| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.274 | 0.1607 | 0.461 | -0.2989 | 0.4909 | -0.222 | -0.7423 |
| (p-val) | (0.2526 ) | (0.3597 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2557 ) | (0.6483 ) | (0.5077 ) | (0.6592 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2798 | 0.1593 | 0.4644 | -0.3075 | -0.1263 | -0.2602 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2384 ) | (0.364 ) | (6e-04 ) | (0.2395 ) | (0.5 ) | (0.2544 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2781 | 0.1698 | 0.4684 | -0.3157 | 0 | -0.2654 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2425 ) | (0.3275 ) | (6e-04 ) | (0.2323 ) | (NA ) | (0.2469 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.4605 | 0 | 0.4012 | -0.1082 | 0 | -0.2956 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0141 ) | (NA ) | (7e-04 ) | (0.6148 ) | (NA ) | (0.1912 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | -0.5184 | 0 | 0.3957 | 0 | 0 | -0.326 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1264 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | -0.59 | 0 | 0.4163 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -59.1433865589441 |
| 681.68750949207 |
| 474.161569921804 |
| -1055.97981245126 |
| 615.033589537522 |
| 521.894684611647 |
| 578.638216086207 |
| -912.883184774072 |
| 681.367861336272 |
| -2155.19911815391 |
| 1589.25493477463 |
| 155.005835713477 |
| 596.726200916196 |
| -1323.31873224774 |
| -480.716708999609 |
| 1426.59931262549 |
| -228.453106978404 |
| -1813.49420168258 |
| 512.831395924056 |
| 913.75016668727 |
| -138.554344125264 |
| -17.0742883176414 |
| -240.743733678917 |
| 459.599291625499 |
| 697.15584045454 |
| 499.00988464324 |
| -1578.59103615075 |
| 514.864873876547 |
| -143.737151824765 |
| -295.240275749885 |
| 816.253042312365 |
| 1646.01316940914 |
| -1946.8676497758 |
| 1684.79476995203 |
| -282.486109641853 |
| 1135.33441263909 |
| -1021.32992432674 |
| -1699.19872059425 |
| 513.510287213627 |
| -945.670566772853 |
| -3630.81243882240 |
| -1826.87797093381 |
| -1439.56288911933 |
| -57.6014592557804 |
| 577.722101602711 |
| -748.884702981257 |
| -365.487695347081 |
| -210.993720096267 |
| 1648.85512327106 |
