Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[46])
34	2139	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	1898	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	2537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2069	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2063	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	2526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2440	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2797	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2074	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2430	2350.1815	1958.3678	3065.5637	0.4134	0.7121	0.8923	0.7121
48	2141	2256.2658	1889.1751	2913.2698	0.3655	0.3021	0.2012	0.6289
49	1827	2259.0045	1864.7894	3008.0977	0.1292	0.6212	0.6905	0.6163
50	2082	2296.9081	1850.6359	3243.3562	0.3281	0.8348	0.6859	0.6227
51	1788	2277.7982	1822.1007	3278.2933	0.1686	0.6494	0.3134	0.6019
52	1743	2287.682	1805.9979	3418.0399	0.1725	0.8069	0.3958	0.597
53	2245	2296.2428	1790.5653	3563.7864	0.4684	0.8039	0.5646	0.5919
54	1963	2295.9492	1773.8101	3675.2218	0.3181	0.5289	0.2382	0.5844
55	1828	2302.4902	1760.5466	3825.2938	0.2707	0.6689	0.6157	0.5798
56	2527	2307.1567	1747.5996	3975.8527	0.3981	0.7132	0.3531	0.5751
57	2114	2310.8613	1735.2677	4130.2799	0.416	0.4079	0.5103	0.5705
58	2424	2315.9141	1724.1455	4304.6939	0.4576	0.5789	0.5665	0.5665

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
47	0.1553	0.034	0.0028	6370.9865	530.9155	23.0416
48	0.1486	-0.0511	0.0043	13286.1968	1107.1831	33.2744
49	0.1692	-0.1912	0.0159	186627.8699	15552.3225	124.709
50	0.2102	-0.0936	0.0078	46185.4849	3848.7904	62.0386
51	0.2241	-0.215	0.0179	239902.3059	19991.8588	141.3926
52	0.2521	-0.2381	0.0198	296678.4725	24723.206	157.2361
53	0.2816	-0.0223	0.0019	2625.8284	218.819	14.7925
54	0.3065	-0.145	0.0121	110855.1797	9237.9316	96.1142
55	0.3374	-0.2061	0.0172	225140.9505	18761.7459	136.9735
56	0.369	0.0953	0.0079	48331.0965	4027.5914	63.4633
57	0.4017	-0.0852	0.0071	38754.3584	3229.5299	56.829
58	0.4381	0.0467	0.0039	11682.5712	973.5476	31.2017