Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[93])
81	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	110.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	109.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	115.7	119.6092	113.6799	125.5385	0.0981	0.8235	0.1781	0.8235
95	99.4	109.4682	103.5376	115.3988	4e-04	0.0197	0.1027	0.0077
96	94.3	104.0809	97.8237	110.3382	0.0011	0.9287	0.8994	0
97	91	105.1008	97.875	112.3265	1e-04	0.9983	0.0644	8e-04
98	93.2	106.0777	98.8378	113.3176	2e-04	1	0.0344	0.0018
99	103.1	113.9732	106.3186	121.6277	0.0027	1	0.8574	0.2346
100	94.1	110.4568	102.4311	118.4826	0	0.9638	0.0473	0.0607
101	91.8	107.2913	99.1975	115.3852	1e-04	0.9993	0.3307	0.0107
102	102.7	115.5757	107.1403	124.0111	0.0014	1	0.47	0.388
103	82.6	91.5428	82.9129	100.1726	0.0211	0.0056	0.1557	0
104	89.1	99.9219	91.1785	108.6653	0.0076	0.9999	0.5109	1e-04
105	104.5	116.7548	107.7644	125.7453	0.0038	1	0.4961	0.4961

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
94	0.0253	-0.0327	0	15.2816	0	0
95	0.0276	-0.092	0.0623	101.3683	58.325	7.6371
96	0.0307	-0.094	0.0729	95.6665	70.7721	8.4126
97	0.0351	-0.1342	0.0882	198.8319	102.7871	10.1384
98	0.0348	-0.1214	0.0948	165.8341	115.3965	10.7423
99	0.0343	-0.0954	0.0949	118.226	115.8681	10.7642
100	0.0371	-0.1481	0.1025	267.5454	137.5363	11.7276
101	0.0385	-0.1444	0.1078	239.9812	150.3419	12.2614
102	0.0372	-0.1114	0.1082	165.7833	152.0576	12.3312
103	0.0481	-0.0977	0.1071	79.973	144.8491	12.0353
104	0.0446	-0.1083	0.1072	117.1137	142.3277	11.9301
105	0.0393	-0.105	0.107	150.1813	142.9822	11.9575