Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
Parameter	Value
alpha	1
beta	0
gamma	0

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
t	Observed	Fitted	Residuals
3	96.3	95	1.30000000000000
4	83.3	96.3	-13
5	96.9	83.3	13.6
6	103.4	96.9	6.5
7	99.3	103.4	-4.10000000000001
8	103.8	99.3	4.5
9	113.4	103.8	9.6
10	111.5	113.4	-1.90000000000001
11	114.2	111.5	2.70000000000000
12	90.6	114.2	-23.6
13	90.8	90.6	0.200000000000003
14	96.4	90.8	5.60000000000001
15	90	96.4	-6.4
16	92.1	90	2.09999999999999
17	97.2	92.1	5.10000000000001
18	95.1	97.2	-2.10000000000001
19	88.5	95.1	-6.6
20	91	88.5	2.5
21	90.5	91	-0.5
22	75	90.5	-15.5
23	66.3	75	-8.7
24	66	66.3	-0.299999999999997
25	68.4	66	2.40000000000001
26	70.6	68.4	2.19999999999999
27	83.9	70.6	13.3
28	90.1	83.9	6.19999999999999
29	90.6	90.1	0.5
30	87.1	90.6	-3.5
31	90.8	87.1	3.7
32	94.1	90.8	3.3
33	99.8	94.1	5.7
34	96.8	99.8	-3
35	87	96.8	-9.8
36	96.3	87	9.3
37	107.1	96.3	10.8
38	115.2	107.1	8.10000000000001
39	106.1	115.2	-9.1
40	89.5	106.1	-16.6
41	91.3	89.5	1.80000000000000
42	97.6	91.3	6.3
43	100.7	97.6	3.10000000000001
44	104.6	100.7	3.89999999999999
45	94.7	104.6	-9.9
46	101.8	94.7	7.1
47	102.5	101.8	0.700000000000003
48	105.3	102.5	2.80000000000000
49	110.3	105.3	5
50	109.8	110.3	-0.5
51	117.3	109.8	7.5
52	118.8	117.3	1.5
53	131.3	118.8	12.5000000000000
54	125.9	131.3	-5.40000000000001
55	133.1	125.9	7.19999999999999
56	147	133.1	13.9
57	145.8	147	-1.19999999999999
58	164.4	145.8	18.6
59	149.8	164.4	-14.6
60	137.7	149.8	-12.1000000000000
61	151.7	137.7	14
62	156.8	151.7	5.10000000000002
63	180	156.8	23.2
64	180.4	180	0.400000000000006
65	170.4	180.4	-10
66	191.6	170.4	21.2
67	199.5	191.6	7.9
68	218.2	199.5	18.7
69	217.5	218.2	-0.699999999999989
70	205	217.5	-12.5
71	194	205	-11
72	199.3	194	5.30000000000001
73	219.3	199.3	20
74	211.1	219.3	-8.20000000000002
75	215.2	211.1	4.09999999999999
76	240.2	215.2	25
77	242.2	240.2	2
78	240.7	242.2	-1.5
79	255.4	240.7	14.7000000000000
80	253	255.4	-2.40000000000001
81	218.2	253	-34.8
82	203.7	218.2	-14.5
83	205.6	203.7	1.90000000000001
84	215.6	205.6	10
85	188.5	215.6	-27.1
86	202.9	188.5	14.4
87	214	202.9	11.1
88	230.3	214	16.3
89	230	230.3	-0.300000000000011
90	241	230	11
91	259.6	241	18.6000000000000
92	247.8	259.6	-11.8
93	270.3	247.8	22.5
94	289.7	270.3	19.4000000000000
95	322.7	289.7	33
96	315	322.7	-7.69999999999999
97	320.2	315	5.19999999999999
98	329.5	320.2	9.30000000000001
99	360.6	329.5	31.1
100	382.2	360.6	21.6000000000000
101	435.4	382.2	53.2
102	464	435.4	28.6
103	468.8	464	4.80000000000001
104	403	468.8	-65.8
105	351.6	403	-51.4
106	252	351.6	-99.6
107	188	252	-64
108	146.5	188	-41.5
109	152.9	146.5	6.4

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
t	Forecast	95% Lower Bound	95% Upper Bound
110	152.9	114.429793770068	191.370206229933
111	152.9	98.4949126023395	207.305087397660
112	152.9	86.2676482321042	219.532351767896
113	152.9	75.959587540135	229.840412459865
114	152.9	66.878003761435	238.921996238565
115	152.9	58.6676244370268	247.132375562973
116	152.9	51.1174014302309	254.682598569769
117	152.9	44.089825204679	261.710174795321
118	152.9	37.4893813102025	268.310618689798
119	152.9	31.246526257014	274.553473742986
120	152.9	25.3087603277211	280.491239672279
121	152.9	19.6352964642083	286.164703535792