Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 24.9913736952300 -0.00450103556579507X[t] + 0.832983649674458`Y(t-1)`[t] -0.0571738582741973`Y(t-2)`[t] -0.232786626019946`Y(t-3)`[t] + 0.228951294811920`Y(t-4)`[t] + 0.0226526075029203t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)24.991373695230010.2943852.42770.0188390.009419
X-0.004501035565795070.004947-0.90990.3672580.183629
`Y(t-1)`0.8329836496744580.1357436.136500
`Y(t-2)`-0.05717385827419730.178307-0.32060.7498130.374906
`Y(t-3)`-0.2327866260199460.180137-1.29230.2022030.101102
`Y(t-4)`0.2289512948119200.134341.70430.094540.04727
t0.02265260750292030.0120861.87430.0667410.03337


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.989693018832834
R-squared0.979492271526448
Adjusted R-squared0.977031344109622
F-TEST (value)398.017537953093
F-TEST (DF numerator)6
F-TEST (DF denominator)50
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.253351340812442
Sum Squared Residuals3.2093450945731


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1105.62105.909556464123-0.289556464122704
2106.17105.9707921812250.199207818774814
3106.27106.407996695428-0.137996695428173
4106.41106.568696767885-0.158696767885347
5106.94106.5967371684370.343262831563244
6107.16107.1402528090850.0197471909147292
7107.32107.333035858797-0.0130358587974443
8107.32107.396496501248-0.0764965012481687
9107.35107.484678465875-0.134678465874600
10107.55107.5476945253460.00230547465391893
11107.87107.7683050361090.101694963891410
12108.37108.0310821977650.33891780223521
13108.38108.386001171749-0.00600117174898755
14107.92108.366761851086-0.446761851085839
15108.03107.9749642006470.05503579935279
16108.14108.225937361696-0.0859373616955538
17108.3108.441770055077-0.141770055077426
18108.64108.4507195504650.189280449535359
19108.66108.740985507442-0.0809855074419642
20109.04108.7660364246080.273963575391751
21109.03109.063004427526-0.0330044275261714
22109.03109.116996126921-0.0869961269214201
23109.54109.0423873707620.497612629238232
24109.75109.5720343513380.177965648662209
25109.83109.7642263405300.0657736594696631
26109.65109.746870490776-0.0968704907764538
27109.82109.6790662213350.140933778664978
28109.95109.8801935228390.069806477161267
29110.12110.0424127232950.0775872767046766
30110.15110.1109832711390.0390167288614961
31110.21110.1669724552930.0430275447070031
32109.99110.227763735441-0.237763735440703
33110.14110.0980081683500.0419918316495721
34110.14110.251853089454-0.111853089454194
35110.81110.3284942047790.481505795220788
36110.97110.8111756377960.158824362204449
37110.99110.9462179446970.0437820553029272
38109.73110.791698761526-1.06169876152646
39109.81109.884391056912-0.0743910569119973
40110.02110.070451225203-0.0504512252029452
41110.18110.547933579171-0.367933579170848
42110.21110.381964856789-0.171964856788717
43110.25110.367519921817-0.117519921816746
44110.36110.450479682502-0.0904796825019399
45110.51110.613502064465-0.103502064464917
46110.6110.76452296484-0.164522964840062
47110.95110.8146593775300.135340622470497
48111.18111.0943527486330.0856472513667392
49111.19111.266054379230-0.0760543792303016
50111.69111.2296336555350.460366344465301
51111.7111.6743636770230.025636322977022
52111.83111.6933323566890.136667643311365
53111.77111.6993349389150.0706650610853777
54111.73111.749537452190-0.0195374521897772
55112.01111.7232404471880.286759552812021
56111.86112.068851352161-0.208851352161338
57112.04111.9570146253180.0829853746823928


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
100.3438870508820680.6877741017641350.656112949117932
110.1962428507582970.3924857015165940.803757149241703
120.1145423589012130.2290847178024260.885457641098787
130.28243769804590.56487539609180.7175623019541
140.5361326604460090.9277346791079810.463867339553991
150.4190483592011660.8380967184023320.580951640798834
160.404865468488870.809730936977740.59513453151113
170.3717565439570060.7435130879140130.628243456042993
180.2829440966346090.5658881932692190.71705590336539
190.2360314487765540.4720628975531090.763968551223446
200.1873057993344440.3746115986688880.812694200665556
210.1511740154876920.3023480309753840.848825984512308
220.1139906478044100.2279812956088200.88600935219559
230.1985830957526820.3971661915053640.801416904247318
240.1597052876504080.3194105753008150.840294712349593
250.1133889831176100.2267779662352200.88661101688239
260.1051776525814670.2103553051629340.894822347418533
270.07694623460367610.1538924692073520.923053765396324
280.05536330467304640.1107266093460930.944636695326954
290.03801591592464590.07603183184929170.961984084075354
300.02775708396649330.05551416793298660.972242916033507
310.01966275031971750.03932550063943490.980337249680282
320.02400298228529790.04800596457059580.975997017714702
330.01546508094156820.03093016188313640.984534919058432
340.0107368177136140.0214736354272280.989263182286386
350.04948321769929290.09896643539858580.950516782300707
360.0922456725647660.1844913451295320.907754327435234
370.6599916087125080.6800167825749850.340008391287493
380.9381161166779750.1237677666440490.0618838833220246
390.9274536160267230.1450927679465550.0725463839732774
400.8829911674064070.2340176651871860.117008832593593
410.9561633817808830.0876732364382330.0438366182191165
420.918659551852060.1626808962958790.0813404481479394
430.9030114645803660.1939770708392690.0969885354196343
440.8550429170753470.2899141658493050.144957082924653
450.7563757864529760.4872484270940480.243624213547024
460.7158179407182640.5683641185634710.284182059281736
470.6556169754481540.6887660491036920.344383024551846


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level40.105263157894737NOK
10% type I error level80.210526315789474NOK