Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[155])
143	106.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
144	106.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
145	106.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
146	106.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
147	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
148	108.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
149	108.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
150	109.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
151	109.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
152	109.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
153	109.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
154	109.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
155	108.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
156	108.77	109.3258	108.9115	109.7448	0.0047	0.9564	1	0.9564
157	108.11	108.9499	108.3195	109.5915	0.0051	0.7087	1	0.4877
158	108.67	109.3909	108.5836	110.2164	0.0435	0.9988	1	0.8468
159	109.05	110.1261	109.1601	111.1183	0.0168	0.998	1	0.9894
160	109.43	110.6827	109.5766	111.823	0.0157	0.9975	1	0.9985
161	109.62	111.1048	109.8728	112.3793	0.0112	0.995	0.9999	0.9995
162	109.85	111.2703	109.929	112.6619	0.0227	0.9899	0.9985	0.9994
163	109.34	111.0864	109.6562	112.5741	0.0107	0.9483	0.9959	0.9975
164	109.65	111.2537	109.7276	112.8454	0.0241	0.9908	0.9968	0.9976
165	109.69	111.6541	110.0264	113.3561	0.0119	0.9895	0.9961	0.999
166	109.91	111.8751	110.1568	113.6764	0.0163	0.9913	0.9968	0.9992
167	110.09	111.9077	110.1106	113.7958	0.0296	0.981	0.9989	0.9989

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
156	0.002	-0.0051	0	0.3089	0	0
157	0.003	-0.0077	0.0064	0.7055	0.5072	0.7122
158	0.0039	-0.0066	0.0065	0.5197	0.5114	0.7151
159	0.0046	-0.0098	0.0073	1.1581	0.673	0.8204
160	0.0053	-0.0113	0.0081	1.5692	0.8523	0.9232
161	0.0059	-0.0134	0.009	2.2048	1.0777	1.0381
162	0.0064	-0.0128	0.0095	2.0171	1.2119	1.1009
163	0.0068	-0.0157	0.0103	3.0499	1.4416	1.2007
164	0.0073	-0.0144	0.0107	2.572	1.5672	1.2519
165	0.0078	-0.0176	0.0114	3.8575	1.7963	1.3402
166	0.0082	-0.0176	0.012	3.8615	1.984	1.4085
167	0.0086	-0.0162	0.0123	3.3042	2.094	1.4471