Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	109.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	117.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	115.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	125.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	113	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	120.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	116.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	111.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	115.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	118.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	116.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	114.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	119.8	121.6254	111.1939	132.057	0.3658	0.9097	0.7639	0.9097
74	115.8	118.44	107.5576	129.3224	0.3172	0.4032	0.6828	0.761
75	127.8	127.6941	116.0314	139.3569	0.4929	0.9772	0.6563	0.9867
76	118.8	122.29	109.08	135.4999	0.3023	0.2068	0.916	0.8761
77	119.7	121.2555	107.3383	135.1726	0.4133	0.6353	0.5424	0.8293
78	118.6	125.0433	110.2949	139.7916	0.1959	0.7612	0.8691	0.9194
79	120.8	119.6651	104.0144	135.3159	0.4435	0.5531	0.8377	0.7411
80	115.9	116.551	100.1824	132.9196	0.4689	0.3055	0.5643	0.597
81	109.7	124.1042	107.0016	141.2067	0.0494	0.8264	0.7359	0.8645
82	114.8	124.0848	106.2572	141.9125	0.1537	0.9431	0.5735	0.854
83	116.2	120.1878	101.698	138.6776	0.3362	0.716	0.656	0.7267
84	112.2	118.3397	99.2052	137.4742	0.2647	0.5867	0.653	0.653

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0438	-0.015	0.0013	3.3322	0.2777	0.527
74	0.0469	-0.0223	0.0019	6.9695	0.5808	0.7621
75	0.0466	8e-04	1e-04	0.0112	9e-04	0.0306
76	0.0551	-0.0285	0.0024	12.1798	1.015	1.0075
77	0.0586	-0.0128	0.0011	2.4195	0.2016	0.449
78	0.0602	-0.0515	0.0043	41.5158	3.4597	1.86
79	0.0667	0.0095	8e-04	1.2879	0.1073	0.3276
80	0.0717	-0.0056	5e-04	0.4238	0.0353	0.1879
81	0.0703	-0.1161	0.0097	207.4801	17.29	4.1581
82	0.0733	-0.0748	0.0062	86.2079	7.184	2.6803
83	0.0785	-0.0332	0.0028	15.9028	1.3252	1.1512
84	0.0825	-0.0519	0.0043	37.6956	3.1413	1.7724