Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[56])
44	4.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	4.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	4.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	4.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	4.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	4.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	4.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	4.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	4.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	5.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	5.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	4.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	4.95	4.8902	4.5851	5.1954	0.3505	0.3746	0.9971	0.3746
58	4.52	4.9034	4.3989	5.4079	0.0682	0.4282	0.9609	0.4435
59	3.85	4.9354	4.2687	5.6021	7e-04	0.889	0.9648	0.4946
60	3.41	4.973	4.168	5.7781	1e-04	0.9969	0.865	0.532
61	2.95	5.0123	4.0847	5.94	0	0.9996	0.955	0.5607
62	2.68	5.0522	4.0128	6.0916	0	1	0.9794	0.5838
63	2.53	5.0921	3.9489	6.2354	0	1	0.9522	0.6029
64	2.44	5.1321	3.891	6.3733	0	1	0.8409	0.6192
65	2.16	5.1722	3.8378	6.5065	0	1	0.742	0.6335
66	2.2	5.2122	3.7884	6.636	0	1	0.4738	0.6461
67	2.1	5.2522	3.7421	6.7624	0	1	0.527	0.6573
68	2.29	5.2923	3.6983	6.8862	1e-04	1	0.6675	0.6675
69	2.03	5.3323	3.6568	7.0078	1e-04	0.9998	0.6726	0.6768
70	2.05	5.3723	3.6171	7.1276	1e-04	0.9999	0.8294	0.6854
71	1.94	5.4124	3.5791	7.2456	1e-04	0.9998	0.9526	0.6932

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
57	0.0318	0.0122	0	0.0036	0	0
58	0.0525	-0.0782	0.0452	0.147	0.0753	0.2744
59	0.0689	-0.2199	0.1034	1.1781	0.4429	0.6655
60	0.0826	-0.3143	0.1562	2.4431	0.9429	0.971
61	0.0944	-0.4115	0.2072	4.2533	1.605	1.2669
62	0.105	-0.4695	0.2509	5.6271	2.2754	1.5084
63	0.1145	-0.5032	0.287	6.5645	2.8881	1.6994
64	0.1234	-0.5246	0.3167	7.2476	3.433	1.8528
65	0.1316	-0.5824	0.3462	9.0731	4.0597	2.0149
66	0.1394	-0.5779	0.3694	9.0733	4.5611	2.1357
67	0.1467	-0.6002	0.3903	9.9365	5.0497	2.2472
68	0.1537	-0.5673	0.4051	9.0136	5.3801	2.3195
69	0.1603	-0.6193	0.4216	10.9051	5.8051	2.4094
70	0.1667	-0.6184	0.4356	11.0378	6.1788	2.4857
71	0.1728	-0.6416	0.4494	12.0572	6.5707	2.5633