Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 3851.3 | NA | NA | 0.999161804058414 | NA |
2 | 3851.8 | NA | NA | 0.998270904092836 | NA |
3 | 3854.1 | NA | NA | 0.997989468309282 | NA |
4 | 3858.4 | NA | NA | 0.997597499163265 | NA |
5 | 3861.6 | NA | NA | 0.997964223363847 | NA |
6 | 3856.3 | NA | NA | 0.99877111874649 | NA |
7 | 3855.8 | 3854.87928625939 | 3849.8875 | 1.00129660574741 | 1.00023884372823 |
8 | 3860.4 | 3855.41164410464 | 3847.46666666667 | 1.00206498928420 | 1.00129385818061 |
9 | 3855.1 | 3856.58113623656 | 3844.2875 | 1.00319789720112 | 0.999615945786114 |
10 | 3839.5 | 3850.975409707 | 3840.35833333333 | 1.00276460565711 | 0.997020129061828 |
11 | 3833 | 3839.233682183 | 3836.07083333333 | 1.00082450220214 | 0.998376321240375 |
12 | 3833.6 | 3832.71520315581 | 3832.34583333333 | 1.00009638217388 | 1.00023085379354 |
13 | 3826.8 | 3827.67646564483 | 3830.8875 | 0.999161804058414 | 0.99977101887981 |
14 | 3818.2 | 3824.70027162348 | 3831.325 | 0.998270904092836 | 0.9983004494047 |
15 | 3811.4 | 3824.64493887508 | 3832.35 | 0.997989468309282 | 0.996536949419683 |
16 | 3806.8 | 3825.26267060406 | 3834.475 | 0.997597499163265 | 0.9951734894584 |
17 | 3810.3 | 3829.8914581877 | 3837.70416666667 | 0.997964223363847 | 0.994884591795463 |
18 | 3818.2 | 3836.84583740589 | 3841.56666666667 | 0.99877111874649 | 0.995140321452557 |
19 | 3858.9 | 3850.95754122021 | 3845.97083333333 | 1.00129660574741 | 1.00206246334704 |
20 | 3867.8 | 3858.95227373344 | 3851 | 1.00206498928420 | 1.00229277939683 |
21 | 3872.3 | 3869.19634979387 | 3856.8625 | 1.00319789720112 | 1.00080214337179 |
22 | 3873.3 | 3874.36071594809 | 3863.67916666667 | 1.00276460565711 | 0.999726221685108 |
23 | 3876.7 | 3874.30841088309 | 3871.11666666667 | 1.00082450220214 | 1.00061729445962 |
24 | 3882.6 | 3879.31136042859 | 3878.9375 | 1.00009638217388 | 1.00084773797869 |
25 | 3883.5 | 3882.65950708733 | 3885.91666666667 | 0.999161804058414 | 1.00021647350512 |
26 | 3882.2 | 3885.51576699324 | 3892.24583333333 | 0.998270904092836 | 0.999146634014097 |
27 | 3888.1 | 3891.89279588132 | 3899.73333333333 | 0.997989468309282 | 0.999025462395744 |
28 | 3893.7 | 3899.34259822943 | 3908.73333333333 | 0.997597499163265 | 0.998552936017474 |
29 | 3901.9 | 3910.4687528558 | 3918.44583333333 | 0.997964223363847 | 0.99780876580345 |
30 | 3914.3 | 3923.27283154808 | 3928.1 | 0.99877111874649 | 0.997712921855465 |
31 | 3930.3 | 3943.52741242156 | 3938.42083333333 | 1.00129660574741 | 0.99664579168896 |
32 | 3948.3 | 3958.71619395826 | 3950.55833333333 | 1.00206498928420 | 0.997368794970915 |
33 | 3971.5 | 3977.05266371670 | 3964.375 | 1.00319789720112 | 0.998603824443322 |
34 | 3990.1 | 3990.19256245906 | 3979.19166666667 | 1.00276460565711 | 0.999976802508247 |
35 | 3993 | 3998.48988109591 | 3995.19583333333 | 1.00082450220214 | 0.998627011382005 |
36 | 3998 | 4012.7533872884 | 4012.36666666667 | 1.00009638217388 | 0.99632337553184 |
37 | 4015.8 | 4026.50550147827 | 4029.88333333333 | 0.999161804058414 | 0.997341242555278 |
38 | 4041.2 | 4039.87756500070 | 4046.875 | 0.998270904092836 | 1.00032734531629 |
39 | 4060.7 | 4054.74388566214 | 4062.9125 | 0.997989468309282 | 1.00146892492000 |
40 | 4076.7 | 4067.76199602566 | 4077.55833333333 | 0.997597499163265 | 1.00219727800768 |
41 | 4103 | 4082.43046309418 | 4090.75833333333 | 0.997964223363847 | 1.00503855168919 |
42 | 4125.3 | 4098.29914701575 | 4103.34166666667 | 0.99877111874649 | 1.00658830700631 |
43 | 4139.7 | 4120.21454264407 | 4114.87916666667 | 1.00129660574741 | 1.00472923367321 |
44 | 4146.7 | 4132.87926436665 | 4124.3625 | 1.00206498928420 | 1.00334409372965 |
45 | 4158 | 4145.30985103352 | 4132.09583333333 | 1.00319789720112 | 1.00306132699907 |
46 | 4155.1 | 4149.9663896271 | 4138.525 | 1.00276460565711 | 1.00123702456621 |
47 | 4144.8 | 4146.52850537998 | 4143.1125 | 1.00082450220214 | 0.99958314397749 |
48 | 4148.2 | 4146.19541414821 | 4145.79583333333 | 1.00009638217388 | 1.00048347597051 |
49 | 4142.5 | 4144.11517216431 | 4147.59166666667 | 0.999161804058414 | 0.99961024920949 |
50 | 4142.1 | 4142.02563526199 | 4149.2 | 0.998270904092836 | 1.00001795371264 |
51 | 4145.4 | 4142.54200913665 | 4150.8875 | 0.997989468309282 | 1.00068991234296 |
52 | 4146.3 | 4143.42560968095 | 4153.40416666667 | 0.997597499163265 | 1.00069372316287 |
53 | 4143.5 | 4149.36475519205 | 4157.82916666667 | 0.997964223363847 | 0.998586589625626 |
54 | 4149.2 | 4158.75393052421 | 4163.87083333333 | 0.99877111874649 | 0.997702693959822 |
55 | 4158.9 | 4176.42065878003 | 4171.0125 | 1.00129660574741 | 0.995804862533855 |
56 | 4166.1 | 4187.75902361311 | 4179.12916666667 | 1.00206498928420 | 0.994828015773835 |
57 | 4179.1 | 4201.47221331183 | 4188.07916666667 | 1.00319789720112 | 0.99467514904872 |
58 | 4194.4 | 4209.90246574439 | 4198.29583333333 | 1.00276460565711 | 0.996317618787957 |
59 | 4211.7 | 4213.70050988611 | 4210.22916666667 | 1.00082450220214 | 0.999525236812294 |
60 | 4226.3 | 4223.9862444083 | 4223.57916666667 | 1.00009638217388 | 1.0005477658917 |
61 | 4235.8 | 4234.24789323875 | 4237.8 | 0.999161804058414 | 1.00036656020157 |
62 | 4243.6 | 4245.66695241733 | 4253.02083333333 | 0.998270904092836 | 0.999513161903537 |
63 | 4258.7 | 4260.47109797519 | 4269.05416666667 | 0.997989468309282 | 0.999584295272879 |
64 | 4278.2 | 4275.25811919538 | 4285.55416666667 | 0.997597499163265 | 1.00068811770485 |
65 | 4298 | 4293.76186194427 | 4302.52083333333 | 0.997964223363847 | 1.00098704543754 |
66 | 4315.1 | 4314.40408628819 | 4319.7125 | 0.99877111874649 | 1.00016130007711 |
67 | 4334.3 | 4342.71099257953 | 4337.0875 | 1.00129660574741 | 0.998063193108199 |
68 | 4356 | NA | NA | 1.00206498928420 | NA |
69 | 4374 | NA | NA | 1.00319789720112 | NA |
70 | 4395.5 | NA | NA | 1.00276460565711 | NA |
71 | 4417.8 | NA | NA | 1.00082450220214 | NA |
72 | 4432.8 | NA | NA | 1.00009638217388 | NA |
73 | 4446.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA |