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Description of Statistical Computation

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationSat, 06 Jun 2009 03:49:25 -0600
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2009/Jun/06/t12442818427a9zksuvopiwi16.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 29 Apr 2024 06:22:32 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=41939, Retrieved Mon, 29 Apr 2024 06:22:32 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact165

Tree of Dependent Computations

Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [] [Mean plot-ruwe aa...] [1970-01-01 00:00:00] [5c4baf0c4d5e5f9da3d9e805e9c13bc7]
- RMPD    [Exponential Smoothing] [exonential smooth...] [2009-06-06 09:49:25] [d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e] [Current]
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Dataset

Dataseries X:
Download CSV
Histogram
Boxplots 
88.6
95
96.3
83.388,6
95
96,3
83,3
96,9
103,4
99,3
103,8
113,4
111,5
114,2
90,6
90,8
96,4
90
92,1
97,2
95,1
88,5
91
90,5
75
66,3
66
68,4
70,6
83,9
90,1
90,6
87,1
90,8
94,1
99,8
96,8
87
96,3
107,1
115,2
106,1
89,5
91,3
97,6
100,7
104,6
94,7
101,8
102,5
105,3
110,3
109,8
117,3
118,8
131,3
125,9
133,1
147
145,8
164,4
149,8
137,7
151,7
156,8
180
180,4
170,4
191,6
199,5
218,2
217,5
205
194
199,3
219,3
211,1
215,2
240,2
242,2
240,7
255,4
253
218,2
203,7
205,6
215,6
188,5
202,9
214
230,3
230
241
259,6
247,8
270,3
289,7
322,7
315
320,2
329,5
360,6
382,2
435,4
464
468,8
403
351,6
252
188
146,5
152,9
96.9
103.4
99.3
103.8
113.4
111.5
114.2
90.6
90.8
96.4
90
92.1
97.2
95.1
88.5
91
90.5
75
66.3
66
68.4
70.6
83.9
90.1
90.6
87.1
90.8
94.1
99.8
96.8
87
96.3
107.1
115.2
106.1
89.5
91.3
97.6
100.7
104.6
94.7
101.8
102.5
105.3
110.3
109.8
117.3
118.8
131.3
125.9
133.1
147
145.8
164.4
149.8
137.7
151.7
156.8
180
180.4
170.4
191.6
199.5
218.2
217.5
205
194
199.3
219.3
211.1
215.2
240.2
242.2
240.7
255.4
253
218.2
203.7
205.6
215.6
188.5
202.9
214
230.3
230
241
259.6
247.8
270.3
289.7
322.7
315
320.2
329.5
360.6
382.2
435.4
464
468.8
403
351.6
252
188
146.5
152.9

Tables (Output of Computation)





Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time0 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 0 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=41939&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]0 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=41939&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=41939&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  
QR Code


The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time0 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Figures (Output of Computation)

Input Parameters & R Code

Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=0, beta=0)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=0)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')