Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	18.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	17.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	21.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	17.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	18.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	16.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	16.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	18.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	19.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	19.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	17.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	18.6	18.9113	17.4989	20.3236	0.3329	0.9656	0.8699	0.9656
62	18.1	18.3554	16.9432	19.7676	0.3615	0.3671	0.7796	0.8528
63	20.4	19.9843	18.464	21.5045	0.296	0.9924	0.0253	0.9989
64	18.1	19.0767	17.3424	20.811	0.1348	0.0674	0.9873	0.9524
65	19.6	18.2955	16.554	20.0369	0.071	0.5871	0.3244	0.7831
66	19.9	19.4707	17.5995	21.3419	0.3265	0.4461	0.689	0.975
67	19.2	17.7105	15.756	19.665	0.0676	0.0141	0.9056	0.5441
68	17.8	17.0156	15.0293	19.0018	0.2195	0.0156	0.5454	0.2821
69	19.2	19.3944	17.3069	21.4819	0.4276	0.9328	0.7721	0.954
70	22	19.8066	17.6663	21.9468	0.0223	0.7107	0.6786	0.9783
71	21.1	19.4932	17.3024	21.6839	0.0753	0.0125	0.5332	0.9548
72	19.5	19.5049	17.2423	21.7676	0.4983	0.0835	0.9505	0.9505

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0381	-0.0165	0	0.0969	0	0
62	0.0393	-0.0139	0.0152	0.0652	0.0811	0.2847
63	0.0388	0.0208	0.0171	0.1728	0.1117	0.3341
64	0.0464	-0.0512	0.0256	0.9539	0.3222	0.5676
65	0.0486	0.0713	0.0347	1.7018	0.5981	0.7734
66	0.049	0.022	0.0326	0.1843	0.5292	0.7274
67	0.0563	0.0841	0.04	2.2187	0.7705	0.8778
68	0.0596	0.0461	0.0407	0.6153	0.7511	0.8667
69	0.0549	-0.01	0.0373	0.0378	0.6719	0.8197
70	0.0551	0.1107	0.0447	4.8112	1.0858	1.042
71	0.0573	0.0824	0.0481	2.5819	1.2218	1.1054
72	0.0592	-3e-04	0.0441	0	1.12	1.0583