776 | 0.393923686164388 |
18 | 0.841792245364849 | 0.316415509270303 | 0.158207754635151 |
19 | 0.801448990308278 | 0.397102019383444 | 0.198551009691722 |
20 | 0.758304903384561 | 0.483390193230879 | 0.241695096615439 |
21 | 0.726149834695106 | 0.547700330609789 | 0.273850165304894 |
22 | 0.678493622133082 | 0.643012755733836 | 0.321506377866918 |
23 | 0.628153528786932 | 0.743692942426136 | 0.371846471213068 |
24 | 0.626593209637993 | 0.746813580724013 | 0.373406790362007 |
25 | 0.563327249595646 | 0.873345500808708 | 0.436672750404354 |
26 | 0.500188852265284 | 0.999622295469433 | 0.499811147734716 |
27 | 0.44756441279041 | 0.89512882558082 | 0.55243558720959 |
28 | 0.423852618369006 | 0.847705236738013 | 0.576147381630994 |
29 | 0.3677059630596 | 0.7354119261192 | 0.6322940369404 |
30 | 0.312035229145453 | 0.624070458290906 | 0.687964770854547 |
31 | 0.294447322209546 | 0.588894644419091 | 0.705552677790454 |
32 | 0.388346072317424 | 0.776692144634848 | 0.611653927682576 |
33 | 0.398270409343616 | 0.796540818687232 | 0.601729590656384 |
34 | 0.646005059678999 | 0.707989880642002 | 0.353994940321001 |
35 | 0.611260062761475 | 0.77747987447705 | 0.388739937238525 |
36 | 0.698848599259737 | 0.602302801480526 | 0.301151400740263 |
37 | 0.669996751413746 | 0.660006497172508 | 0.330003248586254 |
38 | 0.635586221314849 | 0.728827557370303 | 0.364413778685151 |
39 | 0.605084040624764 | 0.789831918750471 | 0.394915959375236 |
40 | 0.664375278266519 | 0.671249443466962 | 0.335624721733481 |
41 | 0.61966193291391 | 0.76067613417218 | 0.38033806708609 |
42 | 0.577046242520197 | 0.845907514959606 | 0.422953757479803 |
43 | 0.750546489529458 | 0.498907020941083 | 0.249453510470542 |
44 | 0.726548557200373 | 0.546902885599255 | 0.273451442799627 |
45 | 0.740281182625302 | 0.519437634749395 | 0.259718817374698 |
46 | 0.69838791365095 | 0.6032241726981 | 0.30161208634905 |
47 | 0.66958999588127 | 0.660820008237460 | 0.330410004118730 |
48 | 0.746055214168608 | 0.507889571662784 | 0.253944785831392 |
49 | 0.707653242128953 | 0.584693515742095 | 0.292346757871047 |
50 | 0.679801539648594 | 0.640396920702812 | 0.320198460351406 |
51 | 0.63841186434782 | 0.723176271304359 | 0.361588135652180 |
52 | 0.592685823345909 | 0.814628353308183 | 0.407314176654091 |
53 | 0.559602329788992 | 0.880795340422015 | 0.440397670211007 |
54 | 0.598174835562952 | 0.803650328874096 | 0.401825164437048 |
55 | 0.625224968294607 | 0.749550063410787 | 0.374775031705393 |
56 | 0.580502754348768 | 0.838994491302464 | 0.419497245651232 |
57 | 0.569036881884801 | 0.861926236230398 | 0.430963118115199 |
58 | 0.534469603005607 | 0.931060793988785 | 0.465530396994393 |
59 | 0.506775770025468 | 0.986448459949063 | 0.493224229974532 |
60 | 0.505943177386198 | 0.988113645227604 | 0.494056822613802 |
61 | 0.491651474847936 | 0.983302949695872 | 0.508348525152064 |
62 | 0.452395390662483 | 0.904790781324966 | 0.547604609337517 |
63 | 0.431616127144229 | 0.863232254288458 | 0.568383872855771 |
64 | 0.473794868965236 | 0.947589737930471 | 0.526205131034764 |
65 | 0.429684350994259 | 0.859368701988518 | 0.570315649005741 |
66 | 0.507992162575337 | 0.984015674849325 | 0.492007837424663 |
67 | 0.553378994908333 | 0.893242010183335 | 0.446621005091668 |
68 | 0.592219381630387 | 0.815561236739226 | 0.407780618369613 |
69 | 0.566995157239773 | 0.866009685520454 | 0.433004842760227 |
70 | 0.566944766010946 | 0.866110467978108 | 0.433055233989054 |
71 | 0.637909769776444 | 0.724180460447113 | 0.362090230223556 |
72 | 0.594954529426399 | 0.810090941147202 | 0.405045470573601 |
73 | 0.553953769290983 | 0.892092461418033 | 0.446046230709017 |
74 | 0.51321374515888 | 0.97357250968224 | 0.48678625484112 |
75 | 0.476886326325576 | 0.953772652651152 | 0.523113673674424 |
76 | 0.460773269511319 | 0.921546539022638 | 0.539226730488681 |
77 | 0.446852468859923 | 0.893704937719847 | 0.553147531140077 |
78 | 0.403072197761031 | 0.806144395522063 | 0.596927802238969 |
79 | 0.381078125225718 | 0.762156250451436 | 0.618921874774282 |
80 | 0.343744482567191 | 0.687488965134383 | 0.656255517432809 |
81 | 0.340738292745476 | 0.681476585490952 | 0.659261707254524 |
82 | 0.384310557023628 | 0.768621114047255 | 0.615689442976372 |
83 | 0.363667587726375 | 0.727335175452750 | 0.636332412273625 |
84 | 0.337581318089245 | 0.67516263617849 | 0.662418681910755 |
85 | 0.312596530038129 | 0.625193060076258 | 0.687403469961871 |
86 | 0.294142915070660 | 0.588285830141321 | 0.70585708492934 |
87 | 0.306025289718595 | 0.61205057943719 | 0.693974710281405 |
88 | 0.344884659721588 | 0.689769319443175 | 0.655115340278412 |
89 | 0.32686642327144 | 0.65373284654288 | 0.67313357672856 |
90 | 0.342807301539907 | 0.685614603079814 | 0.657192698460093 |
91 | 0.40462072611797 | 0.80924145223594 | 0.59537927388203 |
92 | 0.361280312192969 | 0.722560624385938 | 0.638719687807031 |
93 | 0.338514904711895 | 0.67702980942379 | 0.661485095288105 |
94 | 0.302704396471844 | 0.605408792943688 | 0.697295603528156 |
95 | 0.263039719702253 | 0.526079439404507 | 0.736960280297747 |
96 | 0.309513757811717 | 0.619027515623434 | 0.690486242188283 |
97 | 0.291886641657221 | 0.583773283314442 | 0.708113358342779 |
98 | 0.285690953668172 | 0.571381907336343 | 0.714309046331828 |
99 | 0.280912009482282 | 0.561824018964563 | 0.719087990517718 |
100 | 0.295270979459725 | 0.590541958919449 | 0.704729020540275 |
101 | 0.255536246776235 | 0.51107249355247 | 0.744463753223765 |
102 | 0.226681819685379 | 0.453363639370758 | 0.773318180314621 |
103 | 0.207622264891015 | 0.415244529782029 | 0.792377735108985 |
104 | 0.175742459968953 | 0.351484919937906 | 0.824257540031047 |
105 | 0.148645499158014 | 0.297290998316028 | 0.851354500841986 |
106 | 0.169872366856523 | 0.339744733713046 | 0.830127633143477 |
107 | 0.180577068463133 | 0.361154136926267 | 0.819422931536867 |
108 | 0.194978649597026 | 0.389957299194052 | 0.805021350402974 |
109 | 0.16268754260881 | 0.32537508521762 | 0.83731245739119 |
110 | 0.165619789638499 | 0.331239579276998 | 0.834380210361501 |
111 | 0.205106692346030 | 0.410213384692059 | 0.79489330765397 |
112 | 0.346994694559925 | 0.69398938911985 | 0.653005305440075 |
113 | 0.307741661935481 | 0.615483323870962 | 0.692258338064519 |
114 | 0.593722213662134 | 0.812555572675732 | 0.406277786337866 |
115 | 0.912773517322604 | 0.174452965354793 | 0.0872264826773963 |
116 | 0.890416699018795 | 0.219166601962410 | 0.109583300981205 |
117 | 0.88535492981686 | 0.229290140366279 | 0.114645070183140 |
118 | 0.856957112349121 | 0.286085775301758 | 0.143042887650879 |
119 | 0.824060433727061 | 0.351879132545877 | 0.175939566272939 |
120 | 0.937356764063886 | 0.125286471872227 | 0.0626432359361137 |
121 | 0.919592521555085 | 0.160814956889830 | 0.0804074784449148 |
122 | 0.902024645941713 | 0.195950708116573 | 0.0979753540582866 |
123 | 0.90841898732261 | 0.183162025354780 | 0.0915810126773901 |
124 | 0.884194579195529 | 0.231610841608943 | 0.115805420804471 |
125 | 0.853881313581813 | 0.292237372836374 | 0.146118686418187 |
126 | 0.817323941957247 | 0.365352116085506 | 0.182676058042753 |
127 | 0.792392094284788 | 0.415215811430424 | 0.207607905715212 |
128 | 0.78791475494656 | 0.424170490106881 | 0.212085245053440 |
129 | 0.74465396367805 | 0.5106920726439 | 0.25534603632195 |
130 | 0.690993731665014 | 0.618012536669972 | 0.309006268334986 |
131 | 0.677735948372697 | 0.644528103254605 | 0.322264051627303 |
132 | 0.661957166491105 | 0.67608566701779 | 0.338042833508895 |
133 | 0.642110932678119 | 0.715778134643761 | 0.357889067321881 |
134 | 0.587562579877123 | 0.824874840245755 | 0.412437420122877 |
135 | 0.653021174498156 | 0.693957651003688 | 0.346978825501844 |
136 | 0.616141694991803 | 0.767716610016393 | 0.383858305008197 |
137 | 0.550415670346104 | 0.899168659307792 | 0.449584329653896 |
138 | 0.484647340502401 | 0.969294681004802 | 0.515352659497599 |
139 | 0.423112214395295 | 0.846224428790589 | 0.576887785604705 |
140 | 0.370425192629626 | 0.740850385259253 | 0.629574807370374 |
141 | 0.301378550810284 | 0.602757101620569 | 0.698621449189716 |
142 | 0.329950922886958 | 0.659901845773917 | 0.670049077113042 |
143 | 0.276289656748082 | 0.552579313496165 | 0.723710343251918 |
144 | 0.207395547590653 | 0.414791095181305 | 0.792604452409347 |
145 | 0.183284724632027 | 0.366569449264054 | 0.816715275367973 |
146 | 0.160697616498246 | 0.321395232996492 | 0.839302383501754 |
147 | 0.1076820192251 | 0.2153640384502 | 0.8923179807749 |
148 | 0.0670292662369072 | 0.134058532473814 | 0.932970733763093 |
149 | 0.324259393837284 | 0.648518787674567 | 0.675740606162716 |
150 | 0.259745772735067 | 0.519491545470135 | 0.740254227264933 |
151 | 0.333331829101967 | 0.666663658203934 | 0.666668170898033 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
10% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |