| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 19915 | 19915 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 19843 | 19843.9943178957 | -71.0878571363803 | -0.994317895669007 | -0.118782435020626 |
| 3 | 19761 | 19760.7309832625 | -82.7960266846761 | 0.26901673746091 | -0.0197979137823644 |
| 4 | 20858 | 20822.0785203464 | 1008.51469063160 | 35.9214796535916 | 1.80930311820643 |
| 5 | 21968 | 21973.665317112 | 1145.05557553730 | -5.66531711198193 | 0.226651828859217 |
| 6 | 23061 | 23064.7500111397 | 1093.53921294631 | -3.75001113973822 | -0.0855081607236897 |
| 7 | 22661 | 22707.9502449778 | -290.808999241377 | -46.9502449778206 | -2.29777874350131 |
| 8 | 22269 | 22262.8157970249 | -438.11153945891 | 6.18420297505747 | -0.244496714917772 |
| 9 | 21857 | 21855.5771135006 | -408.643565299405 | 1.42288649942803 | 0.0489117356031883 |
| 10 | 21568 | 21565.2986171617 | -295.664706117176 | 2.70138283831989 | 0.187525347244533 |
| 11 | 21274 | 21275.6281967602 | -289.943191324189 | -1.62819676019485 | 0.00949672404276561 |
| 12 | 20987 | 20987.8237163819 | -287.901802787922 | -0.823716381864051 | 0.00338835156325109 |
| 13 | 19683 | 19713.5671243585 | -1229.09328510059 | -30.5671243585169 | -1.56288797494588 |
| 14 | 19381 | 19310.5884745786 | -440.188265186597 | 70.4115254213785 | 1.31544285068647 |
| 15 | 19071 | 19115.7896343943 | -211.956638228701 | -44.7896343942592 | 0.382814742405743 |
| 16 | 20772 | 20656.3772658778 | 1417.39023402376 | 115.622734122209 | 2.70100817048867 |
| 17 | 22485 | 22522.4357334842 | 1834.19199958307 | -37.4357334841831 | 0.691915353464615 |
| 18 | 24181 | 24141.5093033162 | 1634.28478145999 | 39.4906966838404 | -0.331810701648741 |
| 19 | 23479 | 23624.4298294729 | -364.968905476902 | -145.429829472927 | -3.31841868158201 |
| 20 | 22782 | 22775.8528421517 | -814.37349815881 | 6.14715784833346 | -0.74593380816506 |
| 21 | 22067 | 22056.2694797685 | -726.287662105801 | 10.7305202315412 | 0.146207240116577 |
| 22 | 21489 | 21478.6668899565 | -588.118382226589 | 10.3331100434600 | 0.2293370881841 |
| 23 | 20903 | 20933.5700212574 | -548.139154619983 | -30.5700212574086 | 0.0663586319469552 |
| 24 | 20330 | 20275.3975838953 | -650.388126238181 | 54.6024161047364 | -0.169715975389280 |
| 25 | 19736 | 19789.5287823 | -497.55170229978 | -53.528782300006 | 0.253817091961421 |
| 26 | 19483 | 19358.6951226839 | -435.517830545865 | 124.304877316061 | 0.103160025034256 |
| 27 | 19242 | 19360.8158324495 | -34.3595406185888 | -118.815832449519 | 0.669222744032911 |
| 28 | 20334 | 20212.0385840219 | 779.028274343585 | 121.961415978093 | 1.34931367886376 |
| 29 | 21423 | 21503.3169349686 | 1248.84227704478 | -80.3169349686257 | 0.779813140841009 |
| 30 | 22523 | 22377.3750178998 | 904.978549369957 | 145.624982100197 | -0.570766242281175 |
| 31 | 21986 | 22155.8645338846 | -128.625359802679 | -169.864533884586 | -1.71560132897775 |
| 32 | 21462 | 21477.5015573102 | -633.022576485718 | -15.5015573102070 | -0.837212478640571 |
| 33 | 20908 | 20895.7119109632 | -586.015725582298 | 12.2880890368417 | 0.0780232366798802 |
| 34 | 20575 | 20556.1559478777 | -359.884050177029 | 18.8440521223227 | 0.375339451984497 |
| 35 | 20237 | 20254.9294447219 | -306.063858675002 | -17.9294447218936 | 0.0893324737880168 |
| 36 | 19904 | 19868.3104800743 | -379.969738580598 | 35.6895199256944 | -0.122671609575035 |
| 37 | 19610 | 19643.4889262014 | -237.656303722162 | -33.4889262014213 | 0.236367687042846 |
| 38 | 19251 | 19137.8444870749 | -483.583490040556 | 113.155512925058 | -0.408410334452181 |
| 39 | 18941 | 19081.9069836659 | -94.1583856891801 | -140.906983665920 | 0.648006001669356 |
| 40 | 20450 | 20312.1968177511 | 1114.45402029051 | 137.803182248911 | 2.00602414980104 |
| 41 | 21946 | 22015.432028425 | 1651.00213349906 | -69.4320284250129 | 0.890443159575436 |
| 42 | 23409 | 23226.2270462425 | 1249.74236237062 | 182.772953757488 | -0.666052638284688 |
| 43 | 22741 | 22952.3107253375 | -139.244469042447 | -211.310725337477 | -2.30546715178198 |
| 44 | 22069 | 22111.0188322956 | -779.231719801418 | -42.0188322955578 | -1.06226889600168 |
| 45 | 21539 | 21523.7632597185 | -604.22883162796 | 15.2367402815033 | 0.290474498005167 |
| 46 | 21189 | 21158.6678057946 | -386.235921657021 | 30.3321942054257 | 0.361830646819602 |
| 47 | 20960 | 20961.7651676648 | -213.639583325585 | -1.76516766481449 | 0.286481276815693 |
| 48 | 20704 | 20701.5272083712 | -256.113325669308 | 2.47279162876521 | -0.0705004529366505 |
| 49 | 19697 | 19728.6285921275 | -909.418221897572 | -31.6285921275245 | -1.08506379752044 |
| 50 | 19598 | 19424.1086607690 | -358.094964831915 | 173.891339230955 | 0.915106239945355 |
| 51 | 19456 | 19651.4821299626 | 173.136185246543 | -195.482129962565 | 0.882959553042894 |
| 52 | 20316 | 20235.6739290013 | 546.746310628885 | 80.3260709987073 | 0.620273994884358 |
| 53 | 21083 | 21160.3438615304 | 889.878027274081 | -77.3438615303965 | 0.569405803683436 |
| 54 | 22158 | 21880.0884890089 | 735.391152201141 | 277.911510991058 | -0.256435028722037 |
| 55 | 21469 | 21665.6914020749 | -127.163385140742 | -196.691402074868 | -1.43168603319950 |
| 56 | 20892 | 20968.7377564075 | -644.621381960067 | -76.7377564074897 | -0.858890526294234 |
| 57 | 20578 | 20556.6979809134 | -433.403931988053 | 21.3020190865555 | 0.350584443613076 |
| 58 | 20233 | 20221.433729847 | -344.278388730544 | 11.5662701530151 | 0.147933217242533 |
| 59 | 19947 | 19964.3764038498 | -265.069359148595 | -17.3764038497780 | 0.131473536489530 |
| 60 | 20049 | 19945.1468305703 | -41.8454646103689 | 103.8531694297 | 0.370530374304483 |
