| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0752 | -0.6836 | -0.2448 | -0.9985 | -0.9344 | -0.3995 | 0.4083 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.053 ) | (0 ) | (0.2112 ) | (0.1804 ) | (0.6017 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0707 | -0.6723 | -0.2432 | -0.9985 | -0.5432 | -0.2325 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0543 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.1856 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -1.0644 | -0.6521 | -0.2406 | -1.0014 | -0.4944 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0572 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9531 | -0.4087 | 0 | -1.0012 | -0.5116 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (7e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 8894295469.55809 |
| -44973129860.6981 |
| -21214735796.9350 |
| 56765393095.3797 |
| 11590107255.2576 |
| 1411466180534.78 |
| -1177304811564.42 |
| -856503008080.562 |
| -112030030639.419 |
| 22865053010.7668 |
| 11613135959.6949 |
| -94907612933.597 |
| -71259713943.3095 |
| 145153932484.941 |
| 357926584973.404 |
| -661120560763.824 |
| 330090133904.227 |
| -939341307795.755 |
| 912008438707.99 |
| 915206500613.368 |
| 197084584207.421 |
| -134438575895.533 |
| -325785274887.335 |
| -214865382721.19 |
| -216349098508.292 |
| -225292677625.171 |
| -175099817629.481 |
| -282990212061.338 |
| -214680462596.569 |
| -1064975334551.91 |
| 822492911857.17 |
| 839743350119.185 |
| 260705559785.37 |
| -22786133472.1684 |
| -82054438611.7654 |
| 11680094865.5628 |
| 213657246922.020 |
| 131326702169.035 |
| -675248050067.092 |
| 462826606154.63 |
| -2740596063.31355 |
| 88634136391.4065 |
| 481508914754.088 |
| -134484526988.05 |
| -208311824768.226 |
| -217241049070.025 |
| -168611150281.386 |
| 54061220896.1062 |
| -67756257947.027 |
| -89619554499.8228 |
| 140263052525.983 |
| -116497216262.499 |
| 92433160431.4211 |
| -98103195527.261 |
| 382982909769.969 |
| 99858080874.0916 |
| -46428756272.179 |
| -80837933363.6278 |
| -77652584567.4302 |
