Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 103.63 | NA | NA | 1.00055541275226 | NA |
2 | 103.64 | NA | NA | 1.00028715838792 | NA |
3 | 103.66 | NA | NA | 1.00037376459922 | NA |
4 | 103.77 | NA | NA | 1.00019650002369 | NA |
5 | 103.88 | NA | NA | 0.999670231989992 | NA |
6 | 103.91 | NA | NA | 0.99931323068568 | NA |
7 | 103.91 | 103.851834036343 | 103.9625 | 0.998935520368816 | 1.00056008605141 |
8 | 103.92 | 103.854535605669 | 104.02 | 0.998409302111791 | 1.00063034699399 |
9 | 104.05 | 104.017831576674 | 104.08625 | 0.9993426756817 | 1.00030925873803 |
10 | 104.23 | 104.246596397299 | 104.16 | 1.00083137862231 | 0.99984079674663 |
11 | 104.3 | 104.348868191934 | 104.232083333333 | 1.00112043101189 | 0.999531684504293 |
12 | 104.31 | 104.403088680647 | 104.3025 | 1.00096439376474 | 0.999108372349674 |
13 | 104.31 | 104.430469817485 | 104.3725 | 1.00055541275226 | 0.99884641122753 |
14 | 104.34 | 104.47249153993 | 104.4425 | 1.00028715838792 | 0.998731804535557 |
15 | 104.55 | 104.553647184686 | 104.514583333333 | 1.00037376459922 | 0.99996511661923 |
16 | 104.65 | 104.616386417061 | 104.595833333333 | 1.00019650002369 | 1.00032130323069 |
17 | 104.73 | 104.650478235872 | 104.685 | 0.999670231989992 | 1.0007598796056 |
18 | 104.75 | 104.704709267143 | 104.776666666667 | 0.99931323068568 | 1.00043255678922 |
19 | 104.75 | 104.758368021078 | 104.87 | 0.998935520368816 | 0.99992012073846 |
20 | 104.76 | 104.794704365157 | 104.961666666667 | 0.998409302111791 | 0.99966883474344 |
21 | 104.94 | 104.978033330892 | 105.047083333333 | 0.9993426756817 | 0.999637702005981 |
22 | 105.29 | 105.218236860712 | 105.130833333333 | 1.00083137862231 | 1.00068204088406 |
23 | 105.38 | 105.333303282429 | 105.215416666667 | 1.00112043101189 | 1.00044332339456 |
24 | 105.43 | 105.399465320940 | 105.297916666667 | 1.00096439376474 | 1.00028970430701 |
25 | 105.43 | 105.438946293922 | 105.380416666667 | 1.00055541275226 | 0.999915151903199 |
26 | 105.42 | 105.492784441486 | 105.4625 | 1.00028715838792 | 0.999310052892518 |
27 | 105.52 | 105.584865807027 | 105.545416666667 | 1.00037376459922 | 0.999385652417788 |
28 | 105.69 | 105.644921817919 | 105.624166666667 | 1.00019650002369 | 1.00042669520982 |
29 | 105.72 | 105.665976579869 | 105.700833333333 | 0.999670231989992 | 1.00051126599006 |
30 | 105.74 | 105.707353541931 | 105.78 | 0.99931323068568 | 1.00030883809853 |
31 | 105.74 | 105.745649293709 | 105.858333333333 | 0.998935520368816 | 0.999946576584978 |
32 | 105.74 | 105.768153434716 | 105.936666666667 | 0.998409302111791 | 0.999733819360536 |
33 | 105.95 | 105.944480976832 | 106.014166666667 | 0.9993426756817 | 1.00005209354104 |
34 | 106.17 | 106.165690565808 | 106.0775 | 1.00083137862231 | 1.00004059159008 |
35 | 106.34 | 106.242654340598 | 106.12375 | 1.00112043101189 | 1.00091625778748 |
36 | 106.37 | 106.267801932531 | 106.165416666667 | 1.00096439376474 | 1.00096170303338 |
37 | 106.37 | 106.265238305620 | 106.20625 | 1.00055541275226 | 1.00098585102759 |
38 | 106.36 | 106.277593074504 | 106.247083333333 | 1.00028715838792 | 1.00077539322365 |
39 | 106.44 | 106.323475103222 | 106.28375 | 1.00037376459922 | 1.00109594703018 |
40 | 106.29 | 106.332140163143 | 106.31125 | 1.00019650002369 | 0.999603693078324 |
41 | 106.23 | 106.291603533389 | 106.326666666667 | 0.999670231989992 | 0.999420428977066 |
42 | 106.23 | 106.262388765475 | 106.335416666667 | 0.99931323068568 | 0.999695200099952 |
43 | 106.23 | 106.232214136755 | 106.345416666667 | 0.998935520368816 | 0.999979157576887 |
44 | 106.23 | 106.190397368734 | 106.359583333333 | 0.998409302111791 | 1.00037293985376 |
45 | 106.34 | 106.29674927001 | 106.366666666667 | 0.9993426756817 | 1.00040688666669 |
46 | 106.44 | 106.456765691757 | 106.368333333333 | 1.00083137862231 | 0.999842511730956 |
47 | 106.44 | 106.491683047812 | 106.3725 | 1.00112043101189 | 0.999514675265402 |
48 | 106.48 | 106.475084975740 | 106.3725 | 1.00096439376474 | 1.00004616126168 |
49 | 106.5 | 106.429913050635 | 106.370833333333 | 1.00055541275226 | 1.00065852679342 |
50 | 106.57 | 106.400961824039 | 106.370416666667 | 1.00028715838792 | 1.00158869030001 |
51 | 106.4 | 106.404338649194 | 106.364583333333 | 1.00037376459922 | 0.999959224884537 |
52 | 106.37 | 106.364229800852 | 106.343333333333 | 1.00019650002369 | 1.0000542494329 |
53 | 106.25 | 106.280357243279 | 106.315416666667 | 0.999670231989992 | 0.999714366379012 |
54 | 106.21 | 106.213255864966 | 106.28625 | 0.99931323068568 | 0.99996934596403 |
55 | 106.21 | NA | NA | 0.998935520368816 | NA |
56 | 106.24 | NA | NA | 0.998409302111791 | NA |
57 | 106.19 | NA | NA | 0.9993426756817 | NA |
58 | 106.08 | NA | NA | 1.00083137862231 | NA |
59 | 106.13 | NA | NA | 1.00112043101189 | NA |
60 | 106.09 | NA | NA | 1.00096439376474 | NA |