Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[52])
40	108.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	108.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	108.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	109.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	110.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	110.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	111.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	112.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	112.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	112.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	112.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	112.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	111.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	111.25	111.2943	110.5808	112.0078	0.4515	0.2955	1	0.2955
54	111.36	111.1063	109.9283	112.2843	0.3365	0.4055	0.9999	0.2616
55	111.74	110.8769	109.268	112.4859	0.1465	0.2781	0.9371	0.2276
56	111.1	110.739	108.6521	112.8259	0.3673	0.1736	0.6178	0.2403
57	111.33	110.6263	108.0732	113.1793	0.2945	0.358	0.4866	0.2536
58	111.25	110.5238	107.5221	113.5254	0.3177	0.2993	0.2291	0.264
59	111.04	110.4476	107.0074	113.8878	0.3679	0.3238	0.1482	0.2763
60	110.97	110.3864	106.5234	114.2494	0.3836	0.3701	0.1038	0.2878
61	111.31	110.3354	106.0663	114.6045	0.3273	0.3854	0.1985	0.298
62	111.02	110.2952	105.6353	114.9551	0.3802	0.3348	0.1926	0.3076
63	111.07	110.2629	105.2276	115.2983	0.3767	0.3841	0.2301	0.3165
64	111.36	110.2367	104.8406	115.6328	0.3416	0.3811	0.3245	0.3245

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
53	0.0033	-4e-04	0	0.002	0	0
54	0.0054	0.0023	0.0013	0.0644	0.0332	0.1821
55	0.0074	0.0078	0.0035	0.7449	0.2704	0.52
56	0.0096	0.0033	0.0034	0.1303	0.2354	0.4852
57	0.0118	0.0064	0.004	0.4952	0.2874	0.5361
58	0.0139	0.0066	0.0044	0.5274	0.3274	0.5722
59	0.0159	0.0054	0.0046	0.351	0.3307	0.5751
60	0.0179	0.0053	0.0047	0.3406	0.332	0.5762
61	0.0197	0.0088	0.0051	0.9498	0.4006	0.6329
62	0.0216	0.0066	0.0053	0.5253	0.4131	0.6427
63	0.0233	0.0073	0.0055	0.6514	0.4347	0.6594
64	0.025	0.0102	0.0059	1.2618	0.5037	0.7097