Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[35])
23	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	4.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	4.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	5.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	5.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	5.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	5.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	5.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	4.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	2.7	2.7346	2.1622	3.307	0.4529	0.0555	0.1054	0.0555
37	2.1	2.5799	1.6458	3.5141	0.157	0.4006	0.0268	0.0966
38	1.9	2.4098	1.2137	3.6058	0.2018	0.6941	0.0256	0.0977
39	0.6	1.5868	0.1764	2.9973	0.0851	0.3317	0	0.0125
40	0.7	1.8954	0.2992	3.4917	0.0711	0.9442	0.0034	0.0546
41	-0.2	1.2006	-0.562	2.9632	0.0597	0.7111	0	0.0131
42	-1	0.4806	-1.434	2.3951	0.0648	0.757	0	0.0027
43	-1.7	0.3777	-1.6776	2.433	0.0238	0.9055	0	0.0036
44	-0.7	0.9588	-1.2282	3.1458	0.0686	0.9914	0	0.0223
45	-1	0.7224	-1.5888	3.0336	0.0721	0.8861	0	0.0178
46	-0.9	0.9083	-1.5207	3.3374	0.0723	0.9382	8e-04	0.0322
47	0	2.0868	-0.4546	4.6283	0.0538	0.9894	0.1953	0.1953

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
36	0.1068	-0.0127	0	0.0012	0	0
37	0.1847	-0.186	0.0993	0.2303	0.1158	0.3402
38	0.2532	-0.2115	0.1367	0.2599	0.1638	0.4047
39	0.4535	-0.6219	0.258	0.9738	0.3663	0.6052
40	0.4297	-0.6307	0.3326	1.429	0.5789	0.7608
41	0.749	-1.1666	0.4716	1.9617	0.8093	0.8996
42	2.0327	-3.0809	0.8443	2.192	1.0069	1.0034
43	2.7764	-5.501	1.4264	4.3168	1.4206	1.1919
44	1.1638	-1.7301	1.4602	2.7515	1.5685	1.2524
45	1.6324	-2.3843	1.5526	2.9666	1.7083	1.307
46	1.3644	-1.9908	1.5924	3.2701	1.8503	1.3602
47	0.6214	-1	1.543	4.3549	2.059	1.4349