| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.941500704926866 |
| beta | 0.113828330159863 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 562 | 543.086271367522 | 18.9137286324783 |
| 14 | 561 | 562.640959569084 | -1.64095956908352 |
| 15 | 555 | 557.250866933101 | -2.25086693310107 |
| 16 | 544 | 545.420321905766 | -1.42032190576595 |
| 17 | 537 | 537.719520485293 | -0.71952048529306 |
| 18 | 543 | 543.851413479316 | -0.85141347931608 |
| 19 | 594 | 608.517883609563 | -14.5178836095628 |
| 20 | 611 | 605.011488831915 | 5.98851116808487 |
| 21 | 613 | 608.370331326282 | 4.6296686737179 |
| 22 | 611 | 600.32098171405 | 10.6790182859496 |
| 23 | 594 | 594.486563575286 | -0.486563575286027 |
| 24 | 595 | 604.045930824328 | -9.04593082432825 |
| 25 | 591 | 605.141973441108 | -14.1419734411083 |
| 26 | 589 | 589.8239595535 | -0.823959553499662 |
| 27 | 584 | 582.706650787304 | 1.29334921269560 |
| 28 | 573 | 572.180662694284 | 0.819337305715635 |
| 29 | 567 | 564.788610078104 | 2.21138992189606 |
| 30 | 569 | 572.145457393583 | -3.14545739358323 |
| 31 | 621 | 632.079969015195 | -11.0799690151947 |
| 32 | 629 | 631.60578663998 | -2.60578663998001 |
| 33 | 628 | 624.46835791529 | 3.53164208470992 |
| 34 | 612 | 613.296180828051 | -1.29618082805086 |
| 35 | 595 | 591.807632718812 | 3.19236728118801 |
| 36 | 597 | 600.997975125051 | -3.99797512505097 |
| 37 | 593 | 603.757519454681 | -10.7575194546810 |
| 38 | 590 | 589.976738652291 | 0.0232613477088535 |
| 39 | 580 | 581.443419079719 | -1.44341907971852 |
| 40 | 574 | 565.682203434264 | 8.31779656573565 |
| 41 | 573 | 563.604166458405 | 9.3958335415955 |
| 42 | 573 | 576.354530472415 | -3.35453047241469 |
| 43 | 620 | 634.548359816644 | -14.5483598166444 |
| 44 | 626 | 629.853036717227 | -3.85303671722693 |
| 45 | 620 | 620.315307275957 | -0.315307275957252 |
| 46 | 588 | 603.241475814077 | -15.2414758140771 |
| 47 | 566 | 565.394165305976 | 0.605834694024111 |
| 48 | 557 | 567.959623973831 | -10.9596239738306 |
| 49 | 561 | 559.254234804727 | 1.74576519527318 |
| 50 | 549 | 554.700835947309 | -5.70083594730852 |
| 51 | 532 | 536.903889144647 | -4.90388914464666 |
| 52 | 526 | 514.296220223063 | 11.7037797769375 |
| 53 | 511 | 511.672584694536 | -0.672584694536113 |
| 54 | 499 | 509.322043123141 | -10.3220431231413 |
| 55 | 555 | 554.678823337326 | 0.321176662673793 |
| 56 | 565 | 560.580108337159 | 4.41989166284134 |
| 57 | 542 | 555.89616684606 | -13.8961668460602 |
| 58 | 527 | 520.565188265278 | 6.43481173472162 |
| 59 | 510 | 501.778622217126 | 8.22137778287362 |
| 60 | 514 | 509.379150439082 | 4.62084956091815 |
| 61 | 517 | 516.297396770418 | 0.702603229581769 |
| 62 | 508 | 510.425796546431 | -2.42579654643055 |
| 63 | 493 | 496.209463932967 | -3.20946393296674 |
| 64 | 490 | 476.800766549019 | 13.1992334509815 |
| 65 | 469 | 475.653492145676 | -6.6534921456763 |
| 66 | 478 | 467.258863930558 | 10.7411360694421 |
| 67 | 528 | 535.478020905203 | -7.47802090520258 |
| 68 | 534 | 535.849049945234 | -1.8490499452339 |
| 69 | 518 | 525.092502066135 | -7.09250206613456 |
| 70 | 506 | 498.986754686744 | 7.01324531325594 |
| 71 | 502 | 482.541515625095 | 19.4584843749053 |
| 72 | 516 | 503.407652339791 | 12.5923476602094 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 521.352649272085 | 505.681790835391 | 537.023507708779 |
| 74 | 518.312034996166 | 495.604376579365 | 541.019693412966 |
| 75 | 510.269215406278 | 481.222382864873 | 539.316047947682 |
| 76 | 499.121552156867 | 463.972455250068 | 534.270649063665 |
| 77 | 487.25068942133 | 446.062094297472 | 528.439284545188 |
| 78 | 489.715823073684 | 442.466658373058 | 536.96498777431 |
| 79 | 549.183184182753 | 495.806694763435 | 602.559673602072 |
| 80 | 560.152280575576 | 500.554968880954 | 619.749592270199 |
| 81 | 554.256252507838 | 488.328303958905 | 620.18420105677 |
| 82 | 539.839752906322 | 467.461198360502 | 612.218307452143 |
| 83 | 520.9544462907 | 441.998997742049 | 599.909894839352 |
| 84 | 524.448257103744 | 438.78578859228 | 610.110725615209 |
