ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3
Estimates ( 1 )0.33360.11990.1931
(p-val)(0.0132 )(0.3849 )(0.1413 )
Estimates ( 2 )0.376400.2341
(p-val)(0.0031 )(NA )(0.0586 )
Estimates ( 3 )0.467900
(p-val)(2e-04 )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 4 )NANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )NANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-892.545814632062
875.376506388964
-210.019639516243
-1206.61835515086
-639.345858292826
1626.52138762498
-426.961818541304
171.938892418660
-441.299828308186
-251.298027515305
-36.715055706624
-1648.08767365664
108.042353800629
23.9814564699490
79.9127458136486
386.696815255292
1126.80603845420
-563.600866181369
551.2231246343
82.6049997886294
-126.228185903747
-790.9690848217
459.195454687695
1103.94242049172
-967.37144184718
121.251996413572
871.846670318277
1039.08739622752
-560.079585341503
1026.47013349202
-391.201890886238
-729.299861164007
805.93668812915
-399.526547504065
-191.812284285203
-1435.12145601946
1350.78384442412
243.016513927781
766.578566210576
-1727.57634476537
-735.807940403231
-1122.10972078791
12.8580597861437
1347.43797942723
5021.28556007561
5488.94628552138
-2033.72171311709
7982.42197744572
-650.421341289069
-1370.93145945732
-2054.35456261679
1306.83143021061
-1056.37114507513
503.640647298016
91.4685929073022
-43.4178937146790