Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 23100 | NA | NA | 1.00101450854227 | NA |
2 | 22650 | NA | NA | 0.998537610991772 | NA |
3 | 22440 | 22795.8871819913 | 22816 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.98438809689002 |
4 | 22910 | 22700.6231527430 | 22703 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00922339646133 |
5 | 22980 | 22665.4578967126 | 22633 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.01387759756369 |
6 | 22535 | 22724.0303584181 | 22701 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.991681477473998 |
7 | 22300 | 22641.8403292384 | 22675 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.984902272771661 |
8 | 22780 | 22718.9550592260 | 22739 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00268696076095 |
9 | 22780 | 22989.5928964396 | 22992 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.990883140150253 |
10 | 23300 | 23467.6066076774 | 23434 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.992857959037774 |
11 | 23800 | 23834.1554483914 | 23810 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.99856695369528 |
12 | 24510 | 24164.6101860009 | 24200 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.01429320859474 |
13 | 24660 | 24532.3550958369 | 24554 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00520312475767 |
14 | 24730 | 24729.4107304603 | 24732 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00002382869313 |
15 | 25070 | 24841.5741875073 | 24806 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00919530343643 |
16 | 24690 | 24683.0157516353 | 24658 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00028295765943 |
17 | 24880 | 24452.1890179665 | 24488 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.01749581527115 |
18 | 23920 | 24250.6036851899 | 24272 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.986367197720864 |
19 | 23880 | 24249.4609831442 | 24252 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.984764156885753 |
20 | 23990 | 24032.4154378699 | 23998 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.998235073874303 |
21 | 24590 | 23954.2771894165 | 23930 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.02653901036364 |
22 | 23610 | 23791.1571194900 | 23826 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.992385527169607 |
23 | 23580 | 23789.010948598 | 23810 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.991213970641754 |
24 | 23360 | 23677.5208675926 | 23680 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.986589775620167 |
25 | 23910 | 23603.8016447451 | 23570 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.01297241689552 |
26 | 23940 | 23437.7537030087 | 23414 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.02142894337723 |
27 | 23060 | 23311.8590662139 | 23346 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.989196096909365 |
28 | 22800 | 23121.599805647 | 23142 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.986090936252237 |
29 | 23020 | 22907.6014812731 | 22910 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00490660354899 |
30 | 22890 | 22836.7031271433 | 22804 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00233382518308 |
31 | 22780 | 22725.0313729266 | 22702 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00241885813803 |
32 | 22530 | 22628.8593402955 | 22662 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.995631271607248 |
33 | 22290 | 22560.095221308 | 22580 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.988027744623485 |
34 | 22820 | 22443.6500588675 | 22446 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.01676866018430 |
35 | 22480 | 22372.0377065594 | 22340 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00482576933119 |
36 | 22110 | 22350.6519467318 | 22328 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.98923288916559 |
37 | 22000 | 22183.5115657932 | 22216 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.991727569133997 |
38 | 22230 | 22218.3967020127 | 22238 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00052223831192 |
39 | 22260 | 22377.6569686116 | 22380 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.994742212342578 |
40 | 22590 | 22496.2155344741 | 22464 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00416889967035 |
41 | 22820 | 22486.7899198935 | 22464 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.01481803678042 |
42 | 22420 | 22299.3419286683 | 22332 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00541083551782 |
43 | 22230 | 21994.5941630591 | 22014 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.01070289522942 |
44 | 21600 | 21719.7258566658 | 21722 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.994487690247293 |
45 | 21000 | 21596.9277161889 | 21566 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.972360526273304 |
46 | 21360 | 21431.72062789 | 21410 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.996653529171305 |
47 | 21640 | 21400.6580787757 | 21432 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.01118385800770 |
48 | 21450 | 21536.9979003771 | 21556 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.99596053726803 |
49 | 21710 | 21641.7340227270 | 21644 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00315436726102 |
50 | 21620 | 21644.9965528011 | 21614 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.998845157921828 |
51 | 21800 | 21679.9722260085 | 21658 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00553634353127 |
52 | 21490 | 21710.2047381831 | 21742 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.989857086064425 |
53 | 21670 | 21808.7581262494 | 21828 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.993637504462835 |
54 | 22130 | 21875.7095245435 | 21878 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.01162433040954 |
55 | 22050 | 22039.5615866589 | 22008 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00047362164170 |
56 | 22050 | 22174.4733932283 | 22152 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.994386635884379 |
57 | 22140 | 22137.5788356876 | 22170 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00010936897528 |
58 | 22390 | 22098.5024847161 | 22118 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.01319082664020 |
59 | 22220 | 22007.6957050555 | 22010 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00964682072080 |
60 | 21790 | 21947.429649819 | 21916 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.992826966422452 |
61 | 21510 | 21809.1030976104 | 21787 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.986285401271582 |
62 | 21670 | 21681.2471474644 | 21713 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.999481249976634 |
63 | 21745 | 21756.8039654208 | 21776 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.9994574586672 |
64 | 21850 | 21881.708896385 | 21884 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.998550894880508 |
65 | 22105 | 21915.3837587443 | 21884 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00865219807890 |
66 | 22050 | 21893.1883163280 | 21871 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00716257867088 |
67 | 21670 | 21829.0307138911 | 21861 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.992714714822865 |
68 | 21680 | 21804.7616523395 | 21824 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.994278238197293 |
69 | 21800 | 21807.7166436738 | 21810 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.999646150773149 |
70 | 21920 | 21961.4497271642 | 21930 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.998112614254561 |
71 | 21980 | 21964.2603464345 | 21942 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.0007166029412 |
72 | 22270 | 21939.8683887112 | 21972 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.01504710992062 |
73 | 21740 | 21970.6153195998 | 21990 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.989503465595066 |
74 | 21950 | 21969.6996833929 | 21972 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.999103324866665 |
75 | 22010 | 21933.4095724738 | 21902 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00349195264298 |
76 | 21890 | 21998.2948397249 | 21976 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.995077125726611 |
77 | 21920 | 22021.7484728125 | 22054 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.995379636955796 |
78 | 22110 | 22074.5236412568 | 22094 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00160711774894 |
79 | 22340 | 22161.6795823194 | 22164 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00804634039664 |
80 | 22210 | 22203.796778417 | 22172 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00027937661495 |
81 | 22240 | 22216.5160025871 | 22194 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00105705131309 |
82 | 21960 | 22105.6256321359 | 22138 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.99341228180739 |
83 | 22220 | 22094.5060108062 | 22114 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00567987304773 |
84 | 22060 | 22055.6906797871 | 22058 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00019538359852 |
85 | 22090 | 22085.6275550789 | 22054 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00019797693818 |
86 | 21960 | 21990.2867236566 | 21968 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.998622722657636 |
87 | 21940 | 21865.9766054978 | 21898 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00338532304492 |
88 | 21790 | 21798.7669414747 | 21818 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.999597823973338 |
89 | 21710 | 21765.7210407836 | 21768 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.99743996347839 |
90 | 21690 | 21745.1399624097 | 21714 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.997464262703989 |
91 | 21710 | 21705.9986032306 | 21684 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00018434520533 |
92 | 21670 | 21610.3509770839 | 21642 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00276020611508 |
93 | 21640 | 21542.9926112419 | 21562 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00450296718328 |
94 | 21500 | 21467.7522393249 | 21470 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00150214891227 |
95 | 21290 | 21482.7642292352 | 21452 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.991027028590072 |
96 | 21250 | 21479.7693243 | 21458 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.989302989206682 |
97 | 21580 | 21450.5849593253 | 21482 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00603317070001 |
98 | 21670 | 21507.0243460530 | 21526 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00757778720686 |
99 | 21620 | 21545.7440732637 | 21548 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00344643129909 |
100 | 21510 | 21546.8560113847 | 21516 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.998289494700982 |
101 | 21360 | 21497.7875854538 | 21476 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.993590615550272 |
102 | 21420 | 21394.6668531097 | 21426 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00118408700001 |
103 | 21470 | 21379.1371809366 | 21398 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00425006950909 |
104 | 21370 | 21391.7601959998 | 21394 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.998982776742051 |
105 | 21370 | 21366.5978740892 | 21336 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00015922637431 |
106 | 21340 | 21289.576567677 | 21268 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00236845632710 |
107 | 21130 | 21161.0090521376 | 21192 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.998534613729372 |
108 | 21130 | 21147.3416941632 | 21166 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.999179958672159 |
109 | 20990 | 21159.7844847971 | 21162 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.99197607683958 |
110 | 21240 | 21252.4343871354 | 21222 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.99941491939658 |
111 | 21320 | 21295.5826547282 | 21274 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00114659202651 |
112 | 21430 | 21350.7311982261 | 21382 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00371269728601 |
113 | 21390 | 21417.1036830805 | 21436 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.998734484200965 |
114 | 21530 | 21495.7493079183 | 21498 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00159337046553 |
115 | 21510 | 21554.8674841533 | 21524 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.997918452331645 |
116 | 21630 | 21589.8809202397 | 21568 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00185823534222 |
117 | 21560 | 21542.4504195365 | 21574 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.0008146510783 |
118 | 21610 | 21515.0172938727 | 21534 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00441471669903 |
119 | 21560 | 21473.7516111663 | 21476 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00401645648117 |
120 | 21310 | 21476.7556246586 | 21446 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.99223553000402 |
121 | 21340 | 21455.744976095 | 21434 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.994605408657497 |
122 | 21410 | 21366.7078000019 | 21398 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00202615210557 |
123 | 21550 | 21437.0860526299 | 21456 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00526722461686 |
124 | 21380 | 21491.7497266907 | 21494 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.994800343010141 |
125 | 21600 | 21554.8674841533 | 21524 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00209384334559 |
126 | 21530 | 21569.8606300688 | 21548 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.998152021899796 |
127 | 21560 | 21548.4416452024 | 21580 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00053638935882 |
128 | 21670 | 21548.9873221068 | 21568 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00561570138236 |
129 | 21540 | 21569.7415606295 | 21572 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.998621144321737 |
130 | 21540 | 21608.9449253420 | 21578 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.99680942657866 |
131 | 21550 | 21549.8403398980 | 21528 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00000740887633 |
132 | 21590 | 21472.5527867671 | 21504 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00546964370745 |
133 | 21420 | 21451.0737113145 | 21470 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.99855141464093 |
134 | 21420 | 21433.75579889 | 21436 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.999358217989462 |
135 | 21370 | 21390.6322923952 | 21360 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.999035451962653 |
136 | 21380 | 21398.6871491081 | 21377 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.999126715158838 |
137 | 21210 | 21334.7545964502 | 21366 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.994152517860648 |
138 | 21505 | 21350.1627450899 | 21369 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00725227515868 |
139 | 21365 | 21360.7634414857 | 21363 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00019833366565 |
140 | 21385 | 21423.6796175661 | 21393 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.998194539021468 |
141 | 21350 | 21419.7084537875 | 21398 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.99674559278256 |
142 | 21360 | 21369.7034128349 | 21401 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.99954592664917 |
143 | 21530 | 21431.0913417651 | 21450 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.0046151946561 |
144 | 21380 | 21606.7376869852 | 21609 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.989506158205376 |
145 | 21630 | 21831.2632946731 | 21800 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.990780959765981 |
146 | 22145 | 21984.2806366053 | 21962 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00731064918845 |
147 | 22315 | 22141.5729861316 | 22174 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00783264197070 |
148 | 22340 | 22255.3640856792 | 22275 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00380294449442 |
149 | 22440 | 22234.6719397237 | 22237 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00923458915126 |
150 | 22135 | 22217.8168557622 | 22186 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.996272502546048 |
151 | 21955 | 22150.4490450233 | 22128 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.991176294231053 |
152 | 22060 | 22014.7587095356 | 22047 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00205504366690 |
153 | 22050 | 22056.5395086623 | 22076 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.99970351157489 |
154 | 22035 | 22145.6812574088 | 22148 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.99500212903264 |
155 | 22280 | 22208.8039488974 | 22177 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00320575800779 |
156 | 22315 | 22183.4825238052 | 22161 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00592862171454 |
157 | 22205 | 22136.5802980766 | 22169 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00309079817217 |
158 | 21970 | 22116.4866173106 | 22136 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.993376587346566 |
159 | 22075 | 22091.6869108358 | 22094 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.999244652031187 |
160 | 22115 | 22061.5931367728 | 22030 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00242080718723 |
161 | 22105 | 22019.3161444043 | 21997 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00389130411834 |
162 | 21885 | 21931.8800878233 | 21964 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.997862468350385 |
163 | 21805 | 21920.6593957262 | 21940 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.99472372643367 |
164 | 21910 | 21965.7001021653 | 21968 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.997464223680273 |
165 | 21995 | 22042.5658889472 | 22011 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.997842089292743 |
166 | 22245 | 22098.3962905791 | 22076 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00663413342277 |
167 | 22100 | 22121.6022339117 | 22154 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.999023477879979 |
168 | 22130 | 22318.3085497599 | 22338 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.991562597616212 |
169 | 22300 | 22494.6447195199 | 22497 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.991347064070277 |
170 | 22915 | 22685.4865786343 | 22653 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.01011719191343 |
171 | 23040 | 22850.1581864944 | 22827 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00830811813013 |
172 | 22880 | 22965.3665151998 | 22999 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.996282815031788 |
173 | 23000 | 22999.7073513955 | 23020 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00001272401427 |
174 | 23160 | 22963.5956184600 | 22966 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00855285839393 |
175 | 23020 | 22954.8723504815 | 22922 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00283720373279 |
176 | 22770 | 22893.2018103617 | 22870 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.994618410680068 |
177 | 22660 | 22785.6297452213 | 22819 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.994486448405158 |
178 | 22740 | 22738.9374287754 | 22759 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00004672915029 |
179 | 22905 | 22743.6186509401 | 22746 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00709567600199 |
180 | 22720 | 22793.6414610116 | 22761 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.996769210345895 |
181 | 22705 | 22756.0628226914 | 22733 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.997756078321225 |
182 | 22735 | 22620.8710394076 | 22654 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00504529469239 |
183 | 22600 | 22602.0581973618 | 22622 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.999908937613388 |
184 | 22510 | 22593.6343549038 | 22596 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.996298322191548 |
185 | 22560 | 22618.3904941966 | 22586 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.99741845052098 |
186 | 22575 | 22684.9907925849 | 22662 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.995151384737575 |
187 | 22685 | 22781.6355947773 | 22815 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.995758180119454 |
188 | 22980 | 23051.661512224 | 23072 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.996891264771262 |
189 | 23275 | 23282.5622213638 | 23285 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.999675198060598 |
190 | 23845 | 23509.6668397131 | 23476 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.01426362876910 |
191 | 23640 | 23670.9900834990 | 23647 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.998690799016445 |
192 | 23640 | 23682.3165198919 | 23717 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.998213159601329 |
193 | 23835 | 23738.0559062470 | 23759 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00408391041524 |
194 | 23625 | 23829.5049542427 | 23832 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.99141799401056 |
195 | 24055 | 24003.3738490834 | 23969 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00215078727021 |
196 | 24005 | 24115.4405252918 | 24091 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.995420339712394 |
197 | 24325 | 24264.4639471001 | 24300 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00249484402507 |
198 | 24445 | 24390.4802720359 | 24412 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00223528718402 |
199 | 24670 | 24548.4296799099 | 24551 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00495226463262 |
200 | 24615 | 24734.4207392261 | 24699 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.995171880494588 |
201 | 24700 | 24872.2074937498 | 24847 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.993076308413998 |
202 | 25065 | 24920.5031575217 | 24957 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00579831159768 |
203 | 25185 | 25058.8905334644 | 25081 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00503252394064 |
204 | 25220 | 25133.3684344513 | 25136 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00344687445197 |
205 | 25235 | 25170.0445710235 | 25134 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00258066404266 |
206 | 24975 | 25226.5666297737 | 25201 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.990027710331504 |
207 | 25055 | 25295.9532992546 | 25333 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.990474630609724 |
208 | 25520 | 25455.5405690206 | 25478 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.0025322357938 |
209 | 25880 | 25628.3166113710 | 25631 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00982051971831 |
210 | 25960 | 25649.7315030487 | 25613 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.01209636431923 |
211 | 25740 | 25581.9267803062 | 25556 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00617909749532 |
212 | 24965 | 25321.9152771404 | 25359 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.98590488621283 |
213 | 25235 | 25071.8790736715 | 25094 | 0.999118477471567 | 1.00650613086674 |
214 | 24895 | 24910.3917810107 | 24913 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.9993821140532 |
215 | 24635 | 24882.6329854468 | 24847 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.990047958928153 |
216 | 24835 | 24764.0979268272 | 24739 | 1.00101450854227 | 1.00286309937000 |
217 | 24635 | 24741.7649251541 | 24778 | 0.998537610991772 | 0.995684829862497 |
218 | 24695 | 24873.0544966547 | 24895 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.992841470408123 |
219 | 25090 | 24873.3956546551 | 24876 | 0.999895306908471 | 1.00870827402709 |
220 | 25220 | 24985.7806973437 | 24950 | 1.00143409608592 | 1.00937410383503 |
221 | 24740 | 24966.3028575527 | 24941 | 1.00101450854227 | 0.990935668014446 |
222 | 25005 | 24778.7108167608 | 24815 | 0.998537610991772 | 1.00913240341326 |
223 | 24650 | 24685.22022289 | 24707 | 0.999118477471567 | 0.998573226304161 |
224 | 24460 | 24724.4112539258 | 24727 | 0.999895306908471 | 0.989305660255761 |
225 | 24680 | 24687.3533367101 | 24652 | 1.00143409608592 | 0.99970214155362 |
226 | 24840 | NA | 24620 | NA | NA |
227 | 24630 | NA | 24667 | NA | NA |
228 | 24490 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
229 | 24695 | NA | NA | NA | NA |