| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6929 | -0.2623 | 0.28 | -0.4232 | -0.8355 | -0.0789 | 0.9993 |
| (p-val) | (0.0075 ) | (0.1133 ) | (0.0292 ) | (0.0756 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.7 ) | (0.0834 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6832 | -0.2497 | 0.2766 | -0.4201 | -0.8338 | 0 | 1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.0081 ) | (0.1221 ) | (0.0311 ) | (0.0781 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.021 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4804 | 0 | 0.1817 | -0.3022 | -0.8584 | 0 | 0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.0965 ) | (NA ) | (0.1261 ) | (0.4087 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0384 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.2577 | 0 | 0.1715 | 0 | -0.8402 | 0 | 1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0423 ) | (NA ) | (0.1732 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0286 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.2574 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8208 | 0 | 1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.0467 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0181 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 10.0015939149028 |
| 371.813308674732 |
| 139.113711610022 |
| -210.030232637406 |
| 142.055012162915 |
| -128.975367627225 |
| -350.976465713142 |
| 157.166445743686 |
| 87.5309812924864 |
| 92.676719336301 |
| -27.1311294380929 |
| -44.0906392174146 |
| -208.584185970837 |
| 378.027105589823 |
| 28.0828780363971 |
| 60.9032683309262 |
| 11.5471113491051 |
| 132.157611528015 |
| 63.729948264106 |
| 45.4826458746394 |
| -382.790919694142 |
| 100.341267809125 |
| 192.783333439961 |
| 272.604227510628 |
| 358.637300862355 |
| 63.7637436691249 |
| 91.9381724982798 |
| -7.15480961814398 |
| 52.4359557503299 |
| -431.909835130252 |
| 507.393298577296 |
| 495.349929317988 |
| 5.71683862811048 |
| 83.8912763850498 |
| -596.84139513122 |
| 373.967197637512 |
| 172.484595302248 |
| -691.036135288197 |
| 307.396559464462 |
| -931.94278611332 |
| 206.303780435812 |
| -166.451922338117 |
| 626.814155836047 |
| 5.14318082015322 |
| -764.936788593008 |
| -602.640915213037 |
| 432.382310374056 |
| -339.481405871305 |
| -1617.66180193604 |
| -37.9397369693343 |
| 174.776434676013 |
| 206.332544517659 |
| -549.683378837201 |
| -293.313021161138 |
| 838.126432625709 |
| 363.722217334598 |
| 263.339206725736 |
| -29.2065157303848 |
| 481.276239674834 |
| 87.2905924881707 |
