Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[99])
87	92.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	90.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	92.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	94.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	102.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	109.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	124.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	132.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	135.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	116.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	101.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	75.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	55.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	43.8	41.9202	32.66	51.1803	0.3454	0.0021	0	0.0021
101	45.29	35.5865	18.5392	52.6339	0.1323	0.1725	0	0.0111
102	44.01	32.2591	7.1354	57.3828	0.1796	0.1547	0	0.035
103	47.48	31.1459	-0.8585	63.1504	0.1586	0.2154	0	0.0681
104	51.07	30.5855	-7.6251	68.7961	0.1467	0.1931	0	0.1008
105	57.84	30.5126	-13.1023	74.1276	0.1097	0.1778	0	0.1309
106	69.04	30.4463	-18.068	78.9606	0.0595	0.1342	0	0.1559
107	65.61	30.4786	-22.4691	83.4262	0.0967	0.0767	0	0.1774
108	72.87	30.4713	-26.5839	87.5265	0.0726	0.1137	0.0016	0.1951
109	68.41	30.4892	-30.3865	91.3649	0.1111	0.0862	0.0112	0.2105
110	73.25	30.4861	-33.989	94.9613	0.0968	0.1245	0.0845	0.2237
111	77.43	30.4926	-37.3872	98.3723	0.0877	0.1085	0.2353	0.2353

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
100	0.1127	0.0448	0	3.5338	0	0
101	0.2444	0.2727	0.1588	94.157	48.8454	6.989
102	0.3974	0.3643	0.2273	138.0836	78.5915	8.8652
103	0.5243	0.5244	0.3016	266.8017	125.644	11.2091
104	0.6374	0.6697	0.3752	419.6139	184.438	13.5808
105	0.7293	0.8956	0.4619	746.7853	278.1626	16.6782
106	0.813	1.2676	0.577	1489.4754	451.2073	21.2416
107	0.8863	1.1527	0.649	1234.2178	549.0836	23.4325
108	0.9553	1.3914	0.7315	1797.6511	687.8133	26.2262
109	1.0187	1.2437	0.7827	1437.9878	762.8307	27.6194
110	1.079	1.4027	0.8391	1828.7475	859.7323	29.3212
111	1.1358	1.5393	0.8974	2203.1219	971.6814	31.1718