Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
120	337	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	360	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
122	342	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
123	406	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
124	396	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
125	420	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
126	472	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
127	548	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
128	559	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
129	463	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
130	407	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	435.9938	379.6114	492.3763	0.2545	0.8594	0.9959	0.8594
134	391	447.6913	354.2265	541.1562	0.1173	0.7401	0.9867	0.8147
135	419	438.8378	320.9768	556.6988	0.3707	0.7868	0.7075	0.7132
136	461	428.5103	297.2417	559.7789	0.3138	0.5565	0.6863	0.6372
137	472	424.3841	283.7852	564.9829	0.2534	0.3049	0.5244	0.6065
138	535	426.2549	276.8249	575.6849	0.0769	0.2742	0.2742	0.6098
139	622	429.3833	270.3615	588.4052	0.0088	0.0965	0.0719	0.6181
140	606	430.8639	261.9555	599.7724	0.0211	0.0133	0.0685	0.618
141	508	430.5205	252.2094	608.8316	0.1972	0.0269	0.3605	0.6105
142	461	429.6096	242.6759	616.5433	0.371	0.2056	0.5937	0.6018
143	390	429.0965	234.1567	624.0363	0.3471	0.3742	0.75	0.5957
144	432	429.1332	226.5435	631.7228	0.4889	0.6475	0.5923	0.5923

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.066	-0.0436	0	360.7645	0	0
134	0.1065	-0.1266	0.0851	3213.9077	1787.3361	42.2769
135	0.137	-0.0452	0.0718	393.5377	1322.7366	36.3694
136	0.1563	0.0758	0.0728	1055.5791	1255.9472	35.4393
137	0.169	0.1122	0.0807	2267.2768	1458.2131	38.1866
138	0.1789	0.2551	0.1098	11825.4907	3186.0927	56.4455
139	0.189	0.4486	0.1582	37101.1775	8031.1048	89.6164
140	0.2	0.4065	0.1892	30672.6483	10861.2978	104.2176
141	0.2113	0.18	0.1882	6003.0773	10321.4955	101.5948
142	0.222	0.0731	0.1767	985.3583	9387.8818	96.8911
143	0.2318	-0.0911	0.1689	1528.5396	8673.3961	93.1311
144	0.2409	0.0067	0.1554	8.2187	7951.298	89.1701