Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3.7	2.9915	2.1574	4.4225	0.1659	0.4409	0.9615	0.4409
51	3.7	3.7695	2.294	7.3094	0.4846	0.5154	0.9226	0.6446
52	2.5	3.1	1.798	6.5694	0.3673	0.3673	0.8016	0.5
53	2.8	3.1	1.6724	7.6038	0.4481	0.603	0.7431	0.5
54	2.8	2.8141	1.4669	7.4419	0.4976	0.5024	0.6507	0.4518
55	2.5	2.6748	1.343	7.717	0.4729	0.4806	0.5884	0.4344
56	2.8	2.897	1.3548	10.0199	0.4893	0.5435	0.6186	0.4777
57	2.5	2.6748	1.2297	9.7002	0.4805	0.4861	0.5637	0.4528
58	1.6	2.3912	1.0973	8.7164	0.4032	0.4866	0.4619	0.4131
59	1.5	2.2402	1.0147	8.4755	0.408	0.5797	0.3814	0.3935
60	1.7	2.2943	0.9987	9.7829	0.4382	0.5823	0.4267	0.4165
61	1.3	2.2664	0.9614	10.4978	0.409	0.5536	0.4213	0.4213

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.2441	0.2368	0	0.502	0	0
51	0.4791	-0.0184	0.1276	0.0048	0.2534	0.5034
52	0.571	-0.1935	0.1496	0.36	0.2889	0.5375
53	0.7412	-0.0968	0.1364	0.09	0.2392	0.4891
54	0.8391	-0.005	0.1101	2e-04	0.1914	0.4375
55	0.9617	-0.0654	0.1027	0.0306	0.1646	0.4057
56	1.2544	-0.0335	0.0928	0.0094	0.1424	0.3774
57	1.34	-0.0654	0.0894	0.0306	0.1284	0.3584
58	1.3496	-0.3309	0.1162	0.626	0.1837	0.4286
59	1.4201	-0.3304	0.1376	0.5479	0.2201	0.4692
60	1.6653	-0.259	0.1487	0.3532	0.2322	0.4819
61	1.8531	-0.4264	0.1718	0.9339	0.2907	0.5392