| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7246 | -0.1949 | 0.2114 | -0.4588 | 0.3214 | -0.0258 | -0.3516 |
| (p-val) | (0.0078 ) | (0.1431 ) | (0.034 ) | (0.087 ) | (0.7923 ) | (0.8452 ) | (0.7735 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7247 | -0.1939 | 0.2118 | -0.457 | 0.4259 | 0 | -0.4615 |
| (p-val) | (0.0076 ) | (0.1453 ) | (0.034 ) | (0.0872 ) | (0.7259 ) | (NA ) | (0.7015 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.7264 | -0.1921 | 0.2101 | -0.4571 | 0 | 0 | -0.0296 |
| (p-val) | (0.0075 ) | (0.1497 ) | (0.0356 ) | (0.0874 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.7714 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.7265 | -0.1878 | 0.2054 | -0.4588 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.008 ) | (0.1572 ) | (0.0377 ) | (0.0886 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.2937 | 0 | 0.1811 | -0.0207 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4916 ) | (NA ) | (0.0524 ) | (0.9674 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.2766 | 0 | 0.182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0024 ) | (NA ) | (0.0437 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3.03292826890205 |
| 12.0260515677640 |
| 59.7475455407064 |
| -114.465065205481 |
| -2.22693508199627 |
| 4.35951995596352 |
| -147.147615338686 |
| 65.153572198053 |
| -58.9442153086111 |
| 94.5064127441215 |
| 54.0497539166126 |
| -31.9582830652207 |
| -291.427228013426 |
| 103.210014980995 |
| 13.4184752845463 |
| 25.848767749962 |
| 81.7651411018169 |
| 0.0342656138418533 |
| -13.8542282976155 |
| 63.9062793697858 |
| -37.9084354029856 |
| -239.488697273233 |
| -197.314334937415 |
| -18.3811532105201 |
| -78.8708128245712 |
| -37.8295732489139 |
| 153.835701431603 |
| -46.2523335694268 |
| -13.131794384233 |
| -185.299119376881 |
| -72.9117819276823 |
| 243.825225144514 |
| 56.6148178109725 |
| 51.4504706290238 |
| -39.3475780548667 |
| 74.1339479106434 |
| -2.27501727330446 |
| 16.1353440571070 |
| 29.3431180387506 |
| 1.19479122514349 |
| 142.274824521032 |
| 37.8895641544145 |
| -61.2157143422046 |
| 44.3522168977665 |
| -99.399814019555 |
| 69.8361993067019 |
| -30.5517825502993 |
| 62.8935794195445 |
| 125.965949022935 |
| 71.5094060664719 |
| 52.3393013125101 |
| 19.3218862161034 |
| 19.4930838292207 |
| 64.6403579028697 |
| -15.0861494969154 |
| -5.69174869726749 |
| -79.8892245215648 |
| 46.8017120289928 |
| 52.3915521634676 |
| 88.1573151431521 |
| -12.8910808605979 |
| 0.555556031137257 |
| 46.017345842899 |
| 107.370226415589 |
| 133.534342762899 |
| 85.592463340406 |
| 40.2118083758105 |
| -83.726149814921 |
| -116.032498074396 |
| -224.597367333123 |
| 198.730124441566 |
| 143.260275801969 |
| 105.426085784684 |
| 115.125784565585 |
| -14.9411382270919 |
| 53.3217795102973 |
| 96.8611024849115 |
| 4.70669897899825 |
| -179.314662214792 |
| 245.649258923567 |
| 31.3333205409763 |
| -79.5796685631494 |
| -80.4379200791709 |
| -363.924056075888 |
| 205.939379895812 |
| 126.011618846088 |
| -302.947102260051 |
| 85.1467909607727 |
| -298.923496535926 |
| 10.0005383240823 |
| -12.1778514262342 |
| 245.932788294570 |
| -82.9134977046492 |
| -273.362164089219 |
| -423.468312216033 |
| 154.459638009162 |
| -32.0064376545452 |
| -654.887885136994 |
| 24.9943895258984 |
| -81.9085187968208 |
| 223.842710037987 |
| -69.0844660783794 |
| -87.1663497407853 |
| 226.244015203884 |
| 152.276241081288 |
| -48.8432924693116 |
| 11.6091732540151 |
| 176.746655051392 |
| 92.2077545126504 |
| 20.3296664845438 |
| -106.660701819339 |
