Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
BESTC[t] = -6.92605201264424 + 0.259801879535493INDUSTR[t] + 0.155336451654076Y1[t] + 0.0649152601439141Y2[t] + 0.580833848588579Y3[t] + 0.0285751652133791Y4[t] -2.62125269928172M1[t] + 0.187869465600903M2[t] -2.89674579770143M3[t] -6.45300354254062M4[t] -2.02482601983913M5[t] -2.17130347109709M6[t] + 3.40503068660951M7[t] -0.58488239993721M8[t] + 0.271970079284188M9[t] + 0.552450778154068M10[t] -1.88858950952297M11[t] + 0.00827710547737372t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)-6.9260520126442412.419377-0.55770.5803330.290166
INDUSTR0.2598018795354930.0504565.1498e-064e-06
Y10.1553364516540760.1277931.21550.231660.11583
Y20.06491526014391410.1342930.48340.6315960.315798
Y30.5808338485885790.1219494.76292.8e-051.4e-05
Y40.02857516521337910.1574210.18150.8569240.428462
M1-2.621252699281720.959351-2.73230.009490.004745
M20.1878694656009031.0284260.18270.8560230.428011
M3-2.896745797701431.065543-2.71860.0098250.004913
M4-6.453003542540621.00255-6.436600
M5-2.024826019839131.086113-1.86430.070020.03501
M6-2.171303471097090.954236-2.27540.0286050.014303
M73.405030686609511.3568392.50950.016470.008235
M8-0.584882399937211.429526-0.40910.6847310.342365
M90.2719700792841881.2737980.21350.832070.416035
M100.5524507781540681.559290.35430.7250750.362538
M11-1.888589509522970.950698-1.98650.0542210.02711
t0.008277105477373720.046890.17650.860820.43041


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.985914410283178
R-squared0.972027224404027
Adjusted R-squared0.959513087953198
F-TEST (value)77.6743347991521
F-TEST (DF numerator)17
F-TEST (DF denominator)38
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation1.07109106142283
Sum Squared Residuals43.5949703506755


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
196.3896.926373980974-0.546373980973961
2100.82102.240407944953-1.42040794495348
399.0699.2271092997082-0.167109299708232
494.0394.3955388344205-0.365538834420504
5102.07101.9672891247560.102710875244458
699.3198.94629520098380.363704799016176
798.64100.327220414353-1.68722041435251
8101.82101.8095827881230.0104172118765759
999.1499.10185279973480.0381472002652051
1097.6398.0112482316177-0.381248231617671
11100.0699.98558200271150.0744179972884663
12101.32101.2157322226460.104267777353873
13101.49100.9903057005930.49969429940682
14105.43105.621925591510-0.191925591509872
15105.09103.8660161963021.22398380369764
1699.4899.5385856687715-0.0585856687714791
17108.53108.1547548672770.375245132722899
18104.34103.6213587235480.718641276452006
19106.1105.952340475710.147659524290009
20107.35107.354123429917-0.00412342991744168
21103103.546725557649-0.546725557648704
22104.5104.0914911278450.40850887215464
23105.17104.2822395636210.887760436378853
24104.84105.656298987443-0.816298987443351
25106.18106.0947411209600.0852588790398619
26108.86109.011286867993-0.151286867992541
27107.77106.6034494832481.16655051675178
28102.74102.6599041034480.0800958965522788
29112.63109.3720152711123.25798472888756
30106.26106.0159932163980.244006783601768
31108.86108.5861640843750.273835915625037
32111.38110.6112893592640.768710640735976
33106.85106.7487697143010.101230285699228
34107.86107.6177425485100.242257451489595
35107.94108.638234630358-0.698234630357818
36111.38111.3534085265680.0265914734319444
37111.29111.685694332439-0.395694332439290
38113.72113.826482487517-0.106482487516764
39111.88113.381925865696-1.50192586569553
40109.87109.0504286846550.819571315344856
41113.72114.853770272849-1.13377027284880
42111.71112.780908813621-1.07090881362101
43114.81113.9395604784990.870439521500768
44112.05113.319128074169-1.26912807416897
45111.54111.1326519283160.40734807168427
46110.87111.139518092027-0.269518092026565
47110.87111.133943803310-0.263943803309501
48115.48114.7945602633420.685439736657536
49111.63111.2728848650330.357115134966568
50116.24114.3698971080271.87010289197265
51113.56114.281499155046-0.72149915504565
52106.01106.485542708705-0.475542708705153
53110.45113.052170464006-2.60217046400612
54107.77108.025444045449-0.255444045448937
55108.61108.2147145470630.395285452936694
56108.19107.6958763485260.494123651473859


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
210.08656576647860960.1731315329572190.91343423352139
220.04061854673787010.08123709347574030.95938145326213
230.01394936269667910.02789872539335810.98605063730332
240.01319206698206900.02638413396413810.98680793301793
250.01002379512124820.02004759024249630.989976204878752
260.007723423065590930.01544684613118190.99227657693441
270.002898299780920580.005796599561841170.99710170021908
280.001431683150098310.002863366300196620.998568316849902
290.2552517549312510.5105035098625020.744748245068749
300.2062684144456460.4125368288912930.793731585554354
310.1248438043122080.2496876086244160.875156195687792
320.1229958226525910.2459916453051820.87700417734741
330.07939645802145790.1587929160429160.920603541978542
340.06126789770766570.1225357954153310.938732102292334
350.06829487477886990.1365897495577400.93170512522113


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level20.133333333333333NOK
5% type I error level60.4NOK
10% type I error level70.466666666666667NOK