Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 12.0075106155311 + 0.00706906994709151X[t] + 0.492628156335883Y1[t] + 0.141018411173Y2[t] + 0.00778650777325245Y3[t] + 0.210384272455964Y4[t] + 3.10696889836303M1[t] + 2.18939852178247M2[t] + 2.06031177005909M3[t] + 2.32501060991481M4[t] + 1.76821492983135M5[t] + 0.33342314126969M6[t] + 2.55766571757778M7[t] + 1.64749851532543M8[t] + 1.54105844819217M9[t] + 1.91751211161407M10[t] + 1.68745560545471M11[t] + 0.0151867036463499t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)12.00751061553114.4582372.69330.0104690.005234
X0.007069069947091510.0012775.53512e-061e-06
Y10.4926281563358830.1472333.34590.0018560.000928
Y20.1410184111730.1689180.83480.4090290.204514
Y30.007786507773252450.1831950.04250.966320.48316
Y40.2103842724559640.1515341.38840.1731130.086557
M13.106968898363030.3093310.044200
M22.189398521782470.3757575.82661e-060
M32.060311770059090.4016015.13029e-064e-06
M42.325010609914810.3948895.88781e-060
M51.768214929831350.1829919.662800
M60.333423141269690.1855961.79650.0803680.040184
M72.557665717577780.2743989.32100
M81.647498515325430.303225.43333e-062e-06
M91.541058448192170.2995735.14428e-064e-06
M101.917512111614070.2966056.464900
M111.687455605454710.1929418.74600
t0.01518670364634990.0103311.470.1497880.074894


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.998073681717132
R-squared0.99615107413639
Adjusted R-squared0.99442918625004
F-TEST (value)578.522609998258
F-TEST (DF numerator)17
F-TEST (DF denominator)38
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.267843432610432
Sum Squared Residuals2.72612396691648


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
199.0699.3334215628548-0.273421562854746
299.6599.38793384230740.262066157692614
399.8299.77931116783630.0406888321636927
499.9999.92049759379550.069502406204525
5100.33100.0333228257890.296677174210958
699.3198.96527331373860.344726686261437
7101.1100.8692583780540.230741621945542
8101.1100.7464147968850.353585203114607
9100.93100.9117926165490.0182073834511236
10100.85100.970962412409-0.120962412408868
11100.93101.109590773884-0.179590773884153
1299.699.5793527855050.0206472144950217
13101.88101.999998955701-0.119998955700819
14101.81102.039666195008-0.229666195008403
15102.38102.3557118898990.0242881101007720
16102.74102.6805186058170.0594813941826108
17102.82102.851025600870-0.031025600870458
18101.72101.5947238322190.125276167781191
19103.47103.4100069303180.0599930696824191
20102.98103.134364288943-0.154364288942553
21102.68103.003046000052-0.323046000051811
22102.9102.975554541530-0.0755545415297692
23103.03103.252615406587-0.222615406587493
24101.29101.451227594614-0.161227594614316
25103.69103.750193210448-0.0601932104483822
26103.68103.894956585759-0.214956585759212
27104.2104.22027378414-0.0202737841400317
28104.08104.409655490392-0.329655490391595
29104.16104.439416215429-0.279416215429192
30103.05103.134728410320-0.0847284103202966
31104.66104.881344999872-0.221344999872108
32104.46104.707912788672-0.247912788671913
33104.95104.8629317382540.0870682617455716
34105.85105.4015785866230.4484214133772
35106.23106.0059375226140.224062477386205
36104.86104.6950581709460.164941829053714
37107.44107.4254636276260.0145363723735566
38108.23107.9451550967580.284844903241532
39108.45108.751797373162-0.301797373161609
40109.39109.2342803757960.155719624203682
41110.15109.9046594525860.245340547414266
42109.13109.205874634595-0.0758746345947503
43110.28110.743785384518-0.463785384518273
44110.17110.186749394477-0.0167493944770209
45109.99109.7722296451450.217770354855116
46109.26109.511904459439-0.251904459438562
47109.11108.9318562969150.17814370308544
48107.06107.084361448934-0.02436144893442
49109.53109.0909226433700.439077356630390
50108.92109.022288280167-0.102288280166531
51109.24108.9829057849630.257094215037176
52109.12109.0750479341990.0449520658007774
53109109.231575905326-0.231575905325573
54107.23107.539399809128-0.309399809127581
55109.49109.0956043072380.39439569276242
56109.04108.9745587310230.0654412689768803


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
210.3319411442086230.6638822884172450.668058855791377
220.1894515028336160.3789030056672330.810548497166384
230.1336563204772190.2673126409544390.86634367952278
240.06909763654352540.1381952730870510.930902363456475
250.03600997172542130.07201994345084260.963990028274579
260.01662580854164270.03325161708328530.983374191458357
270.00661615674632560.01323231349265120.993383843253674
280.02225348507193510.04450697014387030.977746514928065
290.05326210308793110.1065242061758620.946737896912069
300.05396149014785750.1079229802957150.946038509852142
310.03363068291879750.0672613658375950.966369317081203
320.02315970649231580.04631941298463160.976840293507684
330.02475681515792290.04951363031584580.975243184842077
340.01810764614607830.03621529229215670.981892353853922
350.008435619531825310.01687123906365060.991564380468175


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level70.466666666666667NOK
10% type I error level90.6NOK