Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = + 2.6093942753828 -0.24986593522325Tijd[t] + 0.0962642440224116FindingFriends[t] + 0.243936452579795KnowingPeople[t] + 0.357484705624815Liked[t] + 0.622809523303693Celebrity[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 2.6093942753828 | 3.648151 | 0.7153 | 0.475557 | 0.237779 |
Tijd | -0.24986593522325 | 0.363799 | -0.6868 | 0.493254 | 0.246627 |
FindingFriends | 0.0962642440224116 | 0.096159 | 1.0011 | 0.318391 | 0.159196 |
KnowingPeople | 0.243936452579795 | 0.061481 | 3.9676 | 0.000112 | 5.6e-05 |
Liked | 0.357484705624815 | 0.097453 | 3.6683 | 0.000339 | 0.000169 |
Celebrity | 0.622809523303693 | 0.15643 | 3.9814 | 0.000106 | 5.3e-05 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.707651177863378 |
R-squared | 0.500770189531427 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.484129195849141 |
F-TEST (value) | 30.0925653294667 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 5 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 150 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.10920750873077 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 667.313447232938 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.5428761098157 | 1.45712389018429 |
2 | 12 | 11.2286121969219 | 0.771387803078095 |
3 | 15 | 13.7070931593744 | 1.29290684062560 |
4 | 12 | 10.9612078299537 | 1.03879217004625 |
5 | 10 | 10.8089872027870 | -0.808987202787039 |
6 | 12 | 9.3815719921099 | 2.61842800789009 |
7 | 15 | 16.9322201596178 | -1.93222015961783 |
8 | 9 | 10.6226426201080 | -1.62264262010796 |
9 | 12 | 12.4269060947218 | -0.426906094721793 |
10 | 11 | 8.11040548182489 | 2.88959451817511 |
11 | 11 | 13.4865483383319 | -2.48654833833189 |
12 | 11 | 12.2257463723402 | -1.22574637234017 |
13 | 15 | 12.3688701622882 | 2.63112983771178 |
14 | 7 | 11.4165922663574 | -4.4165922663574 |
15 | 11 | 11.8000137556906 | -0.800013755690625 |
16 | 11 | 11.1105155252676 | -0.110515525267554 |
17 | 10 | 12.2257463723402 | -2.22574637234016 |
18 | 14 | 14.5351667611362 | -0.535166761136192 |
19 | 10 | 8.83566315451674 | 1.16433684548326 |
20 | 6 | 9.65344849483632 | -3.65344849483632 |
21 | 11 | 8.8274544423638 | 2.17254555763621 |
22 | 15 | 14.5565551262353 | 0.443444873764725 |
23 | 11 | 11.7674490040836 | -0.76744900408361 |
24 | 12 | 9.64689680978879 | 2.35310319021121 |
25 | 14 | 13.5589768882842 | 0.441023111715841 |
26 | 15 | 15.0230396662958 | -0.0230396662957811 |
27 | 9 | 14.8004915788151 | -5.80049157881507 |
28 | 13 | 12.6646586419358 | 0.33534135806416 |
29 | 13 | 13.3837324092619 | -0.383732409261944 |
30 | 16 | 10.9632873792430 | 5.03671262075697 |
31 | 13 | 8.62585065744931 | 4.37414934255069 |
32 | 12 | 13.7453214709632 | -1.74532147096323 |
33 | 14 | 14.6528193702577 | -0.652819370257688 |
34 | 11 | 10.2207456975286 | 0.779254302471436 |
35 | 9 | 10.6226426201080 | -1.62264262010796 |
36 | 16 | 14.4216185080912 | 1.57838149190883 |
37 | 12 | 13.0542640366348 | -1.05426403663482 |
38 | 10 | 9.31735215431059 | 0.682647845689415 |
39 | 13 | 13.2187761916820 | -0.218776191681953 |
40 | 16 | 15.4019127370197 | 0.59808726298032 |
41 | 14 | 13.0711039831246 | 0.92889601687543 |
42 | 15 | 8.24742164925827 | 6.75257835074173 |
43 | 5 | 9.91430117675694 | -4.91430117675694 |
44 | 8 | 10.6399266291306 | -2.63992662913057 |
45 | 11 | 11.3976727705784 | -0.39767277057837 |
46 | 16 | 13.9551339680307 | 2.04486603196933 |
47 | 17 | 13.1973878265829 | 3.80261217341713 |
48 | 9 | 8.61929897240178 | 0.38070102759822 |
49 | 9 | 12.1080937632187 | -3.10809376321867 |
50 | 13 | 14.8753674577384 | -1.87536745773840 |
51 | 10 | 11.1196123624862 | -1.11961236248621 |
52 | 6 | 12.3053488097440 | -6.30534880974405 |
53 | 12 | 12.3119767776426 | -0.311976777642647 |
54 | 8 | 10.3559367383950 | -2.35593673839496 |
55 | 14 | 12.2946927686200 | 1.70530723137996 |
56 | 12 | 12.346100733155 | -0.346100733155009 |
57 | 11 | 10.6854051110221 | 0.314594888977911 |
58 | 16 | 14.3367087904479 | 1.66329120955209 |
59 | 8 | 10.2168957641744 | -2.21689576417438 |
60 | 15 | 15.1734351668955 | -0.173435166895513 |
61 | 7 | 9.37564250946645 | -2.37564250946645 |
62 | 16 | 13.9105321112655 | 2.08946788873448 |
63 | 14 | 13.6385793256880 | 0.361420674311962 |
64 | 16 | 13.6838796677083 | 2.31612033229167 |
65 | 9 | 9.84459591884701 | -0.844595918847013 |
66 | 14 | 12.1984285245976 | 1.80157147540237 |
67 | 11 | 12.9516262474361 | -1.95162624743609 |
68 | 13 | 10.3773251034940 | 2.62267489650596 |
69 | 15 | 12.8212380479013 | 2.17876195209868 |
70 | 5 | 5.4672227245147 | -0.467222724514699 |
71 | 15 | 12.346100733155 | 2.65389926684499 |
72 | 13 | 12.1984285245976 | 0.801571475402373 |
73 | 11 | 11.9717760810404 | -0.97177608104044 |
74 | 11 | 13.9175278588459 | -2.91752785884590 |
75 | 12 | 12.3847731072767 | -0.384773107276702 |
76 | 12 | 13.3091109530609 | -1.30911095306091 |
77 | 12 | 12.1811445155750 | -0.181144515575018 |
78 | 12 | 11.8133715485080 | 0.18662845149202 |
79 | 14 | 10.7134214440198 | 3.28657855598023 |
80 | 6 | 7.90747537537835 | -1.90747537537835 |
81 | 7 | 9.75451558019035 | -2.75451558019035 |
82 | 14 | 11.8861678781420 | 2.11383212185797 |
83 | 14 | 13.7974279207534 | 0.202572079246647 |
84 | 10 | 11.1605424257684 | -1.1605424257684 |
85 | 13 | 8.64383315172707 | 4.35616684827293 |
86 | 12 | 12.3160811337191 | -0.316081133719121 |
87 | 9 | 9.1872183774981 | -0.187218377498103 |
88 | 12 | 11.9442038105756 | 0.0557961894243915 |
89 | 16 | 14.9294987143157 | 1.07050128568428 |
90 | 10 | 10.1461242413275 | -0.146124241327528 |
91 | 14 | 13.0656185630140 | 0.934381436986031 |
92 | 10 | 13.4399432151285 | -3.43994321512854 |
93 | 16 | 15.2483110458188 | 0.751688954181159 |
94 | 15 | 13.3605189175959 | 1.63948108240412 |
95 | 12 | 11.2568066697908 | 0.74319333020919 |
96 | 10 | 9.64096732714533 | 0.35903267285467 |
97 | 8 | 10.1444887545711 | -2.14448875457111 |
98 | 8 | 8.51300088965944 | -0.513000889659439 |
99 | 11 | 12.7722774123374 | -1.77227741233740 |
100 | 13 | 12.3333651427417 | 0.66663485725827 |
101 | 16 | 15.3959832543762 | 0.604016745623776 |
102 | 16 | 14.6468898876142 | 1.35311011238577 |
103 | 14 | 15.7769358743894 | -1.77693587438940 |
104 | 11 | 8.80878936930706 | 2.19121063069294 |
105 | 4 | 6.86958927654913 | -2.86958927654913 |
106 | 14 | 14.5037660976662 | -0.503766097666178 |
107 | 9 | 10.2724080847858 | -1.27240808478583 |
108 | 14 | 15.1734351668955 | -1.17343516689551 |
109 | 8 | 10.3859563378308 | -2.38595633783085 |
110 | 8 | 10.8335213821123 | -2.83352138211233 |
111 | 11 | 12.1194482895978 | -1.11944828959782 |
112 | 12 | 13.5468635002750 | -1.54686350027496 |
113 | 11 | 11.3576193324226 | -0.357619332422551 |
114 | 14 | 13.5362074591509 | 0.463792540849051 |
115 | 15 | 14.2725652354997 | 0.727434764500338 |
116 | 16 | 13.3263949620835 | 2.67360503791648 |
117 | 16 | 13.4226592061059 | 2.57734079389407 |
118 | 11 | 12.6740099018768 | -1.67400990187679 |
119 | 14 | 13.6665956586857 | 0.333404341314276 |
120 | 14 | 10.8779335990669 | 3.12206640093309 |
121 | 12 | 11.3316825487141 | 0.668317451285861 |
122 | 14 | 12.4764889326898 | 1.52351106731022 |
123 | 8 | 10.1461242413275 | -2.14612424132753 |
124 | 13 | 13.7628599027081 | -0.762859902708136 |
125 | 16 | 13.6665956586857 | 2.33340434131428 |
126 | 12 | 10.8483580621639 | 1.15164193783612 |
127 | 16 | 15.3832476639629 | 0.616752336037055 |
128 | 12 | 13.3091109530609 | -1.30911095306091 |
129 | 11 | 11.4390468963934 | -0.439046896393411 |
130 | 4 | 6.26564450652239 | -2.26564450652239 |
131 | 16 | 15.3832476639629 | 0.616752336037055 |
132 | 15 | 12.4810373512991 | 2.51896264870089 |
133 | 10 | 11.4283908552694 | -1.42839085526940 |
134 | 13 | 13.1445987980138 | -0.144598798013771 |
135 | 15 | 13.1787227535261 | 1.82127724647387 |
136 | 12 | 10.5998731909748 | 1.40012680902525 |
137 | 14 | 13.5703314146633 | 0.429668585336687 |
138 | 7 | 10.5953247723654 | -3.59532477236542 |
139 | 19 | 14.0240803643105 | 4.97591963568946 |
140 | 12 | 12.6073211947574 | -0.607321194757413 |
141 | 12 | 12.2111641150109 | -0.211164115010906 |
142 | 13 | 13.4226592061059 | -0.422659206105929 |
143 | 15 | 12.8920095707482 | 2.10799042925183 |
144 | 8 | 8.14888821613602 | -0.148888216136022 |
145 | 12 | 10.8438096435545 | 1.15619035644545 |
146 | 10 | 10.7220742187056 | -0.722074218705579 |
147 | 8 | 11.3362309673235 | -3.33623096732347 |
148 | 10 | 14.3128730963778 | -4.31287309637777 |
149 | 15 | 13.8142678672431 | 1.18573213275689 |
150 | 16 | 14.5378900531785 | 1.46210994682146 |
151 | 13 | 13.1038468746028 | -0.103846874602806 |
152 | 16 | 15.0043745932390 | 0.995625406760954 |
153 | 9 | 10.1461242413275 | -1.14612424132753 |
154 | 14 | 13.0997425185263 | 0.900257481473668 |
155 | 14 | 12.6114255508339 | 1.38857444916611 |
156 | 12 | 10.1033475111294 | 1.89665248887064 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
9 | 0.109906662350947 | 0.219813324701894 | 0.890093337649053 |
10 | 0.047806090317179 | 0.095612180634358 | 0.952193909682821 |
11 | 0.0727296562774194 | 0.145459312554839 | 0.92727034372258 |
12 | 0.0380783547992044 | 0.0761567095984087 | 0.961921645200796 |
13 | 0.440280494707312 | 0.880560989414624 | 0.559719505292688 |
14 | 0.762425475487704 | 0.475149049024592 | 0.237574524512296 |
15 | 0.682033878402258 | 0.635932243195484 | 0.317966121597742 |
16 | 0.59292815677398 | 0.81414368645204 | 0.40707184322602 |
17 | 0.534717353757111 | 0.930565292485778 | 0.465282646242889 |
18 | 0.44771630995205 | 0.8954326199041 | 0.55228369004795 |
19 | 0.370408181143548 | 0.740816362287096 | 0.629591818856452 |
20 | 0.665175271208369 | 0.669649457583262 | 0.334824728791631 |
21 | 0.600554256360074 | 0.798891487279853 | 0.399445743639926 |
22 | 0.566806898538364 | 0.866386202923272 | 0.433193101461636 |
23 | 0.496029330634726 | 0.992058661269452 | 0.503970669365274 |
24 | 0.476882391069905 | 0.95376478213981 | 0.523117608930095 |
25 | 0.438890147624153 | 0.877780295248306 | 0.561109852375847 |
26 | 0.380807745583849 | 0.761615491167698 | 0.619192254416151 |
27 | 0.648471629683341 | 0.703056740633318 | 0.351528370316659 |
28 | 0.590758099117408 | 0.818483801765184 | 0.409241900882592 |
29 | 0.530622184936296 | 0.938755630127408 | 0.469377815063704 |
30 | 0.688564414527427 | 0.622871170945147 | 0.311435585472573 |
31 | 0.805635768966311 | 0.388728462067378 | 0.194364231033689 |
32 | 0.769789044527452 | 0.460421910945095 | 0.230210955472548 |
33 | 0.729291048358663 | 0.541417903282673 | 0.270708951641337 |
34 | 0.684742495850205 | 0.63051500829959 | 0.315257504149795 |
35 | 0.678574997945677 | 0.642850004108646 | 0.321425002054323 |
36 | 0.696046725136891 | 0.607906549726218 | 0.303953274863109 |
37 | 0.657461496552484 | 0.685077006895031 | 0.342538503447516 |
38 | 0.60697750960248 | 0.78604498079504 | 0.39302249039752 |
39 | 0.556730688369831 | 0.886538623260339 | 0.443269311630169 |
40 | 0.538605447997595 | 0.92278910400481 | 0.461394552002405 |
41 | 0.508311632950459 | 0.983376734099081 | 0.491688367049541 |
42 | 0.810236636428485 | 0.37952672714303 | 0.189763363571515 |
43 | 0.95197289275812 | 0.0960542144837615 | 0.0480271072418808 |
44 | 0.961813346734773 | 0.0763733065304534 | 0.0381866532652267 |
45 | 0.95028616899627 | 0.0994276620074618 | 0.0497138310037309 |
46 | 0.956556216379778 | 0.0868875672404444 | 0.0434437836202222 |
47 | 0.982990647295339 | 0.0340187054093223 | 0.0170093527046611 |
48 | 0.979507027889909 | 0.0409859442201828 | 0.0204929721100914 |
49 | 0.981964075268303 | 0.036071849463395 | 0.0180359247316975 |
50 | 0.977181049424331 | 0.045637901151338 | 0.022818950575669 |
51 | 0.971950631846768 | 0.0560987363064637 | 0.0280493681532319 |
52 | 0.989213770246685 | 0.0215724595066294 | 0.0107862297533147 |
53 | 0.992021211472385 | 0.0159575770552291 | 0.00797878852761455 |
54 | 0.990517691569532 | 0.0189646168609360 | 0.00948230843046798 |
55 | 0.994617128490356 | 0.0107657430192882 | 0.0053828715096441 |
56 | 0.993122561310692 | 0.0137548773786151 | 0.00687743868930756 |
57 | 0.990831232614518 | 0.0183375347709633 | 0.00916876738548164 |
58 | 0.991280963771185 | 0.0174380724576304 | 0.00871903622881522 |
59 | 0.992312265296982 | 0.0153754694060361 | 0.00768773470301807 |
60 | 0.990855175793665 | 0.0182896484126692 | 0.00914482420633459 |
61 | 0.990917912065896 | 0.0181641758682076 | 0.00908208793410379 |
62 | 0.993065239536639 | 0.0138695209267229 | 0.00693476046336143 |
63 | 0.991149317536692 | 0.0177013649266160 | 0.00885068246330802 |
64 | 0.992460090806872 | 0.0150798183862564 | 0.00753990919312822 |
65 | 0.990093690376082 | 0.0198126192478351 | 0.00990630962391757 |
66 | 0.989750698963102 | 0.020498602073796 | 0.010249301036898 |
67 | 0.989314157253514 | 0.0213716854929723 | 0.0106858427464862 |
68 | 0.99153770394825 | 0.0169245921035005 | 0.00846229605175024 |
69 | 0.991956718723516 | 0.0160865625529681 | 0.00804328127648406 |
70 | 0.989120355113185 | 0.0217592897736303 | 0.0108796448868151 |
71 | 0.990924766516761 | 0.0181504669664779 | 0.00907523348323894 |
72 | 0.988072944694745 | 0.0238541106105107 | 0.0119270553052554 |
73 | 0.984973684941786 | 0.0300526301164285 | 0.0150263150582142 |
74 | 0.98894285797129 | 0.0221142840574187 | 0.0110571420287093 |
75 | 0.985114615101298 | 0.0297707697974029 | 0.0148853848987015 |
76 | 0.982568122634924 | 0.0348637547301524 | 0.0174318773650762 |
77 | 0.977090785248985 | 0.045818429502031 | 0.0229092147510155 |
78 | 0.969879978832463 | 0.0602400423350736 | 0.0301200211675368 |
79 | 0.981141511125037 | 0.0377169777499269 | 0.0188584888749634 |
80 | 0.980182037275351 | 0.039635925449298 | 0.019817962724649 |
81 | 0.98334582602042 | 0.0333083479591612 | 0.0166541739795806 |
82 | 0.984404236259004 | 0.0311915274819918 | 0.0155957637409959 |
83 | 0.979174889751477 | 0.0416502204970468 | 0.0208251102485234 |
84 | 0.974369422253804 | 0.0512611554923918 | 0.0256305777461959 |
85 | 0.993012434727943 | 0.0139751305441137 | 0.00698756527205687 |
86 | 0.990512454251632 | 0.0189750914967356 | 0.00948754574836781 |
87 | 0.987079350340338 | 0.0258412993193240 | 0.0129206496596620 |
88 | 0.983003809966486 | 0.0339923800670284 | 0.0169961900335142 |
89 | 0.978768324192718 | 0.0424633516145631 | 0.0212316758072815 |
90 | 0.971950909906926 | 0.0560981801861482 | 0.0280490900930741 |
91 | 0.966062113904202 | 0.0678757721915955 | 0.0339378860957977 |
92 | 0.980640650034898 | 0.0387186999302035 | 0.0193593499651018 |
93 | 0.975059675709882 | 0.0498806485802355 | 0.0249403242901177 |
94 | 0.971401751311768 | 0.0571964973764641 | 0.0285982486882320 |
95 | 0.963836515751585 | 0.0723269684968307 | 0.0361634842484154 |
96 | 0.954094242784984 | 0.0918115144300316 | 0.0459057572150158 |
97 | 0.950129405708244 | 0.099741188583512 | 0.049870594291756 |
98 | 0.936448127685328 | 0.127103744629344 | 0.063551872314672 |
99 | 0.932977888590807 | 0.134044222818386 | 0.067022111409193 |
100 | 0.917336546230434 | 0.165326907539131 | 0.0826634537695656 |
101 | 0.8982931633317 | 0.203413673336601 | 0.101706836668301 |
102 | 0.881389562990497 | 0.237220874019006 | 0.118610437009503 |
103 | 0.89257092689047 | 0.214858146219059 | 0.107429073109529 |
104 | 0.92385056418278 | 0.152298871634438 | 0.0761494358172192 |
105 | 0.922381277673484 | 0.155237444653032 | 0.0776187223265161 |
106 | 0.903370468583187 | 0.193259062833627 | 0.0966295314168133 |
107 | 0.884854868241492 | 0.230290263517016 | 0.115145131758508 |
108 | 0.880169397777762 | 0.239661204444476 | 0.119830602222238 |
109 | 0.879634867598516 | 0.240730264802967 | 0.120365132401484 |
110 | 0.903225554060957 | 0.193548891878086 | 0.096774445939043 |
111 | 0.893394915728447 | 0.213210168543106 | 0.106605084271553 |
112 | 0.92333019312296 | 0.153339613754081 | 0.0766698068770406 |
113 | 0.902142952545248 | 0.195714094909503 | 0.0978570474547515 |
114 | 0.876592354961236 | 0.246815290077529 | 0.123407645038764 |
115 | 0.846976202918196 | 0.306047594163607 | 0.153023797081804 |
116 | 0.846647747340669 | 0.306704505318662 | 0.153352252659331 |
117 | 0.854962391426605 | 0.29007521714679 | 0.145037608573395 |
118 | 0.844658968811386 | 0.310682062377229 | 0.155341031188614 |
119 | 0.807719138755045 | 0.38456172248991 | 0.192280861244955 |
120 | 0.86142115213684 | 0.277157695726320 | 0.138578847863160 |
121 | 0.834280057868296 | 0.331439884263408 | 0.165719942131704 |
122 | 0.809772713482967 | 0.380454573034066 | 0.190227286517033 |
123 | 0.799699963807939 | 0.400600072384123 | 0.200300036192061 |
124 | 0.758667569670462 | 0.482664860659075 | 0.241332430329538 |
125 | 0.758507882661758 | 0.482984234676484 | 0.241492117338242 |
126 | 0.739929519960295 | 0.52014096007941 | 0.260070480039705 |
127 | 0.686939981741838 | 0.626120036516324 | 0.313060018258162 |
128 | 0.658397591648663 | 0.683204816702673 | 0.341602408351337 |
129 | 0.67558695308933 | 0.64882609382134 | 0.32441304691067 |
130 | 0.667330144009447 | 0.665339711981106 | 0.332669855990553 |
131 | 0.606684239999214 | 0.786631520001573 | 0.393315760000786 |
132 | 0.59403583599494 | 0.811928328010119 | 0.405964164005059 |
133 | 0.564406161296073 | 0.871187677407855 | 0.435593838703927 |
134 | 0.489944398133652 | 0.979888796267304 | 0.510055601866348 |
135 | 0.463421676888927 | 0.926843353777854 | 0.536578323111073 |
136 | 0.456962237171405 | 0.91392447434281 | 0.543037762828595 |
137 | 0.383352154124569 | 0.766704308249138 | 0.616647845875431 |
138 | 0.446176669766455 | 0.89235333953291 | 0.553823330233545 |
139 | 0.794397111075275 | 0.41120577784945 | 0.205602888924725 |
140 | 0.824534882837644 | 0.350930234324713 | 0.175465117162356 |
141 | 0.779023815647074 | 0.441952368705852 | 0.220976184352926 |
142 | 0.694285994334067 | 0.611428011331865 | 0.305714005665933 |
143 | 0.655336380992217 | 0.689327238015566 | 0.344663619007783 |
144 | 0.540614026189965 | 0.91877194762007 | 0.459385973810035 |
145 | 0.518640475046831 | 0.962719049906337 | 0.481359524953169 |
146 | 0.633246698154205 | 0.73350660369159 | 0.366753301845795 |
147 | 0.570596811126392 | 0.858806377747216 | 0.429403188873608 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 42 | 0.302158273381295 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 57 | 0.410071942446043 | NOK |