Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.313819645669102
gamma0


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
30.600390.570930.0294599999999999
40.613420.5912351267614120.0221848732385882
50.63480.6112271758203590.0235728241796407
60.6340.640004791151834-0.00600479115183428
70.629150.637320369720249-0.00817036972024876
80.621680.629906347189655-0.00822634718965465
90.613280.619854757829446-0.00657475782944617
100.60890.609391469657049-0.000491469657049382
110.608570.6048572368234170.00371276317658309
120.626720.6056923748479460.0210276251520545
130.622910.630441256722426-0.00753125672242605
140.623930.624267800406351-0.000337800406351119
150.618380.625181792002523-0.00680179200252318
160.620120.6174972560463770.00262274395362350
170.616590.620060324624583-0.00347032462458341
180.61160.61544126858054-0.00384126858053979
190.615730.6092458030356750.006484196964325
200.614070.615410671429468-0.00134067142946814
210.628230.6133299423965140.0149000576034862
220.644050.6321658731940890.0118841268059111
230.63870.651715345657407-0.0130153456574066
240.636330.642280874494939-0.00595087449493859
250.630590.638043373169516-0.00745337316951555
260.629940.629964358242419-2.43582424185318e-05
270.637090.6293067141474140.00778328585258625
280.642170.6388992621558140.0032707378441863
290.657110.6450056839471530.0121043160528472
300.669770.6637442561219240.00602574387807597
310.682550.6782952529306350.00425474706936535
320.689020.692410476148354-0.00339047614835453
330.713220.6978164781248280.0154035218751717
340.702240.726850405901751-0.024610405901751
350.700450.70814717704189-0.00769717704189066
360.699190.703941651669952-0.00475165166995228
370.696930.701190490026545-0.00426049002654472
380.697630.6975934645560383.65354439620935e-05
390.692780.698304930096116-0.00552493009611643
400.701960.6917210984910060.0102389015089935
410.692150.7041142669346-0.0119642669345997
420.67690.690549644924493-0.0136496449244932
430.671240.671016118190780.000223881809220394
440.665320.665426376700821-0.000106376700820809
450.671570.6594729936022620.0120970063977381
460.664280.669519271863657-0.00523927186365691
470.665760.660585085423840.00517491457616004
480.669420.6636890752824980.00573092471750158
490.68130.6691475520467010.0121524479532990
500.691440.6848412289574180.00659877104258255
510.698620.6970520529478520.00156794705214769
520.6950.704724105536185-0.0097241055361853
530.698670.698052490182370.000617509817629425
540.689680.701916276894536-0.0122362768945363
550.692330.6890862928151840.00324370718481615
560.682930.692754231854577-0.00982423185457715
570.683990.6802711948950030.00371880510499722
580.668950.682498228995365-0.0135482289953653
590.687560.6632065285725960.0243534714274040
600.685270.689459126346756-0.00418912634675639
610.67760.685854496200954-0.00825449620095431
620.681370.6755940731279940.00577592687200623
630.679330.681176672452378-0.00184667245237757
640.679220.6785571503577050.000662849642294572
650.685980.6786551655975820.00732483440241771
660.682970.687713842534334-0.00474384253433391
670.689350.6832151315510990.00613486844890088
680.694630.691520373793960.00310962620604016
690.68330.697776235588103-0.0144762355881026
700.686660.6819033084652220.0047566915347782
710.687820.6867560517172230.00106394828277678
720.676690.688249939590334-0.0115599395903344
730.675110.673492203444140.00161779655586047
740.672540.6724198997860640.000120100213935714
750.673970.6698875895926460.00408241040735358
760.672860.6725987301801580.000261269819842092
770.663410.671570721782445-0.00816072178244476
780.6680.6595597269642740.00844027303572614
790.680210.6667984504576960.0134115495423041
800.679340.683217258182935-0.00387725818293527
810.681360.6811304983937990.000229501606200944
820.675620.683222520506537-0.00760252050653742
830.67440.675096700214984-0.000696700214983803
840.677660.673658062000380.00400193799962001
850.688870.678173948765410.0106960512345895
860.696140.6927405797739080.00339942022609208
870.708960.701077384624740.00788261537525958
880.720640.716371104188750.00426889581124967


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
890.7293907675596350.7106038543397480.748177680779522
900.738141535119270.7071225147505820.769160555487957
910.7468923026789050.7033352921793360.790449313178473
920.755643070238540.6988313871076370.812454753369442
930.7643938377981750.6935223994826750.835265276113674
940.773144605357810.6873989811858470.858890229529773
950.7818953729174440.6804767363553380.883314009479551
960.790646140477080.672779424581140.908512856373019
970.7993969080367140.6643328517473860.934460964326043
980.808147675596350.6551624860760230.961132865116676
990.8168984431559840.6452925339786510.988504352333317
1000.825649210715620.6347456291040941.01655279232714