Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	15548	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	28029	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	29383	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	36438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	32034	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	22679	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	24319	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	18004	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	17537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	20366	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	22782	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	19169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	13807	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	29743	26633.4342	20516.9769	34573.3106	0.2214	0.9992	0.3652	0.9992
38	25591	27920.0184	21042.5106	37045.3624	0.3085	0.3477	0.3767	0.9988
39	29096	34623.7495	25570.3129	46882.6499	0.1884	0.9257	0.3859	0.9996
40	26482	30439.025	22056.0485	42008.1703	0.2513	0.59	0.3935	0.9976
41	22405	21549.811	15336.8868	30279.5712	0.4239	0.1341	0.3999	0.9589
42	27044	23108.1553	16167.6853	33028.033	0.2184	0.5552	0.4055	0.967
43	17970	17107.5796	11776.0124	24853.0037	0.4136	0.006	0.4103	0.7982
44	18730	16663.8316	11292.9519	24589.0786	0.3047	0.3733	0.4145	0.7601
45	19684	19351.9755	12919.4009	28987.3313	0.4731	0.5503	0.4183	0.8703
46	19785	21647.6827	14244.4718	32898.5288	0.3728	0.6339	0.4217	0.914
47	18479	18214.5742	11819.0293	28070.8935	0.479	0.3774	0.4247	0.8096
48	10698	13119.5485	8398.4621	20494.5324	0.2599	0.0772	0.4275	0.4275
49	31956	25307.3537	14176.1146	45178.9625	0.256	0.9252	0.3309	0.8717
50	29506	26529.8788	14282.449	49279.6767	0.3988	0.3201	0.5322	0.8635
51	34506	32899.8307	17063.1363	63434.9299	0.4589	0.5862	0.5964	0.8898
52	27165	28923.4638	14480.5715	57771.6674	0.4525	0.3522	0.5659	0.8478
53	26736	20476.8445	9913.1956	42297.2749	0.287	0.274	0.4312	0.7255
54	23691	21957.5987	10294.2965	46835.2686	0.4457	0.3533	0.3443	0.7396
55	18157	16255.7921	7390.0637	35757.5775	0.4242	0.2275	0.4316	0.5972
56	17328	15834.1383	6988.2059	35877.5827	0.4419	0.4102	0.3885	0.5786
57	18205	18388.4393	7886.7398	42873.8246	0.4941	0.5338	0.4587	0.6431
58	20995	20569.8431	8581.654	49304.9994	0.4884	0.5641	0.5213	0.6777
59	17382	17307.6693	7029.6643	42613.0469	0.4977	0.3876	0.4639	0.6069
60	9367	12466.3253	4933.181	31502.8509	0.3748	0.3064	0.5722	0.4451

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.1521	0.1168	0	9669399.5822	0	0
38	0.1668	-0.0834	0.1001	5424326.842	7546863.2121	2747.1555
39	0.1806	-0.1597	0.1199	30556014.5168	15216580.3137	3900.8435
40	0.1939	-0.13	0.1225	15658046.5207	15326946.8654	3914.9645
41	0.2067	0.0397	0.1059	731348.148	12407827.1219	3522.4746
42	0.219	0.1703	0.1166	15490873.2369	12921668.1411	3594.6722
43	0.231	0.0504	0.1072	743768.9225	11181968.2527	3343.945
44	0.2427	0.124	0.1093	4269051.9578	10317853.7159	3212.1416
45	0.254	0.0172	0.099	110240.2866	9183674.4459	3030.4578
46	0.2652	-0.086	0.0977	3469586.7232	8612265.6737	2934.6662
47	0.2761	0.0145	0.0902	69921.0119	7835688.8862	2799.2301
48	0.2868	-0.1846	0.098	5863897.2815	7671372.9192	2769.7243
49	0.4006	0.2627	0.1107	44204497.8975	10481613.3021	3237.532
50	0.4375	0.1122	0.1108	8857297.3389	10365590.7333	3219.5637
51	0.4735	0.0488	0.1067	2579779.9719	9846536.6826	3137.9192
52	0.5089	-0.0608	0.1038	3092195.0505	9424390.3306	3069.917
53	0.5437	0.3057	0.1157	39177027.7506	11174545.4729	3342.8349
54	0.5781	0.0789	0.1136	3004680.0464	10720664.0603	3274.2425
55	0.6121	0.117	0.1138	3614591.6321	10346660.2483	3216.6225
56	0.6458	0.0943	0.1128	2231622.8786	9940908.3798	3152.9206
57	0.6794	-0.01	0.1079	33649.9754	9469134.1701	3077.1958
58	0.7127	0.0207	0.104	180758.4117	9046935.272	3007.8124
59	0.746	0.0043	0.0996	5525.0537	8653830.4799	2941.7394
60	0.7791	-0.2486	0.1059	9605817.4074	8693496.6019	2948.4736