Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[113])
101	3801.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	3504.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	3032.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	3047.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	2962.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	2197.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	2014.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	1862.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	1905.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	1810.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	1670.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	1864.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	2052.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	2029.6	2105.3054	1824.0866	2386.5241	0.2989	0.6448	0	0.6448
115	2070.83	2120.442	1662.7522	2578.1318	0.4159	0.6514	0	0.6152
116	2293.41	2124.7418	1527.4314	2722.0523	0.29	0.5702	0.0012	0.5943
117	2443.27	2125.9633	1412.4724	2839.4541	0.1917	0.3228	0.0108	0.5805
118	2513.17	2126.3102	1312.1903	2940.4302	0.1758	0.2227	0.4317	0.571
119	2466.92	2126.4088	1222.5717	3030.2459	0.2301	0.2008	0.5959	0.5641

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
114	0.0682	-0.036	0	5731.3017	0	0
115	0.1101	-0.0234	0.0297	2461.35	4096.3258	64.0025
116	0.1434	0.0794	0.0462	28448.9556	12213.8691	110.5164
117	0.1712	0.1493	0.072	100683.5686	34331.294	185.2871
118	0.1953	0.1819	0.094	149660.4824	57397.1317	239.577
119	0.2169	0.1601	0.105	115947.8826	67155.5902	259.144