Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[35])
23	111.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	112.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	113.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	113.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	114.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	115.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	116.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	115.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	116.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	115.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	115.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	116.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	116.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	116.35	116.4103	114.9342	117.8865	0.4681	0.5791	1	0.5791
37	117.9	116.5489	114.5521	118.5457	0.0924	0.5774	0.9992	0.6116
38	117.7	116.5136	113.8433	119.1839	0.1919	0.1544	0.9875	0.5738
39	117.53	116.6137	113.112	120.1153	0.304	0.2716	0.9236	0.5785
40	117.86	116.6481	112.4632	120.8329	0.2851	0.3398	0.6981	0.5721
41	117.65	116.6597	111.7367	121.5826	0.3467	0.3164	0.5427	0.5632
42	116.51	116.7068	111.0616	122.352	0.4728	0.3717	0.605	0.5616
43	115.93	116.7191	110.3986	123.0396	0.4033	0.5258	0.469	0.5566
44	115.31	116.7358	109.7397	123.7318	0.3448	0.5893	0.5882	0.553
45	115	116.7559	109.1146	124.3971	0.3262	0.6446	0.5859	0.5506
46	115.45	116.7635	108.5016	125.0254	0.3777	0.6622	0.5315	0.5475
47	115.83	116.7749	107.909	125.6408	0.4173	0.6152	0.5453	0.5453

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
36	0.0065	-5e-04	0	0.0036	0	0
37	0.0087	0.0116	0.0061	1.8255	0.9146	0.9563
38	0.0117	0.0102	0.0074	1.4075	1.0789	1.0387
39	0.0153	0.0079	0.0075	0.8397	1.0191	1.0095
40	0.0183	0.0104	0.0081	1.4688	1.109	1.0531
41	0.0215	0.0085	0.0082	0.9808	1.0876	1.0429
42	0.0247	-0.0017	0.0072	0.0387	0.9378	0.9684
43	0.0276	-0.0068	0.0072	0.6227	0.8984	0.9478
44	0.0306	-0.0122	0.0077	2.0328	1.0244	1.0122
45	0.0334	-0.015	0.0085	3.0831	1.2303	1.1092
46	0.0361	-0.0112	0.0087	1.7253	1.2753	1.1293
47	0.0387	-0.0081	0.0087	0.8928	1.2434	1.1151