Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 19915 | 19851.1782905453 | -1350.68353120853 | 21329.5052406632 | -63.821709454718 |
2 | 19843 | 19909.2089924288 | -1547.31074275725 | 21324.1017503285 | 66.2089924287975 |
3 | 19761 | 19947.2396719623 | -1743.93793195599 | 21318.6982599937 | 186.239671962321 |
4 | 20858 | 20879.0193344964 | -476.148220083376 | 21313.1288855870 | 21.0193344964027 |
5 | 21968 | 21853.5989770331 | 774.841511786592 | 21307.5595111803 | -114.401022966871 |
6 | 23061 | 22748.4844149681 | 2073.64145666020 | 21299.8741283717 | -312.515585031892 |
7 | 22661 | 22541.9700213775 | 1487.84123305941 | 21292.1887455631 | -119.029978622504 |
8 | 22269 | 22324.7290942980 | 932.346403235024 | 21280.924502467 | 55.7290942979562 |
9 | 21857 | 22000.0882223745 | 444.251518254513 | 21269.6602593709 | 143.088222374543 |
10 | 21568 | 21774.6955515713 | 92.9297557416398 | 21268.3746926871 | 206.695551571276 |
11 | 21274 | 21506.9028814215 | -225.992007424751 | 21267.0891260032 | 232.902881421523 |
12 | 20987 | 21130.1308588745 | -461.779601393112 | 21305.6487425187 | 143.130858874458 |
13 | 19683 | 19372.4751721745 | -1350.68353120853 | 21344.2083590341 | -310.524827825549 |
14 | 19381 | 18922.9554074431 | -1547.31074275725 | 21386.3553353141 | -458.044592556886 |
15 | 19071 | 18457.4356203618 | -1743.93793195599 | 21428.5023115942 | -613.56437963821 |
16 | 20772 | 20576.1574147591 | -476.148220083376 | 21443.9908053243 | -195.842585240895 |
17 | 22485 | 22735.6791891591 | 774.841511786592 | 21459.4792990543 | 250.679189159062 |
18 | 24181 | 24831.5861625591 | 2073.64145666020 | 21456.7723807807 | 650.586162559062 |
19 | 23479 | 24016.0933044335 | 1487.84123305941 | 21454.0654625071 | 537.093304433474 |
20 | 22782 | 23193.5492132717 | 932.346403235024 | 21438.1043834932 | 411.549213271734 |
21 | 22067 | 22267.6051772661 | 444.251518254513 | 21422.1433044794 | 200.605177266116 |
22 | 21489 | 21524.5223806774 | 92.9297557416398 | 21360.5478635809 | 35.5223806774302 |
23 | 20903 | 20733.0395847423 | -225.992007424751 | 21298.9524226825 | -169.960415257741 |
24 | 20330 | 19931.4863353627 | -461.779601393112 | 21190.2932660304 | -398.513664637296 |
25 | 19736 | 19741.0494218302 | -1350.68353120853 | 21081.6341093783 | 5.04942183020466 |
26 | 19483 | 19536.8730662748 | -1547.31074275725 | 20976.4376764825 | 53.873066274773 |
27 | 19242 | 19356.6966883693 | -1743.93793195599 | 20871.2412435866 | 114.696688369349 |
28 | 20334 | 20347.6434730834 | -476.148220083376 | 20796.504747 | 13.6434730833862 |
29 | 21423 | 21349.3902378001 | 774.841511786592 | 20721.7682504133 | -73.6097621999324 |
30 | 22523 | 22294.9080723865 | 2073.64145666020 | 20677.4504709533 | -228.091927613517 |
31 | 21986 | 21851.0260754473 | 1487.84123305941 | 20633.1326914933 | -134.973924552691 |
32 | 21462 | 21377.5621046826 | 932.346403235024 | 20614.0914920824 | -84.4378953174237 |
33 | 20908 | 20776.6981890740 | 444.251518254513 | 20595.0502926715 | -131.301810926027 |
34 | 20575 | 20444.4583635924 | 92.9297557416398 | 20612.6118806660 | -130.541636407601 |
35 | 20237 | 20069.8185387643 | -225.992007424751 | 20630.1734686604 | -167.181461235661 |
36 | 19904 | 19585.9170786418 | -461.779601393112 | 20683.8625227513 | -318.082921358218 |
37 | 19610 | 19833.1319543663 | -1350.68353120853 | 20737.5515768422 | 223.131954366283 |
38 | 19251 | 19246.7315492454 | -1547.31074275725 | 20802.5791935118 | -4.26845075457095 |
39 | 18941 | 18758.3311217746 | -1743.93793195599 | 20867.6068101814 | -182.668878225420 |
40 | 20450 | 20448.9629807298 | -476.148220083376 | 20927.1852393536 | -1.03701927024304 |
41 | 21946 | 22130.3948196876 | 774.841511786592 | 20986.7636685258 | 184.394819687583 |
42 | 23409 | 23712.4081366302 | 2073.64145666020 | 21031.9504067096 | 303.408136630227 |
43 | 22741 | 22917.0216220473 | 1487.84123305941 | 21077.1371448933 | 176.021622047283 |
44 | 22069 | 22105.3738703115 | 932.346403235024 | 21100.2797264535 | 36.3738703115087 |
45 | 21539 | 21510.3261737319 | 444.251518254513 | 21123.4223080136 | -28.6738262681429 |
46 | 21189 | 21180.6662006456 | 92.9297557416398 | 21104.4040436128 | -8.33379935443372 |
47 | 20960 | 21060.6062282128 | -225.992007424751 | 21085.3857792120 | 100.606228212790 |
48 | 20704 | 20858.5350716637 | -461.779601393112 | 21011.2445297294 | 154.535071663671 |
49 | 19697 | 19807.5802509616 | -1350.68353120853 | 20937.1032802469 | 110.580250961615 |
50 | 19598 | 19905.1373423545 | -1547.31074275725 | 20838.1734004027 | 307.137342354516 |
51 | 19456 | 19916.6944113974 | -1743.93793195599 | 20739.2435205586 | 460.694411397428 |
52 | 20316 | 20459.3774863604 | -476.148220083376 | 20648.7707337229 | 143.377486360430 |
53 | 21083 | 20832.8605413261 | 774.841511786592 | 20558.2979468873 | -250.139458673926 |
54 | 22158 | 21766.6874104007 | 2073.64145666020 | 20475.6711329391 | -391.3125895993 |
55 | 21469 | 21057.1144479497 | 1487.84123305941 | 20393.0443189909 | -411.885552050266 |
56 | 20892 | 20543.8874444445 | 932.346403235024 | 20307.7661523205 | -348.11255555549 |
57 | 20578 | 20489.2604960954 | 444.251518254513 | 20222.4879856501 | -88.7395039045841 |
58 | 20233 | 20234.0350844072 | 92.9297557416398 | 20139.0351598511 | 1.03508440724909 |
59 | 19947 | 20064.4096733726 | -225.992007424751 | 20055.5823340522 | 117.409673372596 |
60 | 20049 | 20583.4133858951 | -461.779601393112 | 19976.366215498 | 534.413385895114 |