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Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_edauni.wasp
Title produced by softwareUnivariate Explorative Data Analysis
Date of computationThu, 11 Nov 2010 15:01:37 +0000
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2010/Nov/11/t1289487664m9s40nguc8lpocy.htm/, Retrieved Fri, 26 Apr 2024 19:58:07 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439, Retrieved Fri, 26 Apr 2024 19:58:07 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact155
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [Bivariate Data Series] [Bivariate dataset] [2008-01-05 23:51:08] [74be16979710d4c4e7c6647856088456]
F RMPD  [Univariate Explorative Data Analysis] [Colombia Coffee] [2008-01-07 14:21:11] [74be16979710d4c4e7c6647856088456]
F  MPD      [Univariate Explorative Data Analysis] [Y-series] [2010-11-11 15:01:37] [b6992a7b26e556359948e164e4227eba] [Current]
- R P         [Univariate Explorative Data Analysis] [W6 - A2] [2010-11-13 08:19:22] [48146708a479232c43a8f6e52fbf83b4]
Feedback Forum
2010-11-23 18:35:15 [411b43619fc9db329bbcdbf7261c55fb] [reply
Hier heeft de student zich gebaseerd op de verkeerde berekening. Hij geeft wel correct aan dat de voorspelling niet correct is. De verklaring hiervoor leg ik uit aan de hand van mijn berekening. (geblogde berekening: http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2010/Nov/23/t1290495954fwdtnt1g82w3lh0.htm/) Om dit te onderzoeken kunnen we kijken naar het histogram. En merken we duidelijk dat de gegevens niet normaal verdeeld zijn (onderliggende assumptie om dit naïeve model te gebruiken, dus dit gaat hier niet). We zien hetzelfde bij de QQPlot. Er zijn ook nog andere voorwaarden bij tijdreeksen, namelijk er mag geen autocorrelatie optreden. Hiervoor kijken we naar de lag plot van de voorspellingsfouten (tegenover de fouten van 1 periode geleden). De lag plot geeft aan dat je op basis van het verleden nog veel kunt vertellen over de toekomst. Er is hier dus autocorrelatie, waardoor ook aan deze assumptie niet voldaan is. (In het college is de lag plot zeer uitgebreid toegelicht, hier werd er ook duidelijk vermeld dat we op dit ogenblik alleen nog maar kunnen vaststellen of het model al dan niet goed is, in de toekomst gaan we deze leren interpreteren, aanpassen, verbeteren, …) Bijgevolg besluiten we hier dat het model mag worden weggegooid, aangezien we er geen goede voorspelling mee kunnen doen.

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Dataseries X:
255
280.2
299.9
339.2
374.2
393.5
389.2
381.7
375.2
369
357.4
352.1
346.5
342.9
340.3
328.3
322.9
314.3
308.9
294
285.6
281.2
280.3
278.8
274.5
270.4
263.4
259.9
258
262.7
284.7
311.3
322.1
327
331.3
333.3
321.4
327
320
314.7
316.7
314.4
321.3
318.2
307.2
301.3
287.5
277.7
274.4
258.8
253.3
251
248.4
249.5
246.1
244.5
243.6
244
240.8
249.8
248
259.4
260.5
260.8
261.3
259.5
256.6
257.9
256.5
254.2
253.3
253.8
255.5
257.1
257.3
253.2
252.8
252
250.7
252.2
250
251
253.4
251.2
255.6
261.1
258.9
259.9
261.2
264.7
267.1
266.4
267.7
268.6
267.5
268.5
268.5
270.5
270.9
270.1
269.3
269.8
270.1
264.9
263.7
264.8
263.7
255.9
276.2
360.1
380.5
373.7
369.8
366.6
359.3
345.8
326.2
324.5
328.1
327.5
324.4
316.5
310.9
301.5
291.7
290.4
287.4
277.7
281.6
288
276
272.9
283
283.3
276.8
284.5
282.7
281.2
287.4
283.1
284
285.5
289.2
292.5
296.4
305.2
303.9
311.5
316.3
316.7
322.5
317.1
309.8
303.8
290.3
293.7
291.7
296.5
289.1
288.5
293.8
297.7
305.4
302.7
302.5
303
294.5
294.1
294.5
297.1
289.4
292.4
287.9
286.6
280.5
272.4
269.2
270.6
267.3
262.5
266.8
268.8
263.1
261.2
266
262.5
265.2
261.3
253.7
249.2
239.1
236.4
235.2
245.2
246.2
247.7
251.4
253.3
254.8
250
249.3
241.5
243.3
248
253
252.9
251.5
251.6
253.5
259.8
334.1
448
445.8
445
448.2
438.2
439.8
423.4
410.8
408.4
406.7
405.9
402.7
405.1
399.6
386.5
381.4
375.2
357.7
359
355
352.7
344.4
343.8
338
339
333.3
334.4
328.3
330.7
330
331.6
351.2
389.4
410.9
442.8
462.8
466.9
461.7
439.2
430.3
416.1
402.5
397.3
403.3
395.9
387.8
378.6
377.1
370.4
362
350.3
348.2
344.6
343.5
342.8
347.6
346.6
349.5
342.1
342
342.8
339.3
348.2
333.7
334.7
354
367.7
363.3
358.4
353.1
343.1
344.6
344.4
333.9
331.7
324.3
321.2
322.4
321.7
320.5
312.8
309.7
315.6
309.7
304.6
302.5
301.5
298.8
291.3
293.6
294.6
285.9
297.6
301.1
293.8
297.7
292.9
292.1
287.2
288.2
283.8
299.9
292.4
293.3
300.8
293.7
293.1
294.4
292.1
291.9
282.5
277.9
287.5
289.2
285.6
293.2
290.8
283.1
275
287.8
287.8
287.4
284
277.8
277.6
304.9
294
300.9
324
332.9
341.6
333.4
348.2
344.7
344.7
329.3
323.5
323.2
317.4
330.1
329.2
334.9
315.8
315.4
319.6
317.3
313.8
315.8
311.3




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time3 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 3 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]3 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time3 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135







Descriptive Statistics
# observations360
minimum235.2
Q1269.1
median296.45
mean308.350833333333
Q3334.475
maximum466.9

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Descriptive Statistics \tabularnewline
# observations & 360 \tabularnewline
minimum & 235.2 \tabularnewline
Q1 & 269.1 \tabularnewline
median & 296.45 \tabularnewline
mean & 308.350833333333 \tabularnewline
Q3 & 334.475 \tabularnewline
maximum & 466.9 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Descriptive Statistics[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]# observations[/C][C]360[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]minimum[/C][C]235.2[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Q1[/C][C]269.1[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]median[/C][C]296.45[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]mean[/C][C]308.350833333333[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Q3[/C][C]334.475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]maximum[/C][C]466.9[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=93439&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Descriptive Statistics
# observations360
minimum235.2
Q1269.1
median296.45
mean308.350833333333
Q3334.475
maximum466.9



Parameters (Session):
par2 = grey ; par3 = FALSE ; par4 = Unknown ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 0 ; par2 = 36 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par2 <- as.numeric(par2)
x <- as.ts(x)
library(lattice)
bitmap(file='pic1.png')
plot(x,type='l',main='Run Sequence Plot',xlab='time or index',ylab='value')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='pic2.png')
hist(x)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='pic3.png')
if (par1 > 0)
{
densityplot(~x,col='black',main=paste('Density Plot bw = ',par1),bw=par1)
} else {
densityplot(~x,col='black',main='Density Plot')
}
dev.off()
bitmap(file='pic4.png')
qqnorm(x)
grid()
dev.off()
if (par2 > 0)
{
bitmap(file='lagplot.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(x,k=1),x)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(x),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'))
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
dev.off()
bitmap(file='pic5.png')
acf(x,lag.max=par2,main='Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
}
summary(x)
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Descriptive Statistics',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'# observations',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,length(x))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'minimum',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,min(x))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Q1',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,quantile(x,0.25))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'median',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,median(x))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'mean',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mean(x))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Q3',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,quantile(x,0.75))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'maximum',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,max(x))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')