Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	109	104.802	100.0925	109.8036	0.05	0.05	0.9319	0.05
51	108	98.5095	92.4342	105.1142	0.0024	9e-04	0.8512	9e-04
52	107	96.4132	89.2411	104.353	0.0045	0.0021	0.8003	9e-04
53	99	86.988	79.7855	95.0592	0.0018	0	0.766	0
54	103	90.1283	81.7555	99.6509	0.004	0.0339	0.7402	1e-04
55	131	120.5565	107.3293	135.9837	0.0923	0.9871	0.7187	0.929
56	137	124.7631	109.9239	142.3154	0.0859	0.2431	0.7026	0.9608
57	135	121.6079	106.3377	139.856	0.0752	0.0491	0.6897	0.9122
58	124	113.2004	98.4914	130.8977	0.1158	0.0079	0.6791	0.6791
59	118	109	94.2933	126.8336	0.1613	0.0496	0.6699	0.5
60	121	111.0999	95.3662	130.382	0.1571	0.2415	0.6616	0.5845
61	121	113.2004	96.4425	133.9496	0.2306	0.2306	0.6542	0.6542

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0243	0.0401	0	17.6235	0	0
51	0.0342	0.0963	0.0682	90.0705	53.847	7.3381
52	0.042	0.1098	0.0821	112.0805	73.2582	8.5591
53	0.0473	0.1381	0.0961	144.2871	91.0154	9.5402
54	0.0539	0.1428	0.1054	165.6814	105.9486	10.2931
55	0.0653	0.0866	0.1023	109.0664	106.4682	10.3183
56	0.0718	0.0981	0.1017	149.7429	112.6503	10.6137
57	0.0766	0.1101	0.1027	179.3471	120.9874	10.9994
58	0.0798	0.0954	0.1019	116.6318	120.5035	10.9774
59	0.0835	0.0826	0.1	81	116.5531	10.796
60	0.0885	0.0891	0.099	98.012	114.8676	10.7176
61	0.0935	0.0689	0.0965	60.8341	110.3648	10.5055