Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[69])
57	104.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	103.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	82.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	91.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	94.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	109.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	92.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	99.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	109.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	73.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	110.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	111.6	106.3783	97.4364	115.3203	0.1262	0.1717	0.9885	0.1717
71	110.7	105.67	96.7186	114.6213	0.1354	0.0971	0.6981	0.1354
72	84	85.0128	75.7966	94.229	0.4147	0	0.6734	0
73	101.6	95.0789	84.754	105.4039	0.1079	0.9823	0.7575	0.0015
74	102.1	96.9503	86.6249	107.2757	0.1642	0.1887	0.6791	0.0045
75	113.9	106.9149	96.3318	117.498	0.0979	0.8137	0.3293	0.2417
76	99	96.4204	85.5574	107.2833	0.3208	8e-04	0.7822	0.005
77	100.4	95.0477	84.1732	105.9223	0.1674	0.2381	0.2217	0.0024
78	109.5	106.3192	95.2908	117.3475	0.2859	0.8536	0.2799	0.2181
79	93	86.7794	75.6663	97.8925	0.1363	0	0.4494	0
80	76.8	71.1178	59.9853	82.2503	0.1586	1e-04	0.3635	0
81	105.3	109.8134	98.6052	121.0217	0.215	1	0.4384	0.4384

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
70	0.0429	0.0491	0	27.2658	0	0
71	0.0432	0.0476	0.0483	25.3013	26.2836	5.1267
72	0.0553	-0.0119	0.0362	1.0257	17.8643	4.2266
73	0.0554	0.0686	0.0443	42.5243	24.0293	4.902
74	0.0543	0.0531	0.0461	26.5194	24.5273	4.9525
75	0.0505	0.0653	0.0493	48.7914	28.5713	5.3452
76	0.0575	0.0268	0.0461	6.6545	25.4404	5.0438
77	0.0584	0.0563	0.0473	28.6466	25.8411	5.0834
78	0.0529	0.0299	0.0454	10.1176	24.0941	4.9086
79	0.0653	0.0717	0.048	38.6958	25.5542	5.0551
80	0.0799	0.0799	0.0509	32.2875	26.1664	5.1153
81	0.0521	-0.0411	0.0501	20.3709	25.6834	5.0679