Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999398485780202
beta0.00154973746659664
gamma0.00817138256199028


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.740.7348424145299150.00515758547008516
140.750.75002091137562-2.0911375620436e-05
150.750.750023993927462-2.39939274615519e-05
160.750.750023958619739-2.39586197388064e-05
170.750.750023921491264-2.39214912640673e-05
180.750.750023884419199-2.38844191986498e-05
190.750.750440514071252-0.000440514071251785
200.750.749606749076060.000393250923939936
210.750.750023523290333-2.35232903325056e-05
220.750.750023737552953-2.37375529525963e-05
230.750.750023700916987-2.37009169874458e-05
240.750.750023664186845-2.36641868449627e-05
250.750.750023652864112-2.36528641124334e-05
260.760.76002356541968-2.35654196800716e-05
270.760.760023554307045-2.35543070453703e-05
280.760.760023517834651-2.35178346509324e-05
290.760.760023481388175-2.3481388174873e-05
300.760.760023444998153-2.34449981534324e-05
310.760.760440073283193-0.000440073283192954
320.760.7596063151158170.000393684884183121
330.760.760023083859663-2.30838596626537e-05
340.760.760023300847061-2.33008470613694e-05
350.760.76002326489034-2.32648903406574e-05
360.760.760023228835928-2.32288359277577e-05
370.760.76002321818775-2.32181877504178e-05
380.780.7700231314173270.009976868582673
390.780.780032593887485-3.25938874846665e-05
400.780.780038564255358-3.85642553576426e-05
410.780.780038508118105-3.85081181053515e-05
420.780.780038448442761-3.84484427609078e-05
430.780.780455051428388-0.000455051428388198
440.780.7796212761934670.00037872380653281
450.780.780038015608657-3.8015608656905e-05
460.780.780038211499479-3.82114994789129e-05
470.780.780038152437614-3.81524376142917e-05
480.780.780038093311392-3.80933113920401e-05
490.780.780038059627034-3.80596270337374e-05
500.780.790037999008657-0.0100379990086565
510.780.780028394295395-2.83942953950289e-05
520.780.780022378583233-2.23785832327295e-05
530.780.780022340334259-2.23403342589634e-05
540.780.780022305710441-2.23057104408175e-05
550.780.780438931665105-0.000438931665104558
560.780.7796051875562370.000394812443763382
570.780.780021945761782-2.19457617823826e-05
580.780.780022168600366-2.21686003664123e-05
590.780.780022134403291-2.21344032913517e-05
600.780.780022100100842-2.21001008420263e-05
610.780.78002209120166-2.20912016595243e-05
620.80.7900220061782770.00997799382172326
630.80.800031470392236-3.14703922359438e-05
640.80.800037442500757-3.74425007569901e-05
650.80.800037388102172-3.73881021722422e-05
660.80.80003733016256-3.733016255969e-05
670.80.800453930785277-0.000453930785276779
680.80.7996201695762770.000379830423722916
690.80.800036898420833-3.68984208327650e-05
700.80.800037100130354-3.71001303544061e-05
710.80.800037042795801-3.70427958008568e-05
720.80.800036985389237-3.69853892373539e-05
730.80.80003695342162-3.69534216195788e-05
740.810.810036894518078-3.6894518078201e-05
750.810.81003676442704-3.67644270402590e-05
760.810.810036756592016-3.67565920158519e-05
770.810.81003669968837-3.66996883707227e-05
780.810.810036642813488-3.66428134876973e-05
790.810.810453242453454-0.000453242453453795
800.810.8096194884557370.000380511544263107
810.810.810036212213141-3.62122131412068e-05
820.810.81003641702972-3.64170297201261e-05
830.810.810036360756299-3.63607562987589e-05
840.810.81003630440672-3.63044067202001e-05


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
850.8100362734943220.8058348901585020.814237656830142
860.8200725235005020.8141280553025810.826016991698424
870.820108700593850.8128233348263250.827394066361375
880.8201449268707630.8117264196841280.828563434057397
890.8201811531777880.8107619752149380.829600331140637
900.8202173794848290.8098914127124060.830543346257252
910.8206702601706790.8095084781980350.831832042143323
920.820289844398250.80834830516580.8322313836307
930.8203260584134720.8076504668384630.83300164998848
940.8203622847129480.8069908132494530.833733756176443
950.8203985110199740.8063636499272040.834433372112744
960.8204347373270030.805764565656410.835104908997596