| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6955 | -0.1551 | 0.1324 | -0.5013 | -0.1461 | -0.093 | 0.1707 |
| (p-val) | (0.036 ) | (0.2384 ) | (0.1741 ) | (0.1187 ) | (0.8175 ) | (0.5114 ) | (0.7872 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6953 | -0.1548 | 0.1337 | -0.5015 | 0 | -0.0925 | 0.0256 |
| (p-val) | (0.0339 ) | (0.2381 ) | (0.1691 ) | (0.1138 ) | (NA ) | (0.5074 ) | (0.8135 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6923 | -0.1562 | 0.1348 | -0.5016 | 0 | -0.0923 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0365 ) | (0.2326 ) | (0.1646 ) | (0.1181 ) | (NA ) | (0.5083 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.6762 | -0.1413 | 0.1394 | -0.4936 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0333 ) | (0.263 ) | (0.1514 ) | (0.1092 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.3967 | 0 | 0.0977 | -0.2436 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.5481 ) | (NA ) | (0.2854 ) | (0.7504 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.1828 | 0 | 0.0945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.054 ) | (NA ) | (0.3145 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0.1833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0547 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 10.9678643254657 |
| -525.261861701565 |
| 330.145024194708 |
| -41.6298418909046 |
| 15.8595553657815 |
| 91.5421209822089 |
| -741.935708646335 |
| 294.173861127316 |
| 303.275106855848 |
| 159.377315591308 |
| -363.089880096104 |
| -70.6775446637057 |
| -1248.32739525331 |
| 411.336266756758 |
| 468.432441535871 |
| 164.853331439532 |
| -101.764551782688 |
| -21.2212576510628 |
| 614.147306257388 |
| -433.137445539844 |
| -39.9236476299611 |
| -569.919719370624 |
| -768.177674508976 |
| 229.448685317095 |
| -537.359397574292 |
| -16.4007388019418 |
| 613.741131692614 |
| -223.281523658225 |
| -31.4204879689114 |
| -548.472787391605 |
| 163.791442435942 |
| 345.676828547458 |
| 223.350417005609 |
| 421.746024705728 |
| -30.6845747582229 |
| 120.069852308687 |
| 183.862929187173 |
| 151.783035262881 |
| 44.9736362871135 |
| 347.890248955138 |
| 348.981414676295 |
| -14.5756020942135 |
| -289.162335142555 |
| 145.598123609698 |
| -342.790530668382 |
| 331.594625548942 |
| -262.661309974295 |
| -80.2856698336855 |
| 193.652731630204 |
| -234.474606142614 |
| 447.352748709991 |
| 186.46025083303 |
| -181.819924355854 |
| 208.804863637650 |
| -75.4918631695673 |
| -391.223817054135 |
| 167.092420700301 |
| 92.2340955157779 |
| 38.6788498261212 |
| -1.87550302588534 |
| -23.3593040841024 |
| -204.247460320865 |
| 409.103103423231 |
| 64.5764165403016 |
| 20.3752250406596 |
| 90.52315934344 |
| 156.369043178662 |
| 57.0560528107544 |
| 82.8831335649502 |
| -354.090760983452 |
| 100.483502237417 |
| 213.326983694798 |
| 235.835457999878 |
| 378.902445422691 |
| 143.308404584448 |
| 151.777718133508 |
| 99.9952916684942 |
| 93.7985530420192 |
| -384.684439970037 |
| 552.789225795808 |
| 563.829449159035 |
| -47.2086278643728 |
| 179.789980434871 |
| -468.954672611648 |
| 397.442021568508 |
| 285.312597000822 |
| -763.671045023233 |
| 334.809951825660 |
| -906.675879630793 |
| 40.6874413354144 |
| -203.962890981973 |
| 504.113063975359 |
| 71.0400489405965 |
| -784.373221766846 |
| -595.769829043311 |
| 342.946118775604 |
| -454.858761755264 |
| -1855.98530565549 |
| -213.030872113150 |
| 84.9592340180934 |
| -195.879630533509 |
| -669.162535184868 |
| -325.693679173156 |
| 840.045077321579 |
| 267.575879051113 |
| 120.175018653952 |
| 51.0794202599845 |
| 678.980997829489 |
| 132.986701691718 |
| 174.656498846451 |
| 340.735405041427 |
