Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
O[t] = -0.578264633807956 + 0.92553541241128B[t] + 0.0132183880731032CM[t] + 0.0160035232163502CM_B[t] -1.31048736184262D[t] + 1.32524772719412D_B[t] + 0.406327339245112PE[t] -0.394585656390905PE_B[t] -0.341990685460131PC[t] + 0.363464570658179PC_B[t] + 0.942105175460257PS[t] + 0.0146495184249108PS_B[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)-0.5782646338079561.018728-0.56760.571150.285575
B0.925535412411280.02645834.981300
CM0.01321838807310320.081170.16280.8708620.435431
CM_B0.01600352321635020.0790440.20250.8398340.419917
D-1.310487361842620.218181-6.006400
D_B1.325247727194120.2210445.995400
PE0.4063273392451120.1435492.83060.0052970.002649
PE_B-0.3945856563909050.151846-2.59860.0103140.005157
PC-0.3419906854601310.108022-3.16590.001880.00094
PC_B0.3634645706581790.1092793.3260.0011130.000556
PS0.9421051754602570.04818519.551900
PS_B0.01464951842491080.0305660.47930.6324590.316229


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.986054290328691
R-squared0.972303063475619
Adjusted R-squared0.970230503599645
F-TEST (value)469.131471059977
F-TEST (DF numerator)11
F-TEST (DF denominator)147
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation1.43270045551944
Sum Squared Residuals301.736697501106


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
12624.60419955148811.39580044851185
22325.4130327883993-2.41303278839925
32524.21831833967270.78168166032734
42319.51793665997623.48206334002381
52022.3741165311321-2.37411653113214
62922.23870162968136.76129837031869
72020.2205856699302-0.220585669930177
81616.6015594595828-0.601559459582769
91818.4816387188737-0.481638718873717
101717.4960001377340-0.49600013773396
112323.0502803334575-0.0502803334575275
123029.56444174774130.435558252258724
132322.70656221918040.293437780819601
141818.2815495853943-0.281549585394317
151515.7286961091583-0.728696109158332
161212.7283106162804-0.728310616280428
172120.94981953320170.0501804667983207
181515.3891673348079-0.389167334807894
192020.2068579140039-0.206857914003871
203130.64616905330450.353830946695542
212726.84655423870640.153445761293572
223433.45303170807260.546968291927387
232121.1673111384559-0.167311138455912
243130.50279865026540.497201349734574
251919.3078180295097-0.307818029509666
261616.5787508582618-0.578750858261844
272020.3178371410299-0.317837141029893
282121.1055840416876-0.105584041687578
292222.1827699761436-0.182769976143621
301717.5205361096234-0.52053610962345
312423.96063850985540.0393614901445705
322525.2453422813576-0.245342281357636
332626.0625779104939-0.0625779104938981
342524.99012151970810.00987848029186374
351717.6352757199115-0.635275719911508
363231.59684978082480.403150219175239
373332.35480175159070.645198248409274
381312.84442456037390.155575439626082
3902.18794968435404-2.18794968435404
402525.174433175096-0.174433175096001
412928.89183760342320.108162396576836
422222.0868260200892-0.0868260200891926
431818.2686093376018-0.268609337601757
441717.5296000678684-0.529600067868443
452020.3328639948932-0.332863994893188
461515.634898291154-0.634898291154
472020.3458358671561-0.345835867156141
483332.54301254467620.456987455323809
492928.61213147840000.38786852159997
502323.2818153482682-0.281815348268219
512625.86156820490420.138431795095829
521818.4186711187687-0.418671118768677
532020.1016957485837-0.101695748583711
541111.4706891159079-0.470689115907916
552828.1707423952679-0.170742395267928
562625.98961420038600.0103857996140351
572222.1695069951440-0.169506995144028
581717.5343728156567-0.53437281565669
591212.5319259276469-0.531925927646852
601414.7123555505507-0.712355550550712
611717.5107009711061-0.510700971106106
622120.33809274706900.661907252931047
630-5.251085665582265.25108566558226
641818.4794330488443-0.479433048844261
651010.9799755833075-0.979975583307488
662928.73463911153540.265360888464633
673130.32557645969800.67442354030197
681919.4438616524450-0.443861652445022
6999.12373445468246-0.123734454682459
700-0.3722689387810720.372268938781072
712827.53834017141520.461659828584786
721919.2588847154214-0.258884715421411
733029.63671456567650.363285434323499
742928.89767857882250.102321421177499
752625.82710106022280.172898939777158
762323.0101476516417-0.0101476516417497
771313.869782539103-0.869782539102996
782121.3603289070511-0.360328907051057
791919.3574021941919-0.357402194191937
802827.79499208747080.205007912529240
812322.34519279681440.654807203185622
8200.446493779711898-0.446493779711898
832121.1961576111266-0.196157611126643
842019.45218570632320.54781429367675
8507.2377156800752-7.2377156800752
862121.2209489982356-0.220948998235552
872121.296532797793-0.296532797792997
881515.6989440017742-0.698944001774215
892826.97537404203481.02462595796524
900-0.2626129198223200.262612919822320
912625.85409109071740.145908909282640
92109.756674809225280.243325190774723
9300.0342085643549303-0.0342085643549303
942222.1776567768225-0.177656776822495
951919.3236304946870-0.323630494687042
963130.85192759288900.148072407111043
973130.59390064372430.406099356275664
982928.74943059500210.250569404997940
991919.1361975269074-0.136197526907407
1002221.99782676048620.0021732395137644
1012323.0837356952992-0.083735695299185
1021515.3413957017525-0.341395701752489
1032020.2871768710127-0.287176871012682
1041818.4718631876671-0.471863187667068
1052322.04715793744710.952842062552895
10605.73875916131579-5.73875916131579
1072120.86992763603790.130072363962143
1082423.86463292492580.135367075074196
1092524.09985678747550.90014321252454
1100-1.856403752801871.85640375280187
1111313.5411151924826-0.541115192482634
1122827.56919372142140.430806278578555
1132120.11817117468100.881828825318965
1140-7.157152280356477.15715228035647
115910.0905632682401-1.09056326824013
1161616.3128204414968-0.312820441496799
1171919.2843924990371-0.284392499037124
1181717.4037431082757-0.40374310827568
1192524.9012824498280.0987175501719828
1202019.96248938121340.0375106187865633
1212928.46881112458860.531188875411382
1221413.60338522677160.396614773228392
1230-1.150074462256981.15007446225698
1241515.4353749719551-0.435374971955149
1251919.4786690485831-0.47866904858306
1262019.40128434376780.598715656232224
1270-4.269853030114584.26985303011458
1282020.3485480195630-0.348548019562960
1291818.4452068883406-0.445206888340618
1303332.39392573777480.606074262225229
1312222.1911170315266-0.191117031526600
1321616.4309318311061-0.430931831106053
1331717.4128504707148-0.412850470714814
1341616.3094613074666-0.309461307466619
1352121.0292327307523-0.029232730752263
1362626.0715816303282-0.0715816303281501
1371818.2493848514483-0.249384851448318
1381818.4742408271431-0.474240827143106
1391717.2852117383983-0.285211738398310
1402222.1127894550919-0.11278945509194
1413028.65161169533741.34838830466263
14202.92325184158514-2.92325184158514
1432424.3774196544525-0.377419654452538
1442121.1736848378696-0.173684837869617
1452121.4055415731769-0.405541573176936
1462928.76286794862310.237132051376895
1473129.56276920765971.43723079234029
14800.431084021843932-0.431084021843932
1491616.2259330922225-0.225933092222503
1502222.0352239577883-0.0352239577882566
1512020.2570507908056-0.25705079080563
1522828.0166912573327-0.0166912573327332
1533837.04632358166840.953676418331649
1542221.9667062156130.0332937843869862
1552020.466852129873-0.466852129872996
1561717.3828668619047-0.38286686190475
1572827.78189897902190.218101020978083
1582222.2097426131333-0.209742613133305
1593130.73724630179370.262753698206326


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
150.9318903247751490.1362193504497030.0681096752248514
160.9968050819216950.00638983615661050.00319491807830525
170.9928763114391920.01424737712161610.00712368856080807
180.985384367544230.02923126491153830.0146156324557692
190.9830952896631740.03380942067365160.0169047103368258
200.970856332054660.05828733589067940.0291436679453397
210.9632075221269360.07358495574612870.0367924778730644
220.942149601773130.1157007964537390.0578503982268694
230.91273228538190.1745354292361990.0872677146180996
240.9650100132423320.06997997351533690.0349899867576685
250.947600648535720.1047987029285590.0523993514642797
260.9247262686917880.1505474626164250.0752737313082124
270.8952002199360970.2095995601278060.104799780063903
280.8580809797363610.2838380405272770.141919020263639
290.8133118387392060.3733763225215890.186688161260794
300.76977837469880.4604432506023990.230221625301199
310.7621131474026870.4757737051946270.237886852597313
320.7226346498817690.5547307002364630.277365350118231
330.6638504872041680.6722990255916640.336149512795832
340.6207090854084030.7585818291831940.379290914591597
350.5605564879901360.8788870240197280.439443512009864
360.5138125757638770.9723748484722450.486187424236123
370.4703941428274720.9407882856549450.529605857172528
380.4136575781733380.8273151563466760.586342421826662
390.5989743697082970.8020512605834050.401025630291703
400.5544929200017280.8910141599965440.445507079998272
410.4956622767746560.9913245535493120.504337723225344
420.4393055887427550.878611177485510.560694411257245
430.3854785274069980.7709570548139960.614521472593002
440.3360576254323690.6721152508647380.663942374567631
450.2875672835197010.5751345670394030.712432716480299
460.2422175044405640.4844350088811280.757782495559436
470.2011319766039760.4022639532079520.798868023396024
480.1671707873424520.3343415746849050.832829212657548
490.1360074515731750.2720149031463510.863992548426824
500.1100517112446260.2201034224892510.889948288755374
510.08633583343720960.1726716668744190.91366416656279
520.06765830747217390.1353166149443480.932341692527826
530.05291754103910860.1058350820782170.947082458960891
540.03980308500496550.0796061700099310.960196914995035
550.03047492367887720.06094984735775440.969525076321123
560.02248201920744220.04496403841488450.977517980792558
570.01616870357703830.03233740715407650.983831296422962
580.01170990679544470.02341981359088940.988290093204555
590.008294450049298920.01658890009859780.991705549950701
600.00599323754579840.01198647509159680.994006762454202
610.004111996227775750.00822399245555150.995888003772224
620.004409942937015090.008819885874030180.995590057062985
630.01138282136996620.02276564273993240.988617178630034
640.008065125352211930.01613025070442390.991934874647788
650.005984439018535020.01196887803707000.994015560981465
660.004203602593084690.008407205186169380.995796397406915
670.003076827440668010.006153654881336030.996923172559332
680.002100395818528080.004200791637056170.997899604181472
690.001843086301977760.003686172603955520.998156913698022
700.08573419243754130.1714683848750830.914265807562459
710.07045936205421710.1409187241084340.929540637945783
720.0555877519990650.111175503998130.944412248000935
730.04347856092208660.08695712184417310.956521439077913
740.03321796963960980.06643593927921950.96678203036039
750.02516763575563530.05033527151127060.974832364244365
760.01884149364322320.03768298728644630.981158506356777
770.01538034887803060.03076069775606120.98461965112197
780.01155659907173130.02311319814346260.988443400928269
790.008360040055652880.01672008011130580.991639959944347
800.006000730943367130.01200146188673430.993999269056633
810.005696938941721140.01139387788344230.994303061058279
820.0193095068878420.0386190137756840.980690493112158
830.01432014855753490.02864029711506980.985679851442465
840.01334727978265770.02669455956531530.986652720217342
850.9695889427609940.06082211447801170.0304110572390058
860.96050888406810.07898223186380160.0394911159319008
870.9512000026986010.0975999946027970.0487999973013985
880.9398053505464370.1203892989071260.060194649453563
890.9270992476348850.145801504730230.072900752365115
900.9356620442592170.1286759114815660.064337955740783
910.918652260359560.1626954792808800.0813477396404401
920.9039739508304750.1920520983390490.0960260491695245
930.9251920402201290.1496159195597420.0748079597798712
940.9093440251176690.1813119497646630.0906559748823313
950.888459864581470.2230802708370610.111540135418531
960.8625002887995370.2749994224009260.137499711200463
970.8339358747198880.3321282505602230.166064125280112
980.8014632964055970.3970734071888070.198536703594403
990.7641360607240270.4717278785519470.235863939275974
1000.7225615711659650.554876857668070.277438428834035
1010.6778705345918290.6442589308163420.322129465408171
1020.6331065565270830.7337868869458340.366893443472917
1030.5846249278468480.8307501443063030.415375072153152
1040.5497089087106820.9005821825786360.450291091289318
1050.5093418522958230.9813162954083550.490658147704177
1060.9995336153260940.0009327693478126840.000466384673906342
1070.9993365405526180.001326918894763350.000663459447381676
1080.9989210751268820.002157849746236070.00107892487311803
1090.9983174234904550.00336515301908930.00168257650954465
1100.9996767310327040.0006465379345928520.000323268967296426
1110.9994556260540850.00108874789182910.00054437394591455
1120.9991427143280520.001714571343896470.000857285671948233
1130.9987752998681780.002449400263644210.00122470013182210
114100
115100
116100
117100
118100
119100
120100
121100
122100
123100
124100
12514.25610936260445e-3042.12805468130223e-304
12614.84385149583064e-2942.42192574791532e-294
12718.7512927611759e-2784.37564638058795e-278
12815.65416621894546e-2632.82708310947273e-263
12912.30484563619042e-2451.15242281809521e-245
13013.05972870069150e-2301.52986435034575e-230
13111.32410842359731e-2236.62054211798654e-224
13213.79293484597089e-2091.89646742298545e-209
13318.4189297430175e-1954.20946487150875e-195
13411.01646719401544e-1825.08233597007721e-183
13515.71862489918074e-1682.85931244959037e-168
13612.35328575929728e-1541.17664287964864e-154
13714.30226771089198e-1422.15113385544599e-142
13819.92764614521413e-1264.96382307260707e-126
13911.06614260278708e-1125.33071301393539e-113
14011.9543900810254e-979.771950405127e-98
14117.62792043350856e-823.81396021675428e-82
14212.03877361448461e-731.01938680724230e-73
14315.91295474588529e-592.95647737294264e-59
14412.51294829863939e-451.25647414931970e-45


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level460.353846153846154NOK
5% type I error level660.507692307692308NOK
10% type I error level770.592307692307692NOK