| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5541 | 0.1325 | -0.1861 | -0.4015 | -0.0574 | 0.022 | -0.9978 |
| (p-val) | (0.4758 ) | (0.547 ) | (0.3364 ) | (0.6051 ) | (0.8644 ) | (0.9544 ) | (0.3612 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5651 | 0.1308 | -0.1882 | -0.4084 | -0.0705 | 0 | -1.013 |
| (p-val) | (0.4634 ) | (0.5568 ) | (0.324 ) | (0.6005 ) | (0.7777 ) | (NA ) | (0.424 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5561 | 0.1218 | -0.1926 | -0.3822 | 0 | 0 | -1.0017 |
| (p-val) | (0.4368 ) | (0.5809 ) | (0.2844 ) | (0.5953 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1396 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.1817 | 0.1803 | -0.1169 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.2701 ) | (0.2713 ) | (0.4736 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1474 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.163 | 0.1615 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (0.3193 ) | (0.3214 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0719 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.1929 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0009 |
| (p-val) | (0.24 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.162 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.095 ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 25.3159746841146 |
| 208.609178213827 |
| 2852.48192617059 |
| -2464.24919355932 |
| 1634.85290254209 |
| 4932.80643537886 |
| 4192.46195641237 |
| 199.420300888173 |
| 336.600280774857 |
| -2616.99146357463 |
| -390.310840590857 |
| -281.414312788986 |
| -1791.79384165498 |
| 1316.61000603590 |
| 225.358940079240 |
| -23.2580355645715 |
| -2152.27689978142 |
| -3146.76939488672 |
| -2112.67640845216 |
| -108.585017557553 |
| 2419.29306256906 |
| -1538.68215765635 |
| 748.735832131938 |
| -719.326240581746 |
| -3481.53716127481 |
| 333.425522119501 |
| -2533.12431195489 |
| 1900.07128163704 |
| 1868.60494627831 |
| 2460.10246291667 |
| -902.391731151592 |
| 3673.98064359167 |
| -1193.08894963145 |
| -926.065721457935 |
| -684.733253493198 |
| -1789.49408983122 |
| -1413.92647555875 |
| -722.91782162587 |
| -3152.63420793073 |
