ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||
Iteration | ar1 | ma1 |
Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.6422 | 0.889 |
(p-val) | (0.0017 ) | (0 ) |
Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.2878 |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0368 ) |
Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
Value |
71.0944207532452 |
1967.12703359887 |
2967.91120737141 |
526.014839491454 |
564.569437097279 |
-2187.14368772491 |
1848.41405419394 |
1423.00799850050 |
3546.23653397198 |
-253.034437507906 |
1325.98385564574 |
1705.56257351281 |
4787.79782426407 |
5169.05659289238 |
5000.21388594085 |
3082.13501894065 |
-1027.57632417027 |
-3229.31396463350 |
-8067.44601920937 |
6509.19573834398 |
3423.53110398931 |
4983.91415288771 |
4763.47829408092 |
2371.50791440461 |
3041.79782005734 |
5733.95463240789 |
1207.53299587647 |
-5410.96792003857 |
10511.0201887507 |
1068.89271159597 |
-1269.52674732514 |
-3254.52904878658 |
-13078.8930772751 |
6075.1154486504 |
2538.28244641074 |
-11779.5204292545 |
2516.78601126301 |
-12443.3561232021 |
-342.892587642338 |
-4435.3393133316 |
9732.68801413364 |
-6362.75878023802 |
-6774.4710824508 |
-17882.3391769223 |
5603.91174293763 |
-7579.16671982733 |
-19897.8200153938 |
-3692.32989128028 |
-4620.69068980011 |
2509.94705748588 |
-4133.94283790034 |
-1951.07328951116 |
4643.79050634576 |
4794.40316775839 |
-1427.27163928814 |
2063.08628300578 |
5695.9256542103 |
3963.34559023504 |
1720.8148283218 |
-1576.11845336432 |