| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.913036634752078 |
| beta | 0.0354041768981070 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 5.44 | 5.44 | 0 |
| 4 | 5.44 | 5.44 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.49 | 5.44 | 0.0499999999999998 |
| 6 | 5.49 | 5.48726809726416 | 0.00273190273583523 |
| 7 | 5.49 | 5.4914669996754 | -0.00146699967539909 |
| 8 | 5.49 | 5.49178472913937 | -0.00178472913937089 |
| 9 | 5.49 | 5.49175466803915 | -0.00175466803915292 |
| 10 | 5.49 | 5.49169533363547 | -0.00169533363546925 |
| 11 | 5.6 | 5.49163537152983 | 0.10836462847017 |
| 12 | 5.6 | 5.59556710711196 | 0.00443289288803772 |
| 13 | 5.6 | 5.6047486552334 | -0.00474865523339929 |
| 14 | 5.6 | 5.6053936118012 | -0.00539361180119968 |
| 15 | 5.6 | 5.60527534921842 | -0.0052753492184161 |
| 16 | 5.6 | 5.60509453740459 | -0.0050945374045881 |
| 17 | 5.6 | 5.60491413089717 | -0.00491413089716541 |
| 18 | 5.67 | 5.60473959133292 | 0.0652604086670756 |
| 19 | 5.67 | 5.67074654019325 | -0.000746540193252265 |
| 20 | 5.67 | 5.67646259445232 | -0.00646259445232289 |
| 21 | 5.67 | 5.67675077639412 | -0.00675077639412258 |
| 22 | 5.67 | 5.67655761672232 | -0.00655761672231936 |
| 23 | 5.67 | 5.67632884191033 | -0.00632884191033423 |
| 24 | 5.67 | 5.67610436510275 | -0.00610436510274592 |
| 25 | 5.67 | 5.6758875183466 | -0.00588751834659629 |
| 26 | 5.67 | 5.67567834476413 | -0.00567834476412621 |
| 27 | 5.82 | 5.67547660006767 | 0.144523399932330 |
| 28 | 5.82 | 5.8170863146646 | 0.00291368533540304 |
| 29 | 5.95 | 5.829495357781 | 0.120504642218999 |
| 30 | 5.95 | 5.95316460242786 | -0.00316460242786043 |
| 31 | 5.95 | 5.96381699936383 | -0.0138169993638328 |
| 32 | 5.95 | 5.9642967288543 | -0.0142967288542959 |
| 33 | 5.95 | 5.9638763015454 | -0.0138763015453991 |
| 34 | 5.95 | 5.9633911840153 | -0.0133911840152958 |
| 35 | 6.02 | 5.96291612238066 | 0.0570838776193376 |
| 36 | 6.02 | 6.02863262792523 | -0.00863262792523045 |
| 37 | 6.05 | 6.03406850402134 | 0.0159314959786645 |
| 38 | 6.05 | 6.06244731569702 | -0.0124473156970248 |
| 39 | 6.05 | 6.06451286931689 | -0.014512869316893 |
| 40 | 6.12 | 6.06422336380341 | 0.0557766361965903 |
| 41 | 6.12 | 6.12991374894779 | -0.00991374894778563 |
| 42 | 6.12 | 6.13530594089111 | -0.0153059408911078 |
| 43 | 6.12 | 6.13528009475628 | -0.0152800947562843 |
| 44 | 6.12 | 6.13478391328148 | -0.0147839132814775 |
| 45 | 6.12 | 6.13426286908296 | -0.0142628690829643 |
| 46 | 6.12 | 6.13375650565385 | -0.0137565056538458 |
| 47 | 6.12 | 6.13326778726893 | -0.0132677872689264 |
| 48 | 6.17 | 6.13279640132999 | 0.0372035986700148 |
| 49 | 6.17 | 6.1796098576399 | -0.0096098576398953 |
| 50 | 6.17 | 6.18337027170712 | -0.0133702717071200 |
| 51 | 6.17 | 6.18326509178431 | -0.0132650917843131 |
| 52 | 6.17 | 6.18282714677312 | -0.0128271467731160 |
| 53 | 6.28 | 6.18237442009848 | 0.0976255799015213 |
| 54 | 6.27 | 6.28592485647215 | -0.0159248564721501 |
| 55 | 6.28 | 6.28528480861395 | -0.00528480861394609 |
| 56 | 6.28 | 6.29418868116626 | -0.0141886811662548 |
| 57 | 6.27 | 6.29450433836242 | -0.0245043383624157 |
| 58 | 6.27 | 6.28460931228001 | -0.0146093122800091 |
| 59 | 6.28 | 6.28327655695657 | -0.00327655695656759 |
| 60 | 6.59 | 6.29218510669502 | 0.297814893304983 |
| 61 | 6.59 | 6.5856281398398 | 0.00437186016020075 |
| 62 | 6.59 | 6.6112882552479 | -0.0212882552479048 |
| 63 | 6.59 | 6.61283159577489 | -0.0228315957748872 |
| 64 | 6.59 | 6.61222777143749 | -0.0222277714374908 |
| 65 | 6.63 | 6.61145674122696 | 0.0185432587730414 |
| 66 | 6.63 | 6.64851057183333 | -0.0185105718333256 |
| 67 | 6.63 | 6.65113453765556 | -0.0211345376555592 |
| 68 | 6.63 | 6.6506795460611 | -0.020679546061106 |
| 69 | 6.63 | 6.64997150571282 | -0.0199715057128227 |
| 70 | 6.63 | 6.64926434701746 | -0.0192643470174625 |
| 71 | 6.63 | 6.64858012411803 | -0.0185801241180288 |
| 72 | 6.63 | 6.64792001351029 | -0.0179200135102908 |
| 73 | 6.63 | 6.64728333806896 | -0.0172833380689621 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 74 | 6.64666928135992 | 6.55100417054986 | 6.74233439216997 |
| 75 | 6.66183554547864 | 6.53018877054082 | 6.79348232041646 |
| 76 | 6.67700180959736 | 6.5155123704913 | 6.83849124870343 |
| 77 | 6.69216807371609 | 6.50397977405268 | 6.8803563733795 |
| 78 | 6.70733433783481 | 6.49436018249222 | 6.9203084931774 |
| 79 | 6.72250060195354 | 6.48601079453266 | 6.95899040937441 |
| 80 | 6.73766686607226 | 6.47854859853686 | 6.99678513360766 |
| 81 | 6.75283313019098 | 6.47172521595918 | 7.03394104442279 |
| 82 | 6.76799939430971 | 6.4653697467804 | 7.07062904183901 |
| 83 | 6.78316565842843 | 6.45935933535779 | 7.10697198149907 |
| 84 | 6.79833192254715 | 6.45360263852224 | 7.14306120657207 |
| 85 | 6.81349818666588 | 6.44802990800789 | 7.17896646532387 |
