Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	92.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	90.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	92.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	94.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	102.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	109.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	124.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	132.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	135.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	116.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	101.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	75.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	55.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	43.8	55.48	47.5296	65.794	0.0132	0.5	0	0.5
50	45.29	55.48	44.7578	70.9946	0.099	0.93	0	0.5
51	44.01	55.48	42.802	75.4468	0.1301	0.8414	1e-04	0.5
52	47.48	55.48	41.2572	79.558	0.2575	0.8248	1e-04	0.5
53	51.07	55.48	39.9688	83.4857	0.3788	0.7122	1e-04	0.5
54	57.84	55.48	38.8584	87.3107	0.4422	0.607	0	0.5
55	69.04	55.48	37.8803	91.082	0.2277	0.4483	0	0.5
56	65.61	55.48	37.0048	94.8321	0.3069	0.2497	0	0.5
57	72.87	55.48	36.2116	98.5845	0.2145	0.3225	0.0029	0.5
58	68.41	55.48	35.4862	102.3572	0.2944	0.2336	0.0274	0.5
59	73.25	55.48	34.8175	106.1645	0.246	0.3085	0.2168	0.5
60	77.43	55.48	34.1972	110.0187	0.2151	0.2615	0.5	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0948	-0.2105	0	136.4224	0	0
50	0.1427	-0.1837	0.1971	103.8361	120.1292	10.9603
51	0.1836	-0.2067	0.2003	131.5609	123.9398	11.1328
52	0.2214	-0.1442	0.1863	64	108.9548	10.4381
53	0.2575	-0.0795	0.1649	19.4481	91.0535	9.5422
54	0.2927	0.0425	0.1445	5.5696	76.8062	8.7639
55	0.3274	0.2444	0.1588	183.8736	92.1015	9.597
56	0.3619	0.1826	0.1618	102.6169	93.416	9.6652
57	0.3964	0.3134	0.1786	302.4121	116.6377	10.7999
58	0.4311	0.2331	0.1841	167.1849	121.6925	11.0314
59	0.4661	0.3203	0.1965	315.7729	139.3361	11.8041
60	0.5015	0.3956	0.213	481.8025	167.875	12.9567