| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.185475284794843 |
| beta | 0.000362009975189055 |
| gamma | 0.521962133305563 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 37702 | 39722.9017575777 | -2020.90175757770 |
| 14 | 30364 | 31535.1647279220 | -1171.16472792205 |
| 15 | 32609 | 33590.6706490098 | -981.670649009757 |
| 16 | 30212 | 30845.0542818759 | -633.05428187587 |
| 17 | 29965 | 30291.5608338424 | -326.560833842421 |
| 18 | 28352 | 28469.5184451801 | -117.518445180067 |
| 19 | 25814 | 25831.2286456269 | -17.2286456268739 |
| 20 | 22414 | 22218.8079229484 | 195.192077051648 |
| 21 | 20506 | 20072.5399434037 | 433.460056596261 |
| 22 | 28806 | 27930.4449264666 | 875.555073533356 |
| 23 | 22228 | 21566.2431248708 | 661.756875129231 |
| 24 | 13971 | 13746.8693916781 | 224.130608321868 |
| 25 | 36845 | 37213.4050139222 | -368.405013922165 |
| 26 | 35338 | 29947.1989476151 | 5390.80105238488 |
| 27 | 35022 | 33308.6175017057 | 1713.38249829426 |
| 28 | 34777 | 31165.8203156701 | 3611.17968432987 |
| 29 | 26887 | 31520.5411419808 | -4633.54114198077 |
| 30 | 23970 | 28958.9890191581 | -4988.98901915809 |
| 31 | 22780 | 25492.0388690565 | -2712.03886905648 |
| 32 | 17351 | 21581.2380713670 | -4230.23807136697 |
| 33 | 21382 | 18854.0296661702 | 2527.9703338298 |
| 34 | 24561 | 26884.760927283 | -2323.76092728299 |
| 35 | 17409 | 20297.5845264531 | -2888.58452645312 |
| 36 | 11514 | 12446.0767867257 | -932.07678672567 |
| 37 | 31514 | 32744.2952985218 | -1230.29529852177 |
| 38 | 27071 | 28263.5475890451 | -1192.54758904512 |
| 39 | 29462 | 28693.3350317845 | 768.664968215468 |
| 40 | 26105 | 27404.5074091275 | -1299.50740912755 |
| 41 | 22397 | 23992.1600755122 | -1595.16007551224 |
| 42 | 23843 | 22093.2602175134 | 1749.73978248663 |
| 43 | 21705 | 21025.8101504192 | 679.189849580791 |
| 44 | 18089 | 17487.4969484943 | 601.503051505708 |
| 45 | 20764 | 18432.1220109149 | 2331.87798908514 |
| 46 | 25316 | 23929.205603231 | 1386.794396769 |
| 47 | 17704 | 18076.7317399466 | -372.731739946608 |
| 48 | 15548 | 11701.2390141251 | 3846.7609858749 |
| 49 | 28029 | 33682.2332964645 | -5653.23329646454 |
| 50 | 29383 | 28310.749161143 | 1072.25083885702 |
| 51 | 36438 | 30049.5703336388 | 6388.42966636116 |
| 52 | 32034 | 28761.9441145584 | 3272.05588544160 |
| 53 | 22679 | 25730.3147471643 | -3051.31474716425 |
| 54 | 24319 | 24963.3452032993 | -644.345203299283 |
| 55 | 18004 | 22866.9428489642 | -4862.9428489642 |
| 56 | 17537 | 18177.4902171702 | -640.490217170161 |
| 57 | 20366 | 19623.4814012916 | 742.518598708433 |
| 58 | 22782 | 24395.3863212825 | -1613.38632128246 |
| 59 | 19169 | 17424.4224011483 | 1744.57759885167 |
| 60 | 13807 | 13167.5829631344 | 639.417036865627 |
| 61 | 29743 | 29499.3786647026 | 243.621335297357 |
| 62 | 25591 | 28109.0855152350 | -2518.08551523496 |
| 63 | 29096 | 31165.2654727371 | -2069.26547273713 |
| 64 | 26482 | 27303.0021100247 | -821.002110024696 |
| 65 | 22405 | 21530.9386521874 | 874.061347812596 |
| 66 | 27044 | 22431.6796050798 | 4612.32039492025 |
| 67 | 17970 | 19629.5503743844 | -1659.55037438441 |
| 68 | 18730 | 17383.6798500639 | 1346.32014993611 |
| 69 | 19684 | 19765.1142051539 | -81.1142051538809 |
| 70 | 19785 | 23314.0381640939 | -3529.03816409394 |
| 71 | 18479 | 17568.5563000246 | 910.443699975363 |
| 72 | 10698 | 12888.4569955773 | -2190.45699557732 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 27245.5103222072 | 24298.6735269787 | 30192.3471174356 |
| 74 | 24823.0195252185 | 21764.5473174073 | 27881.4917330298 |
| 75 | 28275.3351838739 | 25018.2405341873 | 31532.4298335605 |
| 76 | 25480.8261514185 | 22176.9497044052 | 28784.7025984318 |
| 77 | 20816.6481598158 | 17541.8136275926 | 24091.4826920390 |
| 78 | 22940.02389854 | 19452.4402507169 | 26427.6075463630 |
| 79 | 17177.6691322863 | 13845.4495559018 | 20509.8887086708 |
| 80 | 16556.0822544388 | 13135.4716237339 | 19976.6928851438 |
| 81 | 17936.3113768610 | 14302.8783731128 | 21569.7443806092 |
| 82 | 19798.5316238417 | 15897.4397206946 | 23699.6235269888 |
| 83 | 16793.3755880923 | 13050.9727845655 | 20535.778391619 |
| 84 | 11047.7166824143 | 9412.9780783711 | 12682.4552864575 |
